ST. PAUL, Minn. - The biggest "prize" so far in the quest to destroy Alaska
Gov. Sarah Palin's vice-presidential candidacy is the "news" that her
unmarried daughter is pregnant. I have little to say about that because I
don't think the press should be saying much more about it.
But what is remarkable is how little that or other revelations matter to the
GOP rank and file. Simply put: They love Sarah.
This is my sixth Republican National Convention, and I've never seen
anything remotely like the excitement Palin has unleashed. Some compare it
to the enthusiasm for Ronald Reagan in 1976 or 1980. Even among the cynics
and nervous strategists, there's a kind of giddiness over John McCain's
tactical daring in selecting the little-known Alaskan.
Readers of National Review Online - a reliable bellwether of conservative
sentiment - flooded the site with e-mails over Labor Day weekend. The
messages ran roughly 20-1 in almost orgiastic excitement about the pick. On
Friday, one reader expressed Christmas-morning delight over the gift of
Palin, proclaiming that McCain had just "given us our Red Ryder BB gun."
Hundreds of NRO readers announced that they were finally donating to McCain
after months of holding out. Many had hard feelings toward the senator, who
too often defined "maverick" as a willingness, even an eagerness, to annoy
conservatives. They weren't kidding: Between the Palin announcement Friday
and Monday morning, the McCain camp raised $10 million. This enthusiasm
reflects how, although the party wants Barack Obama to lose, it is just now
getting excited about a McCain win.
The naysayers argue Palin undermines McCain's core message so far:
"experience" and the necessary foreign policy expertise for a dangerous
world. They say choosing her was a gimmick that runs counter to McCain's
mantra about country before politics, particularly given his age and health
record.
If Palin fumbles badly in the next few weeks, the critics will surely be
proved right. And one doesn't have to be obsessive about liberal media bias
to recognize the media's desire to Quayle-ize her.
But what if she doesn't fumble? What if McCain's gut was right?
Then, picking Palin just might go down as one of the most brilliant
political plays in American history.
The experience theme was not going to carry McCain to victory. This is a
change election. Hillary Clinton, after all, ran on experience and got beat
by Obama, a former community organizer and state senator. McCain weakened
Obama with the "not ready to lead" line, but to win he needed to promise
change - i.e. "reform" - too.
But the reform message would have sounded implausible with almost any other
VP pick, save perhaps Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal or Minnesota Gov. Tim
Pawlenty. Moreover, although the GOP base generally agrees with McCain's
fiscal conservatism, it doesn't get excited by his reformer shtick. Palin
reinforces the reform theme but, at the same time, reassures the base enough
to give McCain maneuvering room to woo moderates and independents.
Not surprisingly, the bulk of attention has been on the fact that she is a
woman (though few have noted that the party's enthusiasm for her runs
counter to the caricature of conservatives as irredeemably sexist) and on
the supposed effort to sway Clinton voters. That's been oversold. As much as
anything, the Palin pick is a response to the Democrats' effort to cast
themselves as change agents and friends of the middle class.
Last Wednesday in Denver, Obama's running mate, Joe Biden, gave his
stemwinder about families huddled around their kitchen tables trying to make
ends meet. The next day, McCain settled on Palin, who can actually claim to
be part of such a family. Her husband is a member of the United
Steelworkers. She got her start as a PTA activist and "hockey mom" who took
on the corrupt Alaskan political machine. Unlike Obama, who played ball with
the notorious Chicago machine, Palin took dead aim at the bosses of her own
party.
The Obama campaign smugly - and foolishly - ridicules Palin's work as a
small-town mayor. But who can better empathize with the plight of working
families: Biden, a trial-lawyer-friendly senator since the Jurassic era, or
a woman with five kids and a blue-collar spouse? Obama performed badly with
working-class rural voters in the primaries. Joe "the Pride of Scranton"
Biden is supposed to help on that front. Ridiculing small towns might not
help the cause.
Meanwhile, many recently moribund Republicans here are hopeful that the
party has successfully rebranded itself with Palin.
The enthusiasm may not last. But for now, she's the life of the party.
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