As I write this, America's population reportedly has passed the 300 million
mark. The most remarkable aspect of this landmark event is how unremarkable
it really is.
"If I had my way, I would build a lethal chamber as big as the Crystal
Palace, with a military band playing softly, and a Cinematograph working
brightly, and then I'd go out in back streets and main streets and bring
them all in, all the sick ... the maimed; I would lead them gently, and they
would smile me a weary thanks ..."
That was D.H. Lawrence daydreaming about population control. He was hardly
alone. During the so-called Progressive Era, "enlightened" social planners
were convinced that overpopulation was the gravest problem facing Western
society. That's why Lawrence gave "three cheers for the inventors of poison
gas."
George Bernard Shaw, a thoroughgoing eugenicist, believed that the "the
majority of men at present in Europe have no business to be alive." H.G.
Wells smiled at the prospect that the "swarms of black and brown and
dirty-white and yellow people" will "have to go." In America, Wells' onetime
girlfriend, Margaret Sanger, the founder of Planned Parenthood, argued that
birth control was essential to stem the rising tide of the unfit. Leading
feminists, Progressive economists and legal theorists shared a similar
vision. Supreme Court Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes, who concluded in the
case of Buck v. Bell that the state had the power to forcibly sterilize
"defectives," believed that forced population control was at the very heart
of Progressive reform.
The Holocaust diminished the popularity of eugenics, but the panic over
overpopulation endured. Paul Ehrlich, author of the scaremongering "The
Population Bomb," predicted in 1970 that between 1980 and 1989, roughly 4
billion people, including 65 million Americans, would starve or otherwise
meet their doom in the "Great Die-Off." Inspired by such fears, Alan
Guttmacher, the former president of Planned Parenthood, was a champion of
coerced birth control - i.e. "compulsory sterilization and compulsory
abortion" - throughout much of the world.
Today, overpopulation anxieties pale by comparison to years past. But simply
because people aren't proposing mass murder and forced sterilizations - or
predicting that twice the population of California will starve to death in a
country where obesity dwarfs hunger as a health concern - hardly means
current anxieties are reasonable.
These days, overpopulation is primarily a hang-up for environmentalists,
though suburbanites and feminists occasionally whine about it, too. And an
important part of the argument has changed. While before, Progressives were
worried about the "muck" at the low end of the global population, they're
now vexed by the fat cats at the top.
Americans consume more of the earth's resources, they complain, and produce
piles more greenhouse gasses. At the environmentalist fringe, there's even a
growing movement to convince eco-friendly Americans to voluntarily reduce or
eliminate their own reproduction in order to ease the strain on Mother
Nature. Since the political orientation of your parents is the single best
determinant of your own politics, you can expect a lot fewer
environmentalists in a couple decades if this idea catches on.
What unites today's worriers and those of yesteryear is their common
allegiance to Malthusianism. The British economist Thomas Malthus argued
that population will always outstrip available resources. And he was 100
percent wrong.
Because people are, in the words of Julian Simon, "the ultimate resource."
Given the right policies, intellectual and economic productivity trumps
biological reproductivity. "Between 1820 and 1992," Ronald Bailey writes in
Earth Report 2000, "world population quintupled even as the world's
economies grew 40-fold." Productivity matters more than other statistical
measures because it demonstrates we're doing more with less. That's why, for
example, starvation is a political disaster, not a natural one. There's
literally too much food in the world. There's also plenty of land left. You
could move the entire world population inside medium-sized homes and they'd
all fit inside Texas, yielding a population density similar to that of
Paris.
Today's Malthusians still look askance at economic productivity, believing
that it's better to limit growth at a "sustainable" rate, which means
consigning billions of poor people to lives that threaten the environment
(poor people treat their environments like expendable resources rather than
priceless luxuries) and, worse, threaten their own lives. It's more
enlightened than dreaming of a giant gas chamber, to be sure. But that's got
to be small solace for those trapped at the bottom. |