The past year has been brutal for dividend-focused
investors. Companies that not long ago were considered
rock-solid dividend plays --
AIG (NYSE: AIG),
MBIA (NYSE: MBI), etc. -- are slashing
payouts left and right. More companies cut their dividends in
the first half of 2009 than in all of 2006 through 2008
combined. (That'd be 400 vs. 382, for the curious.)
There's plenty of reason to be sore about those dividend
cuts: Mind-blowingly thorough research from Wharton professor
Jeremy Siegel shows that dividends are a
crucial driverof long-term market outperformance.
But rather than spend the rest of this recession hiding
under a rock, we dividend-loving investors can profit. Yes,
many companies are cutting their dividends, but there are
plenty of stocks not only maintaining their dividends, but
growingthem -- 34 in September alone!
Spotting the long-haul winners
As we've seen, cuts happen. But fortunately,
identifying dividend payers with sustainable, growing payouts
isn't exactly rocket science. You just need to know what
you're looking for.
Companies with long, uninterrupted histories of dishing
out dividends typically share these three traits.
1. They consistently rake in cash.
Healthy dividends are funded with free cash flow, which
means that prodigious cash generation and dividend safety go
hand in hand. Dividend-dealers
Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) and
Monsanto (MON), for example, convert about
19% and 16% of revenue into free cash, respectively.
2. They aren't cyclical.
During boom times, profits in a cyclical industry flow
like a Saudi oil well, often leading management teams to
overcommit to high dividends and significant expansion.
Picture miners, dry bulk shippers, and homebuilders, among
others.
When a cyclical industry tightens up (and such industries
alwaysdo), cash profits follow suit, and once-high
dividend payouts quickly find themselves on the chopping
block.
3. They are conservatively capitalized.
Even well-run companies that aren't in cyclical
industries can occasionally find themselves on the outs. Look
for companies that consistently produce operating profits
well in excess of their debt obligations. By looking out for
companies that demonstrate these qualities, you're setting
yourself up to find
the next great dividend winner.
A company that recently caught my eye -- and that
demonstrates these three qualities -- is
Motley Fool Income Investor
recommendation
Waste Management , the largest player in the
trash game.
Trash and cash
Waste Management operates in a pretty mundane industry.
But your trash is Waste Management's cash. The company turns
a solid 9% of its revenue into free cash flow and pulls in
operating profits nearly five times the size of its interest
expense.
And while declines in industrial trash collection have
slowed growth, those of us who routinely lug our trash to the
curb can attest that demand for residential trash collection
is
extremelyconsistent.
Owning shares of Waste Management is a bit like having a
stake in a collection of small near-monopolies. Building a
landfill requires a lot of cash, involves miles of red tape,
and incites intense blowback from the locals. These
challenges keep competition at bay and have helped lead to
consolidation and better pricing in the industry.
It gets better
For starters, there's no real chance that technological
obsolescence will undercut Waste Management's service
offering. Similarly, unlike a
Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM), Waste
Management doesn't have to spend a huge chunk of its coin on
research and development on an ongoing basis. Waste hauling
is as static a business as it is boring -- and that's a good
thing. Continued... |