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Sunday, October 12, 2008
Ken Connor :: Townhall.com Columnist
Carrots and Sticks: The Bailout and Unintended Consequences
by Ken Connor
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Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


"If you subsidize something, you get more of it."
-Ronald Reagan

Everybody knows that incentives impact behavior. Parents provide allowances to get children to do their chores, businesses offer bonuses to motivate employees to reach their goals, and governments offer subsidies to encourage businesses to locate in their communities.

Positive incentives aimed at encouraging certain behaviors are called "carrots." Negative incentives aimed at deterring other behaviors are called "sticks." Everybody—from businesses to ballplayers—responds to incentives. Since they do, we need to be careful with their use and application, lest we produce grave unintended consequences.

What then are the implications of the recently-passed Emergency Economic Recovery Act of 2008 a.k.a. the economic bailout? Will it produce unintended consequences? With the clamor to save our economy through massive government intervention in the marketplace, what message are we sending the businesses and executives who got us into this mess? What behaviors are we incentivizing in the marketplace?

In order to make that determination, we should examine the behaviors that got us here in the first place. A few of those behaviors are catalogued in a recent article in the Austin American-Statesman:

  • Bear Stearns engaged in abusive and illegal loan collection practices.

  • Bank of America, UBS, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Wachovia deceived investors by selling them risky auction-rate securities advertised as being perfectly safe.
     
  • GMAC Bank and other student loan companies engaged in deceptive advertising.

  • IndyMac Bank routinely issued "liar loans" until it went broke.
     
  • Countrywide engaged in deceitful lending.

  • JPMorgan, Citigroup and CIBC engaged in securities fraud.

  • The supposed independent rating companies—Standard & Poor's, Moody's, and Fitch Ratings—gave bond insurers triple-A ratings to fatten their wallets when D-minus was what they deserved.

  • HSBC and Citigroup specialized in structured investment vehicles to conceal their risky mortgage holdings.

  • Freddie Mac failed to fully disclose its portfolio losses.

  • AIG hid huge losses on its credit default swaps.

  • Lehman Brothers failed to come clean about its real estate losses.

  • Lehman Brothers, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, and Merrill Lynch competed with one another in developing abusive tax-evasion schemes.


It is a sorry tale, but it gets worse.

The CEO of Lehman Brothers, Richard Fuld, made $165 million between 2003 and 2007, even though his company had to file for bankruptcy on September 15 of this year. Merrill Lynch paid its CEO Stanley O'Neal $172 million from 2003 to 2007, and his successor, John Thain, got $86 million, notwithstanding that Merrill had to be sold last month for a share price that was about 70 percent below its January high. Bloomberg News reports, "Morgan Stanley's current and former chief executives, John Mack and Philip Purcell, were paid about $194 million over the past five years." The list of excesses goes on and on.

These men were entrusted with great power and responsibility, as well as with their investors' money. Nevertheless, they violated that trust through greed and deception. They enriched themselves at their investors' and the market's expense. Yet, when the market forces caused their companies to come crashing down, the government intervened to bail them out. What message does this send?

Well, according to the Washington Times, executives of AIG's main U.S. life insurance subsidiary spent $440,000 at a posh resort south of Los Angeles "even as the company tapped into an $85 billion loan from the government that it needed to stave off bankruptcy." The bill included $23,380 in spa treatments, as well as banquets and golf outings for AIG employees.

Looks like they learned their lesson, all right!

We should expect more horror stories like these because the government's position in the current economic crisis is exactly backwards. It will inspire even more greed among corporate executives by immunizing them from the natural consequences of their poor decisions. The message sent by the bailout is this: "It's okay to deceive your shareholders, enrich yourselves at your companies' expense, take on mountains of debt, and engage in reckless risk because Uncle Sugar will be there to bail you out when you fail. And, oh by the way, thanks for the campaign contributions!"

The government's bailout is a big fat juicy "carrot" for Wall Street miscreants. Congress' big wet kiss rewards Wall Street for its profligacy and immunizes it from the natural consequences of its executives' poor decisions. Rather than being punished by the market, AIG's executives are chilling at the spa!

Of course it's all being done for the taxpayer's benefit. Congress won't apply the stick to these bad boys because they are just "too big to fail." Innocent taxpayers might get hurt in the process.

