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Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Kathleen Parker :: Townhall.com Columnist
Battered By Change, Iraq May Prefer Sameness
by Kathleen Parker
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Suddenly, the U.S. economy has edged out Iraq as the most consuming issue for American voters. Not so for Iraqis.

Who wins the presidential election is of paramount importance to a nation finally approaching a semblance of normalcy. For some, regime change in America is not necessarily a welcome proposition.

Among those concerned about what might happen should Democrats prevail is Sami al-Askari, a senior Shiite member of parliament and close adviser to Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki.

Askari, who serves on parliament's foreign relations committee, has been outspoken in his criticism of the U.S. presence in Iraq. Nonetheless, this week he took a strong position favoring John McCain over Barack Obama. In an unpublished opinion article he wrote -- and sent to me by way of a mutual friend and Iraqi journalist -- Askari said that "Iraqis are better off with Republicans." (The Maliki government is officially neutral in the U.S. race, Askari told me in an e-mail.)

Askari's endorsement of McCain comes just three months after the Iraqi was critical of certain conditions proposed under the pending U.S.-Iraq status-of-forces agreement. The United States and Iraq began work on the long-term security agreement after Baghdad asked the United Nations not to renew the resolution that allowed U.S. and other multinational troops to enter Iraq in 2003.

This past June, Askari told The Washington Post:

"The Americans are making demands that would lead to the colonization of Iraq. If we can't reach a fair agreement, many people think we should say 'Goodbye, U.S. troops. We don't need you here anymore.'"

As the presidential election draws near -- and partly in response to Obama's selection of Joe Biden as his running mate -- Askari apparently has softened his rhetoric on the U.S. presence.

He still favors withdrawal of U.S. forces by the end of 2011, as proposed in the security treaty. And he figures that the deadline will be honored by whoever wins, if only for the sake of the 2012 American elections.

But changing now from a Republican to a Democratic administration would be problematic, he says -- not least because Obama has said the U.S. Congress should be involved in any status-of-forces agreement with Iraq.

Askari also expressed concern about Biden's 2007 plan to divide Iraq into three semi-autonomous regions -- Kurdish, Shiite and Sunni -- with a central government in Baghdad. He called the Biden plan "the essence of a nightmare feared by Iraqis."

"Not that any of Biden's proposals will take effect, as the socio-political reality in Iraq is undividable," he continued. "But Iraqis will pay dearly until Biden and his camp are convinced that his 'theory' is inapplicable in Iraq."

Biden, whose son Beau deploys to Iraq Oct. 3, proposed his plan when circumstances in Iraq were less stable than they are now. But as recently as this month, he has said that his plan is essentially becoming reality as each region becomes more autonomous.

Askari's main argument for a McCain presidency centers on concerns that Obama will need to appease his anti-war constituency, prompting a too-soon withdrawal of American troops. Obama has said he wants a gradual withdrawal -- one or two brigades per month for 16 months, though he has left open the possibility of amending this schedule, subject to events.

Moreover, Askari says, Democrats eager for change will force Iraqis "to deal with a new group and to start all over again from scratch."

We're not talking love of Republicans here, but of continuity and fine-tuning as opposed to a dramatic change in perspective and policy. Askari clearly prefers McCain's.

"The Republicans have gone through the 'Iraqi experience' in both its positive and negative aspects," he wrote in his article. "After five years together, Republicans and Iraqis have come to certain understandings and mutual grounds, making it much easier for the Americans to better understand Iraq and its circumstances."

Meanwhile, Iraqis have succeeded in building their national security forces and continue to make ruin of al-Qaeda.

Askari also speculated that some Arab and Iraqi enthusiasm for Obama may be explained by a desire to embarrass or take revenge against George W. Bush -- or perhaps by "covert arrangements" with other governments in the region.

The latter sounds a little paranoid to American ears, but paranoia in Iraq is not an unreasonable default position. Whatever Askari's own motivations -- assuming that in politics there is always something -- those who found his earlier "colonization" comments heartening may have to muffle their applause.

For Askari, at least for now, it appears that "staying the course" has a better ring than "change."

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About The Author
Kathleen Parker is a syndicated columnist with the Washington Post Writers Group.
 
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The Parker Problem
What are we going to do about Parker? Parker is with us and then she is against us like some deranged junkie. There is no way to predict when she is going to go nuts on us. I emailed her a few times in the past and was shocked at her strange, mean responses that have lead me to believe this is a very unstable person.

The Parker Problem is a problem because Parker is supposed to be a conservative. Liberal newspaper editors find her to be what Mona Charen calls a "useful idiot". Only Parker is no fool. Parker is doing what is best for Parker.

Parker will at unpredictable times turns on us agaain and stab us in the back to get headlines for herself and ingratiate herself to the liberal newspaper editors who run her op-ed instead of Thomas Sowell or Charen. The Parker Problem undermines the cause.

The Parker Problem will continue to be a problem until we cut the strings.

Its time to say goodbye. Kathleen Parker. You do not speak for us.

You are the weakest link.

Good bye.

An Important Factor
Excellent reporting with "makes a difference" argumentation. This is potentially as huge as our current financial woes--if not much bigger.

But our entire strategy vis-a-vis Islamic extremists seems to me misguided. Once we are energy independent--and this is starting to happen, thank God--we will have more ability to persuade the Muslims that we are not out to get them and their cherished lands, traditions and way of life. We can and should, for starters, evacuate the Arabian Peninsula. This will help us; it will help the Muslims; I think in this operation Israel too can become more secure than it is at present.

