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Saturday, September 23, 2006
Larry Kudlow :: Townhall.com Columnist
The GOP's Bush-led turnaround
by Larry Kudlow
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Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


Oil and gasoline prices have plunged over the past month, taking away a big Democratic issue. The broad stock averages have had a nice run since Labor Day and are closing in on five-year highs. This rally is a measure of the future economy and business profits, and it signals continued growth as far as the eye can see. And while investors are abandoning the energy sector, consumers are spending -- making the retail stock index one of the hottest plays on Wall Street.

At the same time, inflation indicators such as gold, commodities and energy have been pummeled. Long-term interest rates have dropped quickly from 5.25 percent to 4.6 percent, another sign of diminishing inflation fears. Consequently, the Federal Reserve hasn't touched interest rates at its last two meetings, while many on Wall Street are now betting the next Fed move will be a rate cut, not a hike.

Meanwhile, the monetary base, which measures the Fed's dollar-creating activities, has been flat-lined, with literally zero growth over the past eight months. As Milton Friedman taught us, excess money is the cause of rising inflation. But the Fed is taking care of that problem, which is why forward-looking market indicators (i.e., gold, energy and long-term bond rates) have all dropped significantly. In fact, if you combine the rising stock market with the falling inflation markets, the clear forecast is for non-inflationary growth.

This is just what the doctor ordered -- and another chapter in the greatest story never told.

No, you won't hear Democrats admit that government policies under Bush are working. In fact, the Democrats have stopped even talking about the economy. But most Americans seem to be coming around. A recent Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll reveals that 54 percent of Americans believe the economy is doing well. Almost one in three respondents say lower gasoline prices have enabled them to spend more on household items. And while half of those polled say they disapprove of Bush's management of the economy, that number is down from 59 percent at the beginning of August.

The Democrats, without an economic message of their own, are losing their audience. Even their anti-Wal-Mart tirades are falling short, with a majority of Americans saying the retail giant is good for the economy.

Bush is involved in quite a political turnaround. His national-security offensive, buttressed by his strong stance on tax cuts, is working. If he keeps it up -- and there's every reason to think he will -- the GOP Congress may be poised to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.

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About The Author

Lawrence Kudlow is host of CNBC's Kudlow & Company

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Pistol

I know lots of liberals. I don't know any socialists.

Again, how do you blame the doctored photos of a Lebanese photographer on American liberals?

Do some research, if you care to, into gun laws in Europe and the crime rates. The statistics may surprise you.

"I am uninterested in your proofs which seem mostly to be merely someone else's opinion, or poll or interpretation."

Huh. How about facts and statistics? I don't make a habit of quoting other folks' analysis, unless their underlying data is solid.

"Some people think bush stole a couple elections."

Nah. More people voted for Gore, but that's another matter.

"I don't feel anything is accomplished in a discussion with impugning the opponents veracity or intelligence."

How about accuracy?

BS Detector
Man, you get around. I am impressed. You take enough valid exception to my statements to actually make me consider going searching for documentation to support things i have experienced and which i know to be true, supposing Alheimers hasn't carried me away yet. Next time in the library i'll dig into the reference stuff i used the last time some liberal bet me a wad we were spending more on the miiitary than on domestic spending. Of course that was so long ago it only cost HEW about a dollar to give a dollar away to somebody. I hear the ratio is now up to $2.83. Don't ask me to prove it. I don't really care enough if you believe it to spend the effort.

I don't blame all the world's ills on "Liberals". (I dislike current usage of the word, just as i dislike using gay for homosexual. Thomas Jefferson was a Liberal. Most people who call themselves liberal today are socialists.) Timothy McVeigh was not a liberal. He was a right wing nut. Few right wingers have much trouble seeing that, just as we saw Nixon as an abuser of his office and forced him to resign. Items like the dna on the blue dress, Rather's forged document, the doctored photo are hard established facts. They are not somebody's study. The Iraq war is a fact. Discussions of should we have gone or can we win are mostly opinion. If we win or lose with the clarity of the winners/losers of WWII, that will be a fact. To some people the Nazi death camps are not a fact. I've talked to enough people i trust to believe they are a fact.

The recent confiscation of firearms in Britain and Australia has resulted in just the overnight change in the crime rate you say is impossible. Home invasions are now more prevalent in London than NYC. But don't ask me to prove it. You and your handle imply you are tired of unchecked facts, fair enough. I don't use them. If i'm uncertain i qualify my claims. I am uninterested in your proofs which seem mostly to be merely someone else's opinion, or poll or interpretation. Some people think bush stole a couple elections. To them this is a fact. No one has ever proved this to me. Perhaps i seem wishy washy to you. I don't feel anything is accomplished in a discussion with impugning the opponents veracity or intelligence. Ideas are ideas. Once again, i admire your energy and passion. Your motives are your own.
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