Maybe, but come November, I have a feeling that taxpayers might just apply a stick of their own.
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About The Author
Ken Connor is Chairman of the Center for a Just Society in Washington, DC.
 
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Ken, terrific column

And I hope your last sentence is prophetic.

Great column
I usually disagree with Connor, but this is spot on!

The key factor.

Hey, Connor... you forgot something, or did you?

Many have indeed acted badly, but remember that it was the Democrats who removed the key safe-guards against sub-prime lending.

I will howerver, let you decide for yourself if you believe that what's now happening is because of...

... the law of unintended consequences
... or deliberate and despicable vote-buying.

The answer should be obvious.


How's This For Unintended Consequences?
Obama himself has sponsored two pieces of legislation to the tune of $920 billion dollars and there is immense pressure being placed on McShame and Sarah Palin by BONO and his media connections to get them to sign on to this PC Socialism as well...

http://www.newswithviews.com/Kincaid/cliff257.htm

If you're tired of supporting Socialism and want your Constitution and your government back, the Constitution Party is on the ballot or can be written in in 48 States. Vote for Chuck Baldwin in 2008 and END SOCIALISM IN OUR TIME!!!

Conner...
go write for "Mother Jones". It's right where you belong.

Parasite Majority
Good article!
The problem is, there aren't as many tax-payers as tax-consumers in this country. That means a true parasite majority and they will reign!

Tax Revolt
A well organized, legally backed tax revolt might just help in curtailing our politicians gone mad.
If we started paying our taxes into escrow accounts until the government came around to respecting the freedoms we are entitled to under our Constitution and Bill of Rights, maybe our pathetic politicians & bureaucrats might start paying attention.

Term Limits for Congress would be a good start too!

REMEMBER THE BOSTON TEA PARTY?
It is time for another tea party. The American people expresssed their negatitive opinion of the $700 Billion bailout package, but our "responsible spending" legislators passed it anyway and the stock market is still tanking. I am beginning to believe that we have taxation without representation. I now understand how the 13 Colonies felt. What happened to government for the poeple and by the people? Is it time for a revolt? LET'S MARCH ON WASHINGTON! WE DO NEED A REFORMER WITH A BIG BROOM TO SWEEP WASHINGTON CLEAN.

MCCAIN/PALIN 2008

Tax revolters in NJ ran a 60X10 ft
billboard listing all the agencies, bureaus, divisions, committees, and NJ gov't bureaucracy this summer. 60 feet by 10 feet.

If we listed all the fed. gov't's bureaucracy, it would prob. cover all of NJ.

We should demand DC turn off the AC to prevent its hot air Cong. from creating its own GW and send Cong. home from March to November, as the DC swamp once did, and keep Congress from expanding the DC gov't anymore anywhere.

Someone should just cut the Sec. of Ed., a Carter sop to the NEA; Housing and Urban Development, a major contributor to today's ec. debacle and fold it into Interior; end the war on drugs and eliminate the DEA; 1/2 farm subsidies, which now just are handouts to agri-conglomerates; ban omnibus bills that carry tons of un-debated earmarks; vote the line-item veto; and find a president who will use the veto.

I think I was just dreaming, but it would help us get out of the nightmare the feds have perpetuated on us.

Do not vote third party
it's is a vote for O, just as if you stepped into the booth and pulled the lever for Dems.

Working Group on Financial Issues Report
BUSH'S OWN REPORT, OUT FRIDAY, STATES

PRIVATE SECTOR LOANS and DEREGULATION triggered financial crisis, NOT Fannie Or Freddie.
------------------------------
As has been stated
"The volume of subprime loans tripled from 2002 to 2006."(page 13)

http://www.ofheo.gov/media/pdf/OFHEOPARNovember2007508.pdf

Between 2004 and 2006, when subprime lending was exploding, Fannie and Freddie went from HOLDING a high of 48% of the subprime loans that were sold into the secondary market to holding about 24%.

During those same three years, private investment banks, not Fannie and Freddie, dominated the mortgage loans that were packaged and sold into the secondary mortgage market. In 2005 and 2006, the private sector securitized almost two thirds of ALL U.S. mortgages, supplanting Fannie and Freddie.

More than 84% of the subprime mortgages in 2006 were issued by private lending institutions

Private firms made nearly 83% of the subprime loans to low- and moderate-income borrowers that year.

