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Tuesday, March 20, 2007
Jonathan Garthwaite :: Townhall.com Columnist
Will a YouTube Video Decide the Next President?
by Jonathan Garthwaite
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Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


For decades, campaign managers and spin masters have controlled the campaign messages blasting across the airwaves.

They used one focus group after another to determine which words to say and which images to use. Only then would a radio spot or television commercial make it off the drawing board and into the election campaign.

All that may be changing.

On March 5, an anonymous visitor to the popular video-sharing site YouTube uploaded a video attacking Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., and promoting the candidacy of Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill.

It's a very well-made ad. A remake of the 1984 Apple commercial that aired during the Super Bowl that year, the ad replaces the Big Brother image on the large screen with Clinton and turns the hammer-throwing athlete into an Obama T-shirt-wearing revolutionary.

The ad ends with a rainbow-colored O with an apple stem popping out the top and the address of the official Barack Obama Web site.

After bouncing around the Internet for a couple of weeks, it caught steam this weekend and now is the talk of the town — maybe not on Main Street USA, but it sure has the political class buzzing.

It's a creative ad, and from all the talk on television and radio that has developed in the last few days, it has obviously been effective.

But is it changing the political world as we know it? If you listen to the media pundits and the professional campaign operatives, the answer is a resounding yes.

The very fact that a creative and enterprising individual can create a compelling message that draws such a picture of two candidates and their contrasting images is a sign of where political campaigning is heading.

Ads and campaign materials created and distributed by entities not affiliated with the actual campaigns is nothing new — it's been happening since the dawn of politics.

In past years, independent groups have distributed outrageous fliers with devastating half-truths; political advocacy groups have bought up air time to broadcast negative ads for decades.

Not much could be done about the anonymous fliers, but McCain/Feingold and its restrictions on free speech and issue advocacy groups, like the Christian Coalition and the Sierra Club, have tried to stop independent expenditures from having their desired effect too close to the election. Congress in essence tried to create an incumbency-protection law.

That protection is quickly coming to an end. In the past, money was an insurmountable barrier on the average American to having an influence on elections but with the advent of the Internet, YouTube and viral Internet campaigns, any individual with access to a computer, creativity and limited technical skills can create a devastating message. Only the creativity and effectiveness of the message can limit its ability to spread like a wildfire.

The Hillary 1984 ad isn't alone. A quick search of the Internet and YouTube returns dozens of attack ads against nearly all the announced candidates for president.

In the 2006 election, several incumbents owe their defeat to an ill-advised comment caught on video tape and spread across the Web. It isn't a new phenomenon for campaigns to employ trackers. Operatives are routinely dispatched to follow the opposing candidate in hopes of capturing an inopportune moment on videotape.

What is new is that much more of the footage is being saved from a death on the cutting room floor and is now being posted on the Internet. The community of activists and citizens takes over from there. The results can be devastating. Just ask former Virginia Sen. George Allen, who had his "macacca" moment during the campaign and never recovered.

The Hillary 1984 ad isn't something new and certainly not a deathblow to her campaign, but the reaction of both the Obama and Clinton campaigns is telling. Both campaigns were pressed to comment on the new ad and neither campaign could muster better than a "We're aware of the ad. No comment."

The Obama campaign was also forced to deny it had anything to do with the ad.

Presidential campaigns are all about message control. Every successful campaign points to — as a key part of its success — the ability to stay on message no matter what the distractions.

The Internet blows that strategy out of the water.

Clinton and Obama can give all the speeches they wish about health care, Iraq and "uniting not dividing," but all anyone is talking about today is the Obama vs. Big Brother Hillary ad.

In one election cycle, young voters have gone from a demographic courted with rock concerts and campus rallies to political operatives with just as much influence on the national debate as the big boys in Washington, D.C.

Presidential politics just got a whole lot more interesting for the rest of the country.

Stay tuned.

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About The Author

Jonathan Garthwaite is the editor-in-chief of Townhall.com.

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To Jonathan
Don't be mislead that this ad was made by an amature. These ads have been around for a few years now and they are made by professionals. Most are too over the top for the main party to acknowledge. Take for example the Madeleine Albright kumbaya commercial made for the 06 election. The RLC turned it down but it showed continuously on the conservative blogs via U-Tube. I loved it because it hit the Dems where it hurt but the weak kneed Repubs thought it hit too hard.

message saturation
Regardless of how good, truthful, shocking, funny, (adjective of your choice) an ad must reach a large number of people before it will have any effect. Influential blogs and websites will assume a lot of the role of gatekeepers for their communitees, but by so doing they are taking over part of the roll of the traditional media.

So long as filtering of the web doesn't occur (a la filtering of radio and TV by issuance of broadcast licenses) there will at least be several years where there is the chance that an individual, privately produced ad can make a difference.

Hmm..Re:Question
"Will a YouTube Video Decide the Next President?"

Considering the 'dumbed down' intellect of today's citizens... I will say YES.

What should decide
What should decide who the next President is: Someone willing to uphold the oath of office, the Constitution, and the laws of this country. Someone willing to put America and American citizens first and not pander to foreign nationals illegally in our country or their cheap labor importing employers.
Republican voters still get to decide who their nominee will be. Money only buys elections when people act like sheep. If 80% of Republicans are indeed seeking a conservative, we can nominate one. We can nominate Duncan Hunter. The money players won't like it and are trying to convince us only Rudy, Romney, or McCain can win. Hogwash. 49% of people will never vote for Hillary. Only 60% voted last time and turnout was the difference. My belief is Rudy would push turnout down. There might even be a third party, splitting the vote. Give Americans a chance to vote for a candidate who WILL secure the border and watch what happens to turnout. Americans want their government to fulfill it's most basic responsibility.

The primary responsibility of the U.S. government is to protect the territorial integrity and people of this country. They have completely abdicated this responsibility. Both parties have been complicit in this. We are being told it is not possible to control our borders, enforce our laws, and thereby control our destiny as a nation. Hogwash. We are being sold out by corporations intent on importing workers for jobs that can't be exported with the taxpayers paying the true costs, financial and human. If we act like sheep and don't stop the inundation across our borders, we will lose our country without a bleat.


http://www.gohunter08.com


Maybe
I can remember the 1985 movie "Back To The Future" where the professor states that he is not surprised that in 1985 one "needs to be an actor to become President".

Natural furthered development.

What light shines through yonder window?
Back in 2004, I passed along links to the Theresa Hines-Kerry, in-your-face, finger waging, bordering on eye gouging encounter with a local Boston reporter where she uttered the famous “shove it” phrase that was caught on video and posted to the internet shortly thereafter. This was way before You Tube had achieved any kind of notoriety.

You could type “shove it” on any community blackboard a thousand times or conjugate it another thousand and it would never project the kind of vituperative inflection Madam Kerry engendered in one five second dalliance.

A picture may be worth a thousand words. Video is words at 1k, with an exponent of 60 times a second.
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