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Wednesday, July 04, 2007
Jonah Goldberg :: Townhall.com Columnist
The wealth between our ears
by Jonah Goldberg
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Was the Copenhagen Global Warming Summit Walk-Out a Win for the U.S.?


What if humanity disappeared tomorrow?

According to Alan Weisman, author of "The World Without Us," in an interview with Scientific American, nature would reclaim the planet awfully quickly. In the event of an ecumenical rapture or a "12 Monkeys"-style plague, Manhattan's suppressed underground rivers would quickly reclaim the Big Apple's core, mosquitoes would thrive, feral cats would rule the roost, and the Statue of Liberty would wait for an enraged Charlton Heston who, like Godot, would never arrive.

Weisman isn't concerned with what might eradicate humanity; he's just interested in what the world would be like without us. People have long been fascinated by such ideas. There's even an environmental fringe group called the Voluntary Human Extinction Movement, dedicated to the dream of Earth returned to the pastoral bliss of the noble savage, hold the noble savages.

More typical, however, is the fixation on imagining the world emptied not of everybody but of everybody else. That was the plan of several James Bond villains, countless sci-fi writers and more than a few eugenicists who fantasized about starting from scratch with just a handful of humans.

The seductiveness of such daydreaming stems from a view of humans as a burden rather than a boon. It was the British economist Thomas Malthus more than anyone else who introduced the phobia that humanity reproduced itself at unsustainable rates. That thinking led to such apocalyptic egghead porn as Paul R. Ehrlich's 1968 treatise, "The Population Bomb," in which the biologist predicted that 65 million Americans would die amid global starvation in the 1980s. In case you missed it, that didn't happen.

The blind spot in the Malthusian vision is humanity's bottomless capacity for innovation. The "green revolution," for example, largely eliminated food scarcity.

In other words, our wealth is really all in our heads. Literally.

In the United States, for example, less than a fifth of our wealth exists as material stuff like minerals, crops and factories. In Switzerland, cuckoo clocks, ski chalets, cheese, Rolex watches, timber and every other tangible asset amount to a mere 16 percent of that country's wealth. The rest is captured by the expertise, culture, laws and traditions of the Swiss themselves.

These numbers come from Kirk Hamilton, a World Bank environmental economist and lead author of a new study, "Where is the Wealth of Nations?" (available at worldbank.org). In a fascinating interview in Reason magazine, Hamilton explains how, when measured properly, "natural capital" (croplands, oil, etc.) and "produced capital" (factories, iPods, roads, etc.) are the smallest slices of the economic pie. What Hamilton calls "intangible capital," which includes the rule of law, education and the like, is by far the biggest slice. The entire planet's "natural capital accounts for 5 percent of total wealth, produced capital 18 percent and intangible capital 77 percent.

This makes some intuitive sense. We'd all rather be the man who knows how to fish than the man given a fish. Or think of it this way: The Malthusian thinks only about hardware, when the money is in software and design. China makes America's iPods; America collects the profits.

Also, the richer a country gets, the less it needs to live off its natural resources. Therefore, it becomes cheaper - and more popular - to protect the environment. This has been the trend in Europe and America, and hopefully it will be around the world.

This sea change in economic thinking doesn't cut easily along the left-right political axis, and its implications could be profound. "Root-causes" liberals can find a great deal of satisfaction in the emphasis "Where is the Wealth of Nations?" places on education. According to Hamilton, education explains about 36 percent of a country's intangible wealth. Conservatives can find solace in the importance of property rights and, moreover, in the confirmation that not all cultures are equal - at least when measured on their ability to produce and sustain wealth. And both right and left will agree that the rule of law - including fair courts and government transparency - is the single most important contributor to a nation's wealth.

A potential lesson for the World Bank may be that building roads, dams and factories in the Third World is a fool's errand until those nations have the intangible capital required to maintain such things. The Marshall Plan's success in rebuilding Europe after World War II stemmed not from the U.S. footing the bill for concrete and bulldozers but from the intangible capital locked in the hearts and minds of everyday Europeans.