Only ONE of the top 25 subprime lenders in 2006 was directly subject to the housing law that's being lambasted by conservative critics.

http://www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/reports/q4progress%20 update.pdf

Ken, You Are Looking In The Wrong Places
Quoted: "Maybe, but come November, I have a feeling that taxpayers might just apply a stick of their own." You been living in a dark shed for a while Ken? It will be a landslide for Nobama and friends and some lawful and tasteful Repubs will out looking for jobs on K Street in D.C. where 37,000 lobbyists are employed. How many times has Washington been cleaned out in the past 100 years? After Reagan proved that liberal isn't good, we have far more now and it appears that the American public wants it that way. Jorge Bush, a war here a war there, open borders, free trade, globalism and more NAFTA isn't what we wanted. Who told you it was? The CFR, Bilderbergs, Trilateralists, IMF?

IMPLOSION
News that the big three auto makers will soon become one unit is confirmation of the pessimism that is now sweeping America. The auto industry is dependent on the world economy and the wisest of people predict a long world wide recession. Economists say that we have reached peak demand for the use of the automobile and public transportation will eventually replace individual ownership. It is obvious that most of us no longer can live in high style, we have been living large for too long and it is now time to pay the piper.

Our nation is now imploding and despite government bailout efforts the downward spiral will not end until is it reaches a sustainable level. When that happens private industry will be flooded with applicants for employment and pay only the minimum wage. The average income will be used just for food and shelter. It will be hard times but once again our nation will rise after learning a bitter lesson. Living within ones means will then become the golden rule.

I agree with this
One can pin blame in other places, to be sure. A goodly portion of it lies with congress and the bankers. What else is there in this case?
Don't vote for any incumbent. The whole herd is exposed to Mad Cow and the whole herd has to go, good ones and bad ones. Yes, even Pence and Hensarling, Conrad and their breed. These are great guys but they all got to go. The message has to be louder than the man. We are the sovereign.
This was a lesson Sun Tsu taught. Take away the very best to enforce the eminence of your position and to insure loyalty to that position.
You really think it matters which party is in there? Then you don't know history. All you change are the problems you don't eliminate problems by favoring one party over the other.

The Mortgage solution


Since I can find no article on TH today that talks about McCain’s mortgage purchase plan, I will just show mine, and sprinkle it a few places. If you have a question or comment, Please!!!

As with most any solution to anything that I propose these days, this is just page one of a 1,000 page document. You write the rest of it.

Of course the problem with this, the only people qualified or trained to do what needs to be done, are the one who caused the problem in the first place. Just make sure that any screwing around that is found this time, will be punished by hanging, carried out within 30 days.

Go to each home with a problem mortgage or Trust Deed, figure what the person can actually pay each month. Figure what amount of a mortgage can be paid for at that payment, including a reasonable interest rate.

Then take the excess money, that is not considered payable by the owner, and place it into a non-interest bearing second Mortgage or Trust Deed. That document will remain until the property is resold or refinanced, and then it will become owed. If however that still makes the house cost more than the money owed, go to the people in the organization who loaned the money in the first place, and take it out of their hide.

Make the law such that the person and organization who makes an original loan, be responsible for servicing that loan for as long as it exists. They can borrow more money using the mortgage as collateral, but they must forever service that loan, so they remain responsible for any mistake they made at that time. One time a Banker told me not to tell that to anyone in Wash DC, because they might make it part of the law.

I know, I know, that idea needs a lot work, but that’s why I asked you for your help.

incumbants and pragmatism
I've been advocating a protest vote against McCain for many months now - for Baldwin or Barr - because McCain is simply unacceptable. His support for the bailout vindicates that position.

However, I would argue that it is vital to retain as many Republicans in the senate as possible, even if they are big spenders and/or moderates. If Obama gets elected, we'll need at least 41 reliable conservative senators to stop his most eggregious policies such as national health care.

Now, I can understand voting against Ted Stevens or Susan Collins. But I'll be voting for my incumbant, Jeff Sessions, despite the fact that he's been a big spender (for the farm bill, scrips for seniors, etc). He was instrumental in defeating McCain's amnesty, and opposed the bailout, and we'll need people like him if Obama wins.

A blanket "throw the bums out" attitude on the Republican side will result in a more socialist country in the long run than a more pragmatic approach.

