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Thursday, December 07, 2006
Jeff Jacoby :: Townhall.com Columnist
'Conversations' with the enemy
by Jeff Jacoby
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Should the United States turn to Iran and Syria for help in reducing the violence bloodying Iraq? James Baker's Iraq Study Group, out this week with its well-leaked recommendations, thinks direct talks with Tehran and Damascus would be a fine idea. I think so too -- right after those governments switch sides in the global jihad.

As things stand now, however, negotiating with Iran and Syria over the future of Iraq is about as promising a strategy for preventing more bloodshed as negotiating with Adolf Hitler over the future of Czechoslovakia was in 1938. There were eminent "realists" then too, many of whom were gung-ho for cutting a deal with the Fuehrer. As Neville Chamberlain set off on the diplomatic mission that would culminate in Munich, William Shirer recorded in *The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich,* Britain's poet laureate, John Masefield, composed a paean in his honor. When the negotiations were done and Czechoslovakia had been dismembered, the prime minister was hailed as a national hero. FDR saluted him in a two-word telegram: "Good man." The Nobel Committee received not one, not two, but 10 nominations proposing Chamberlain for the 1939 peace prize.

But 1939 would see neither peace nor prize. Chamberlain and his admirers had been certain that Munich would bring "peace in our time." Instead it helped pave the way for war.

How many times does the lesson have to be relearned? There is no appeasing the unappeasable. When democracies engage with fanatical tyrants, the world becomes not less dangerous but more so.

That wasn't the fashionable view in 1938, however, and it isn't popular today. According to a new World Public Opinion poll, 75 percent of Americans agree that to stabilize Iraq, the United States should enter into talks with Iran and Syria. "I believe in talking to your enemies," James Baker declares. "I don't think you restrict your conversations to your friends."

But with totalitarian regimes like those in Iran and Syria, the effect of such "conversations" is usually negative. It buys time and legitimacy for the totalitarians, while deepening their conviction that the West has no stomach for a fight. No one was more pleased with Chamberlain's diplomacy than Hitler, for it proved that Germany was in the saddle, riding the democracies -- that the momentum was with Berlin, while London and Paris were flailing. The Baker panel's recommendations will bring similar satisfaction to Tehran and Damascus.

Shortly after 9/11, President Bush famously declared that every nation "now has a decision to make: Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists." At every step of the way, Iran and Syria have unambiguously been with the terrorists.

As the world's foremost sponsors of radical Islamic violence, the State Department reported in April, "Iran and Syria routinely provide unique safe haven, substantial resources, and guidance to terrorist organizations." While the Assad regime engineers the assassination of Lebanese politicians, Iran's rabid president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, calls openly for "death to America" and demands that Israel be "wiped off the map."

Syria was Saddam Hussein's most dependable Middle East confederate, and almost from the moment the Iraqi insurgency began it was clear that Damascus was pouring fuel on the fire. Iran, too, works overtime to intensify the Iraqi bloodshed. ABC News reported last week on the discovery of "smoking-gun evidence of Iranian support for terrorists in Iraq: brand-new weapons fresh from Iranian factories." Among the finds: "advanced IEDs designed to pierce armor and anti-tank weapons." In other words, to murder US troops.

No regimes on earth have more to gain from an American defeat in Iraq than the theocracy in Iran and the Assad dictatorship in Syria. They have every incentive to aggravate the Iraqi turmoil that already has so many Americans clamoring for withdrawal. "There is no evidence to support the assumption that Iran and Syria want a stable Iraq," writes Middle East Quarterly editor Michael Rubin, whose experience in the region runs deep. "Rather, all their actions show a desire to stymie the United States and destabilize their neighbor. More dangerous still . . . is the naive assumption that making concessions to terrorism or forcing others to do so brings peace rather than war."

The war against radical Islam, of which Iraq is but one front, cannot be won so long as regimes like those in Tehran and Damascus remain in power. They are as much our enemies today as the Nazi Reich was our enemy in an earlier era. Imploring Assad and Ahmadinejad for help in Iraq can only intensify the whiff of American retreat that is already in the air. The word for that isn't realism. It's surrender.

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About The Author

Jeff Jacoby is an Op-Ed writer for the Boston Globe, a radio political commentator, and a contributing columnist for Townhall.com. href="http://www.townhall.com/Secure/Signup.aspx">Sign up today

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Dear Einhverfr,
You are correct, if I followed you correctly. Your analogy is good except that it has no emotion. We are emotional and that's always a variable.

I really like president Bush, even if I'm the only one left standing. It's been interesting to watch a President make unpopular choices because he has convictions. When you do that it's never tidy. It wasn't for Abraham Lincoln either.

There isn't enough time for a president to accomplish much. A cultural civil war in our country crested during his presidency. The status quo of the MSM has been challenged, which is good.

Change is good and never perfect and often not reversible so we have to proceed slowly. I think we are impatient. We can't drive fast enough. We are plugged in all the time. Technology has offered a lot, but taken a lot away. My kids don't appreciate that they can get any info they want any time of day. Speed shouldn't always be the most important aspect of change, the process is important too. Every situation is different.


Meg
In the end, however much we may disagree on matters of principle, I think we do agree on the most important matters. In order to illustrate this, I am going to talk a little about my profession and how it pertains to politics. If you read it carefully, you will probably see that methdologically we agree for the most part.

I am a software engineer. I work mostly on open source software (which means it is written in loose cooperation by a larger community). I tend to have a strong role in security engineering, and also offer my customers computer security-related services.

When most people write a piece of software, they often want to go back, start from scratch, and write a much better one. Or they want to replace large parts of the software with better ones between versions. As a result, a great deal of computer software today is bloated and buggy (like the American Government). Change causes problems becuase the system is sufficiently complex that one will always overlook (or may simply not know) some critical piece. This is, in art, software, or social policy what the progressive or innovative traditions have to offer.

A better way to go about things is to break up a large task into very small tasks. These changes can be made in place even through a single stable version. They are easily testable. Their effects are known. And they are reversible. Because the overall structure of the software (or society) is left intact, we get something better and eventually wake up to find that things have changed markedly for the better. When this path is followed, the software tends to incrimentally evolve into something better, it appears less innovative, but it is always more stable, solid, and predictable. And that is usually what you really want.

I think the same idea needs to be applied to any social change. We can all identify what we think needs to be changed. And we can try to make small changes in the directions needed. These changes will have known effects an we can always go back.

Problems of course are greater when you have inherent contradictions in the current state that need to be resolved. The issue of gay legal unions is one of these (tradition v. a relatively new Constitutional Amendment) and probably the most complex. But even (perhaps especially) here I think it is extremely important for the courts to make as few changes as possible.

Unfortunately, the only part of our goverment which is set up to be methodologically conservative is the court system. I would prever to see a real constrained vision conservative in the presidency, but I fear that one cannot maintain a constrained vision with that much power and that little time. The legislature is different, but it too discourages constraint in change.
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