In any event, I've become much more America First! since 9/11 and these two extremely antagonizing wars. We need to be making friends, not more enemies by the day.

For this reason, I'm more open to an argument by Ron Paul or Pat Buchanan or any other so-called "isolationist." The fact is, 9/11's root cause is our presence, as Ron Paul put it, "over there."

Sameness ?
We shouldn't even be talking about this.
It was never our business to get involved in the first place. Get out and leave them the hell alone. That's what Iraq really wants, honor it!

Lon & others
You wrote: "This seems particularly pertinent since even that lawmaker seems to be working on the assumption that McCain will adopt Obama's policies once he takes office."

I have read the same statement by other liberal posters on Townhall.

Is this the new talking point for the Democratic Party?

"If we say often enough that this was Obama's plan all along, then people will believe it."

aurorawatcher says:
"Obama thinks it's best if we lose this war."
-------------------------------------------------
Last time I checked, we weren't at war with Iraq, so exactly how does Obama intend to lose it?

"One lawmaker"
Of course, Maliki cannot be seen to support either candidate (he will have to work with whichever one is elected). Askari's statements are as far as they can go.

I don't think anyone with half a brain thinks Maliki would want Obama to be elected.

Stability is always preferable
Sounds like someone in Iraq has been keeping up on the issues, at least the ones that affect him. Fact is, a change of regime plays well for the terrorists and anti-American politicians who back them. There's a reason why many countries select a leader and keep him/her in office for years and years. They recognize that stability is usually better for a country than instability. The only reason the US does regime change so well is that we have a staggered system of elections.

However, there is an incredible difference in the foreign policy of McCain, who actually knows how to win a war and thinks it's imperative that we do win this one for several reasons, and that of Obama. Obama thinks it's best if we lose this war. In fact, he's determined to make it happen. I'm not completely sure why, but I think it has a lot to do with self-loathing and a completely lack of understanding of economics and political science. Start this and foremost with the understanding that when we stop pouring money into Iraq, a lot of US businesses are going to contract because of lost revenue. When businesses contract, they lay people off and stop spending money with suppliers. So don't expect the ending of the War in Iraq to be good for the economy. Look at the past and you'll know that it just ain't so.

SEND THE LIBERAL NEWS MEDIA TO IRAQ!
BUY ALL THE TV SETS WE CAN FIND,SHOW ALL OF OBAMA SPEACHES EVERY DAY,LET CHRIS MATTHEWS AND KATIE COURIC AND CHARLIE GIBSON BRAG ON B HUSSEIN ALL DAY LONG,THE WHOLE MIDDLE EAST MIGHT GIVE UP AND CRY PLEASE TAKE ALL THE OIL YOU WANT PLEASE NO LIBERAL NEWS MEDIA,WE ARE SO TIRED ALREADY OF BARACK OBAMA PLEASE,NO MORE OF THE VIEW WHO IS WHOPPE-GOLDBERG,PLEASE WE GIVE UP!!

Who is he kidding?
This line caught my eye: “…Obama has said the U.S. Congress should be involved in any status-of-forces agreement with Iraq.”

That’s a laugh. It’s one of those things that’s easy to say when you’re a member of Congress. Be assured, if ObamaNation, God forbid, were to become Commander-in-Chief, he wouldn’t dream of voluntarily surrendering any of his authority to Congress, no matter who’s in control of those two bodies.

Stay on Course
Sure this Iraqi politician would like to stay on course as long as possible. The longer we stay, the longer we pay. Meanwhile Iraq's coffers grow to surplus and America goes deeper and deeper into the hole.

If dems win presidency
The dems stood in opposition to the idea that going into Iraq was a good idea. They contend that Hussein need not have been removed and when it came to the surge argued that it was a civil war and Americans should leave. Therefor they argued that it was not any business of America if Iraqis were killing each other and there was no reason to believe terrorists saw any value in being positioned in Iraq.

If my support of the invasion of Iraq was wrong and further the support of the surge was wrong then stand by your convictions dems and get us out.

What do you think the chances are that the dems would take a principled stand? They had every opportunity to block funding and Barack has edged away from his get the troops out now throughout the campaign.

what is the point
Is it really significant that one lawmaker in Iraq favors McCain? This seems particularly pertinent since even that lawmaker seems to be working on the assumption that McCain will adopt Obama's policies once he takes office.

Iraq is a primitive government, so any change of party does represent a basically new government. America is able to pass from one party to another without thereby losing the bureaucrats and diplomats with knowledge of what has been going on. (I know the Bush administration stupidly, and in some cases illegally, tried to turn such non-partisan positions into ones with conservative litmus tests, but it is unlikely they succeeded enough to create the problems Askari worries about).

Given that even Askari favors a withdrawal by a set date not to far off of Obama's plan. It is funny to try to make this an argument against Obama.

Bill
Sorry guy but I'm leary of any impeach noblama mail from anyone in Cal. Sounds suspicious to me. I don't mean to downgrade you but I don't want to have any problems.

Did she say "Staying the Course"?
People are still getting killed in Iraq and at 10 billion a month we fork out Iraq keeps 76 billion in a New York bank.And long term security agreement?Maliki wants us to get the hell out.
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