How we got here in the first place......
Started long before Bear Stearns, Bank of America etc. Go back to 1913/14 and the beginning of the Fed. Forward to 1929 and the depression and beginning policies of a "bailout government". Continue year after year of a greedy and overspending Congress, huge deficits, devaluation of the dollar, more and more bailouts and what do we end up with? A culture primed for disaster. People and organizations now have the mind-set, don't worry Uncle will take care of us. We have to stretch limits so we can keep up with government rules, regs and greed and the constant theft of our money by taxation. A culture of irresponsibility and victim-itis. Yes, the problem was magnified by actions of business and individuals but is began long ago.

Chris
Your lack of support for McCain while supporting your local senator will have exactly the opposite effect of what you desire. McCain's problem is that his economic knowledge is lacking and his instincts are poor. This has served him poorly in the Senate and during this campaign.

Obama's problem however is not lack of economic knowledge, it is a grasp and acceptance of an economic theory that is contrary to reality. Ken Connor's article outlines the result when government encourages risky behavior for political reasons and protects people from the consequences of that behavior. Human Beings are quite capable of engaging in risky and unethical behavior without government encouragement. With that encouragement ... disaster.

A Democratic landslide on November 4 will simply guarantee that remaining Republicans, or at least enough of them, will move left with the prevailing winds. Seriously, did the remaining Republicans after 2006 move right?


AYERS Memoirs?
WorldNetDaily.com
September 18, 2008 © Jack Cashill, [Part 1of 3]

“I picture the street coming alive, awakening from the fury of winter, stirred from the chilly spring night by cold glimmers of sunlight angling through the city.” Bill Ayers, Fugitive Days. http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/10/who_wrote_dreams_fr om_my_fathe_1.html

“Night now fell in midafternoon, especially when the snowstorms rolled in, boundless prairie storms that set the sky close to the ground, the city lights reflected against the clouds.” Barack Obama, Dreams From My Father. MORE
http://www.cashill.com/natl_general/did_bill_ayers_write_1. htm

Why not go after fraudulent CEOs?
Prohibit all CEO's and board members along with corporations from contributing any campaign contributions. This is of those being bailed out by government funding or in partnership with government entities, including corporations using stock as payment of creating such partnerships. The names of all federal funded corporations should always be public, even those partiually funded through stock or some other type of security exchange. First of all in supporting the United States, and maintain ethical standards of living for workers of such partnerships. Prohibit union investment in such partnerships, especially ones which union contracts already exist.
The United States Constitution Article 6, along with the bill of rights must be enforced and observed by all governmental regulatory agencies.

Constitution
Until we get back to the original framework of the Constitution, we will continue to go broke.

Dusty, let me paraphrase the first line
of this column:

"If you vote for something, you get more of it."

Do you want more socialism? Do you care if it has an R or a D on it?

The perception of the Republican leadership is that the power of conservatives over the GOP has been broken, and that they can continue to win as a blue-blood country-club party. Their big-government policies will wreck this country just as surely as liberal Democrat policies.

Now, "what I want or desire" is a good, conservative, limited government POTUS. But that's obviously not going to happen in 2008.

Taking the long view, the best chance we have to get such a president is for McCain to lose in such a way that the Republicans can see he lost because conservatives voted for limited-government 3rd parties instead of him. Maybe that way the GOP will run someone good like Palin or Jindal in 2012.

If McCain wins, he'll run for re-election in 2012, and the lesson that the GOP conservative base will swallow whatever crap they're served will have been reenforced. I will not be a part of that.

more response to Dusty:
My position comes from similar logic to Pascal's Wager.

Basically, if the GOP refuses to draw the obvious lessons from its defeats, and/or the country really wants Obama-style socialism, we're screwed no matter how I vote.

But if the GOP can learn, and if the country really is receptive to limited government, we have a chance to set that in motion now by rejecting McCain's socialism.


I agree with you that the GOP moved left after its defeat in 2006. They picked up the wrong lesson - I think they were defeated largely because the base was sick of spending increases, amnesty, and lack of progress on conservative issues. Since the GOP didn't get it, it's important they have their butts handed to them again in such a way that they get it this time, but not so badly that the Dems get free reign.

I also agree with your assessment of Obama's economic theories. That's why we need enough Republican senators in place to prevent those theories from becoming enacted policy.