In an odd way, I think this complements Weisman's depiction of a post-human future. The greatest symbols of our civilization - from skyscrapers to libraries - not only count for a mere fraction of our wealth, they would turn to dust and rubble if we disappeared. The hardware is nothing; the software, everything. All that civilization is and can become exists within us. If we forget that, we forget literally everything.

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About The Author
Jonah Goldberg is editor-at-large of National Review Online.
 
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mass extinction
There's one more point Mr. Goldberg should have made: If Man disappeared tomorrow, many of the species he domesticated would likely disappear tomorrow as well. The corn grown by our farmers has been bred to require artificial pollination and tender loving care; without humans it wouldn't grow at all. Domesticated cows, bred for slowness and tender meat, couldn't survive in the wild against predators like wolves. And so on.

"A potential lesson for the World Bank may be that building roads, dams and factories in the Third World is a fool's errand until those nations have the intangible capital required to maintain such things."

A potential lesson for America is that the building of infrastructure in Iraq is a fool's errand until they have a stable, peaceful society. But the world has its tongue hanging out for Iraqi oil and won't wait for that.

Use of Software
SteveL's elementary utilization of the Software Mr. Goldberg praises as the most valuable asset we possess, makes the case for the Malthusian vision.
Thanks again, Jonah, for a positive and uplifting addition of wealth you bring to the intellectual collection (Software).

Three Cheers for the Geeks and Eggheads

.....If our survival depends on our IQ ...then the Government Schools goal is our extinction ....COLOSSUS

Not if you are Canadian
"We would all rather be the man who can fish than the man who is given a fish."

If we are Canadian, we would rather scream day and night for fish to be taken away from the people who can fish and given to us. Because WEGOTTARIGHT to fish!

WEGOTTARIGHT to fish
Darn skippy, we do. Says so right there in the constitution or something. Sumptin bout the general welfare. You guys have that slippery phrase up there also? Of course, you are proof that the malady hasn't infected everyone yet. Guess it must be the regular vaccinations provided by this forum.

The best offering from Mr Goldberg
... I've seen. Well worth the read.

My experience with liberals has almost universally been that they see humanity as a burden upon the planet. I'm seldom at a complete loss for words, but I've never been able to counter these arguments, rationally or otherwise. How do you talk to someone who advocates human misery and death in the name of preserving their preference for "unspoiled" nature?

Of course liberals (being liberals) don't actually live as though they were a burden to the planet; that would be inconvenient...

this reminds
me of the Muslims. They scream about Western civilazation while using the technology and benefitting from it. They certainly love the Mercedes and the cell phone. Libtard environ wackos do the same. Though they have an aversion to bathing they love indoor plumbing and toilet paper.

Mondamay writes this is ....
.... The best Mr Goldberg piece (I've) seen and that it is well worth the read.

Hear! Hear! Mondamay.

Mr Goldberg, whom I've never really forgiven for censoring/axing the delightful Ms Coulter, Conservatism's brightest star and (well, after me and alongside Mr Stein) greatest intellect -- gets better and better -- and hasn't, thank you, Dear Lord, published the words, "my mother," for simply ages.

Way to go, Mr Goldberg!

Awesome
I've never read Mr. Goldberg's articles before, but I'm now a fan.

To the poster who commented on the "fool's errand" of building in Iraq before the country was ready to handle maintenance--that's a new thought to me. And a good question. However, how can we really be certain that the country wouldn't be ready to handle it on their own? A Jordanian resident we know commented on how many well-educated Iraqis in Jordan were champing at the bit to re-enter the country and build new lives with their families in Iraq once the fear of violence was ended. His comment was that Iraq's surrounding countries would never let a strong Iraq come about without a fight. I think an Iraq free from interference and fear of surrounding countries would definitely be able to maintain an infrastructure since so many of the unwilling emigres went on to schools in the West. But, then again, I'm just an amateur who loves to root for the underdog.
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