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Wednesday, March 14, 2007
John Stossel :: Townhall.com Columnist
Hazardous Safety Regulation
by John Stossel
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Will Congress pass Obamacare by the end of the year?

Whenever someone is hurt in an accident, people say, "There ought to be a law!" Politicians rush to oblige them and then take credit for all the lives they saved.

But shouldn't they also accept blame for the lives lost because of those laws?

Lives lost? Yes. A joint study by the Brookings Institution and American Enterprise Institute [http://www.aei-brookings.org/publications/abstract.php?pid=98] found that government regulations that are supposed to save lives actually end up killing more people.

Why? Because safety laws almost always have unintended bad consequences.

For years I've ridden my bike to work without a helmet, which seemed especially dumb since "20/20"'s offices are in New York City. I feel much safer now, but it's not clear that I am safer.

Ian Walker, a human-behavior researcher at the University of Bath in England, put a sensor and camera on his bike and rode for miles with and without a helmet. His data showed that when he wore the helmet, 23 percent more cars came within three feet of him.

"[The drivers are] saying,'He knows what he's doing.' When they see a cyclist who has all the gear, they think it's a sign of someone who's experienced and skillful," Walker surmises.

Biking is obviously less safe if cars are closer. Walker says there's another unintended consequence of helmet laws.

"Parts of Australia, Canada, and New Zealand have made bicycle helmets a requirement. The number of head injuries among cyclists in those countries drops off."

That's good, right?

"However, the number of cyclists is dropping off at exactly the same rate."

That's not good, assuming they don't take up other exercise.

"When people don't cycle, they're not getting exercise," Walker says. "Being sedentary is incredibly dangerous. You get heart attacks; you get strokes -- proven killers that kill thousands of people. So when people make helmets a requirement, with the best intentions, it may actually kill more people." Continued...

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About The Author
John Stossel blogs at http://blogs.abcnews.com/johnstossel/ is an award-winning news correspondent and author of Myths, Lies, and Downright Stupidity: Get Out the Shovel--Why Everything You Know is Wrong.
 
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©Creators Syndicate
ATTENTION ALL MEDICAL PERSONNEL !!!
Consider this pledge and sign on:

As a medical professional I,_______ (name) refuse to treat anyone who is injured while riding a bicycle or motorcycle WITHOUT WEARING AN APPROVED SAFETY HELMET!

My time and expertise is to valuable to those who suffer from disease or injury through no fault of their own-than to be wasted on those who are injured by choice (not wearing a helmet)!
By wasting my time, through a stupid choice, I would be denying medical attention to those who really DESERVE it! The correct term in this matter is TRIAGE.

You who refuse to wear a helmet have NO RIGHT to infringe on the medical attention given to others.

The insurance industry can choose to increase rates or DENY COVERAGE to those who smoke or refuse to wear seat belts in cars;

I believe that those of us in the medical industry should have the same freedom to deny services! A pharmacist,on the basis of his or her moral objections, should also have the right to deny medications.

You who refuse to wear an approved safety helmet while riding a bicycle or motorcycle have been warned! At best, you may be put at the bottom of triage by other professionals who choose to treat you! The choice is YOURS!

This pledge has been drawn up by:

misterfact@yahoo.com


Statistics can equal Damn Lies
This is one of my favorite stories dealing with how statistics can lie. This is an example I used in a Statistics class I took a few decades ago:

After the National Maximum Speed Limit was enacted to lower the highway speed limits to 55 MPH at the height of the Arab Oil Embargo in an effort to 'save energy' it was noticed by a number of non-governmental traffic safety groups that the number of traffic fatalities went down, too. They made the claim the "55 Saves Lives". The only problem was that they cherry picked the statistics they used to prove their point. Yes, traffic fatalities went down, but not because of the lower speed limit. They went down because fewer people were driving due to the shortage of gasoline.

When the death rate (traffic fatalities per million passenger miles traveled) was employed, you could not look at chart of the fatality rate (starting in 1926 when the government started keeping records of such things) and see the point where the speed limit was lowered. The trend had been downward since 1926 and the time period in question was well within the standard deviation. It did not stand out.

The traffic safety groups took two related statistics and made a pronouncement that X caused Y. However, as a number of my professors during my college days constantly reminded me, correlation does not imply causality. But that doesn't stop people with a point to prove from doing just that. It's done all the time.
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