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Thursday, August 16, 2007
Jerry Bowyer :: Townhall.com Columnist
A Presidential Moment
by Jerry Bowyer
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It's not sub-prime; that asset class just isn't nearly large enough. It's not the business cycle; profits are up substantially over the last quarter. It's not the consumer economy; our personal income statements and balance sheets are up to the challenge of paying our bills. It's not a cash drought; people are buying safe securities like Treasuries, which means they're buying, which means they have money.

It's the credit cycle. There's a kink in the hose. People want to buy houses, and they have jobs. They can pay their mortgages. There are houses available to buy; in fact, the inventory of unsold homes is rather high.

Investors have money to loan to home buyers, but for some reason it's not getting there. The lenders have gone on strike, and like the railroad strikes under Truman or the steel crisis under JFK, the strikers are big enough to do some real damage. The institutions on strike are large and it's going to take a large institution to solve it – the office of the President of the United States.

This is a Presidential moment.

At times like this, the President gets the major players in a room, locks the door and gets to the bottom of things. Truman did it with railroad companies and unions. Kennedy did it with steel companies and their unions. It worked both times.

Imagine a high profile meeting which involves the mortgage brokers, the banks, the hedge fund guys, the regulators and the builders and all of them accompanied by the top staffers who know the details. At the top: Bush, Bolton, Paulson. The meeting would be high-profile, but off-the-record. It would not be a regulatory witch-hunt. Bernanke should be there too; just because the Fed is independent doesn't mean they're quarantined.

Remember the scene in It's a Wonderful Life when a terrified man asked George Bailey for his money back? Bailey said "you've got it all wrong, your money's not here, it's over there in Martini's house. He's good for it. He'll pay you back."

Most of the people with savings accounts calmed down, and the Bailey Building & Loan survived. It's more complicated now, but the fundamental structure of the credit cycle is the same – savers, through various intermediaries, loan money to home-buyers.

Somewhere between the saver and the buyer there's a kink in the hose. It's the job of our nation's Chief Executive to find it. Anything else leaves a severe leadership vacuum.

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About The Author

Jerry Bowyer is a radio and television talk show host.

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Are we surprised?
We are 9 TRILLION DOLLARS in debt and are borrowing over 2 billion dollars in day, largely from RED CHINA. In addition to that, the Federal Reserve is creating money out of thin air and loaning it to our runaway spending government. That's called, inflation. It may not be an income tax, but it darn sure is a tax.... inflation tax. Every time they do that, each and every one of the dollars we hold is devalued. Our dollar is no longer backed by a precious metal. BIG MISTAKE. Because that is what allows our government to get away with this theft.

If anyone cares to read something, here's a good book called What has Government Done to our Money by Murray Rothbard.
http://www.mises.org/media.aspx?action=category&ID=92

You can listen to it as you're perusing Townhall.

Liberty is on the right track.
Inflation is a tax on cash, whether it's in the form of hand-to-hand currency or savings.

Our beloved Fed has been pumping out money as fast as it can. The central bankers of the world just dished out 138Billion to ease the credit crunch. Both of these actions are supposed to ease interest rates.

The problem is that both these actions will increase interest rates, as the supply of money increases at a higher rate than the supply of goods and services available to buy. Investors aren't stupid, they are cautious right aboutnow, because they have good reason to believe that rates are going to go up, therefore they don't want to buy longer term paper, since longer term paper will lose more value than suort term paper when rates go up.

Where are the "savings" that the public has? As far as I know, the savings rate has been negative or zero for a long time now. That's part of the reason the sub-prime mortgage sector exists -- people don't have income or savings to qualify for a traditional loan.

Bush getting these guys together will do nothing. We have to put a leash on the Fed and get our internal and external accounts in balance.

What this article calls for reminds me of the "Bankers' Committee" that met during the meltdown in 1929 and that led to Whitney walking the floor of the NYSE buying everything in sight. It won't work.

Barry

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