Congress
It is the congress that is at fault here.There is an excellent article on u tube about this

Banana Republic
God, I hate to see those AH's up in DC destroy the middle class of this country. Soon we are going to start reaping inflation from the trillions of dollars the jerks are pouring into the system. And THEN they will probably try to outlaw gold (which is one of the few ways to keep pace).

Imagine what it will be like with the Fairness Doctrine back -- No Rush, No Sean, No Glenn -- I say the Boston Teaparty has come back to the future, George W. Bush is a disgrace, utterly and absolutely, and this Bear has no true conservative or libertarian party with which to dance.

Farewell Freedom. See you in China, Brazil, or Argentina one day. Barack and his thugs are here to stay -- they've dumbed down the populace, destroyed the morals of a huge group of people, and are intent on raising YOUR kids.


Dusty
Bush and Rove moved the GOP left - by intent. They have not changed - but neither have they moved further left sinceo 2006. Special interest legislation and lobbyists exploded upward between 2000 and 2006, Bush vetoed nothing. Deficits moved from about $200 B a year prior to the $500 B average we've seen the last 8 years. Government grew rapidly. I don't know what I fear worse. Democratic rule, or GOP rule given all of this. And now, we have two presidential candidates competing with each other to design the best bailout - and both, whatever they say, will be little more than spectators as Bush and Paulson set it up and implement it before either can get into office. Both have their version of Cap N Trade, both have their version of more health insurance, and each of these two will cost the same, whichever proposal is implemented. And both, talk about tax cuts. But, of course, to the groups that they want votes from. And both, after all the bailouts, will still have the rising costs of entitlements to deal with.

Brian is right, you know. Frankly, we need a meltdown and a crisis. Surely, by now, you'd understand that the American people are not voting for some great or good philosophy, but only for someone who can keep the party going just a little longer. So, go borrow the price of a beer from the Feds, and then have on on me.

Letter to the Editor, 1993


War on proverty: Deficit reduction,

• In the past decade, or thereabouts, liberals in Congress have spent about $1 trillion for a war on poverty, and now we have more poverty, more murder, more violence, more drug use, a reduction in the standard of living, less education and less of all the positive family values that were so abhorrent to liberals during the recent election.

On the other hand, conservative administrations have spent about $1 trillion for defense and we have reaped “peace in our time,” the end of the Cold War, most likely no World War III in our lifetime, or at least until another large scale leftist-liberal government raises its ugly head.

• I read with alarm letters that ask for deficit reduction fund, news stories about school children sending proceeds of bake sales to Washington, and the George Bush suggestion for a check-off box on the IRS m1040 form to ear-mark money for the deficit.

That’s as if the man of the house (read taxpayer) decides to pay an extra five cents per month to reduce his $10,000 Visa bill, but his wife (read Congress) decides to charge an additional $100 each month. Any attempt to lower the deficit by direct payment is meaningless as long as there is no restraint on how much (more) Congress spends each year.


column could be worse, but not good.
I certainly prefer to see conservatives demogoging against rich CEO's rather than poor minorities, the more common approach. But it is not a great idea to demogogue even in this direction.

If the behavior of the CEO's was really as criminal as Connor describes then legal remedies would be the proper approach. But the CEO's listed will benefit regardless of the bailout.

And there is no particular reason why this law will have much effect on future behavior good or bad. In fact if anything it places limits and allows for other limits on CEO pay.

Connor sounds like Obama on the AIG issue, but that was not Obama's greatest moment. The people being pampered there were not the heads of the finance divisions, but rather the heads of the Insurance side which is successful. And the retreat was planned before the bankruptcy, so it is hardly a response to it.

One would like to see some shame in the level of compensation at the top. But it would be foolish to take down the economy in order to do this.

Obamanation
For all his exotica and haberdashery, Obama is only a garden variety Socialist. Europe abounds in them - in charge at various places. The common denominator is rejection of responsibility for one's own life in favor of receipt of a modest living from a not-overworked collective. A quote from workers in a decaying Soviet Union went as follows: "they pretend to pay us and we pretend to work."

Obama hopes to gather handouts from the "rich" but those who are really such will have no trouble moving their assets beyond his reach. So he'll have to try to get the dough from the busy-busy middle-class. But eventually that well will dry up. He then will push a Fed Chairman to print more and more dollar bills with which he can preted to pay.
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