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Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Jack Kemp :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Treats to Our Markets
by Jack Kemp
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Poll
Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


Are Barack Obama's proposed tax increases adversely affecting our financial markets? We say yes, unambiguously. The senator has done a masterful job distracting attention from his tax increases with his $500-per-worker tax credit supposedly for 95 percent of Americans.

Obama has also set forth more than half a dozen additional refundable income tax credits targeted to low- and moderate-income workers for child care, education, housing, welfare, retirement, health care and other social purposes. These tax credits are devised to phase out based on income, which will ultimately increase marginal income tax rates for middle-class workers. In other words, as you earn more, you suffer a penalty in the phase-out of these credits, which has the exact effect of a marginal tax rate increase. That harms rather than improves the economy.

With the bottom 40 percent of income earners in America not paying any federal income taxes, such tax credits would not reduce any tax liability for these workers. Instead, since they're refundable, they would involve new checks from the federal government. These are not tax cuts as Obama is promising. They are new government spending programs buried in the tax code and estimated to cost $1.3 trillion over 10 years.

Obama argues that while these workers do not pay income taxes, they do pay payroll taxes. True — but his planned credits do not involve cuts in payroll taxes. They are refundable income tax credits designed solely to redistribute income and "spread the wealth."

Meanwhile, Obama has proposed effective tax increases of 20 percent or more in the two top income tax rates, phasing out the personal exemptions and all itemized deductions for top earners, as well as raising their tax rates. He wants a 33 percent increase in the tax rates on capital gains and dividends, an increase of 16 percent to 32 percent in the top payroll tax rate, reinstatement of the death tax with a 45 percent top rate, and a new payroll tax on employers estimated at 7 percent to help finance his health insurance plan. He's also contending for higher tariffs under his protectionist policies.

Finally, he would increase corporate taxes by 25 percent, even though American businesses already face the second highest marginal tax rates in the industrialized world, thus directly harming manufacturing and job creation while weakening demand for the dollar.

Obama argues disingenuously that his tax increases would only affect higher-income workers and "corporate fat cats." But it is precisely these top marginal tax rates that control incentives for savings, investment, entrepreneurship, business expansion, jobs and economic growth. While he wants to tax the rich, the burden will fall on the poor and the middle class.

In their new book, "The End of Prosperity," Art Laffer, Steve Moore and Peter Tanous argue that the threat of this tax tsunami is already destabilizing our financial markets and causing capital flight from America. They write, "Hot capital is escaping over the borders out of the United States and flowing into China, India, Europe, and even Japan. ... [S]tarting in late 2007, foreigners started pulling their money out of the United States, and Americans started investing more abroad. Global investors are losing confidence in the U.S."

The American economy was in shambles when Reagan entered office in 1981. Inflation had soared by 25 percent over the prior two years, unemployment was heading toward 10 percent, the prime interest rate hit 21 percent, poverty was on a 33 percent upswing and real family income had decreased by almost 10 percent due to the stagflation of the late 1970s.

Reagan cut the top income tax rate from 70 percent to 50 percent, adopted an additional 25 percent across-the-board rate cut and sliced capital gains taxes in half. The 1986 tax reform left us with just two tax rates of 15 percent and 28 percent. Reagan slashed spending growth, lowered tariffs, reduced regulatory burdens and promoted anti-inflation monetary policies.

The result, the authors explain, was actually a 25-year, non-inflationary economic boom, with only two brief, mild recessions in 1990 and 2001. They write: "We call this period, 1982-2007, the 25 year boom — the greatest period of wealth creation in the history of the planet. ... Adjusting for inflation, more wealth was created in America in the 25 year boom than in the previous 200 years."

By 1989, the economy had grown by almost one-third, the equivalent of adding the entire economy of West Germany to our U.S. economy. In 1984 alone, real economic growth boomed by 6.8 percent, the highest in 50 years. Nearly 20 million new jobs were created in the 1980s, increasing U.S. civilian employment by almost 20 percent. Unemployment fell to 5.3 percent by 1989.

Spectacularly, inflation was slashed to 3.2 percent by 1983. The prime rate fell to 6.25 percent by 1992, even though opponents had argued that Reagan's tax cuts would increase interest rates. Family income reversed its decline, poverty reversed its rise, and tax revenues actually doubled.

This is the Change We Need today.

Secretary Jack Kemp is founder and chairman of Kemp Partners. Peter Ferrara is director of entitlement and budget policy for the Institute for Policy Innovation, and formerly served in the Reagan White House.

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About The Author
Jack Kemp is Founder and Chairman of Kemp Partners and a contributing columnist to Townhall.com.
 
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a time to act
President Reagan once asked, "If not us, who? If not now, when?"

Now is our moment.

The election is just days away. It's crunch time folks. We need to get funds to goptrust.com so they can run the new 30-second TV ad showcasing the Wrong Reverend Wright and OBama - it's a home run. Go to http://www.goptrust.com to see it.

The ad is running now in four swing states. We need to help the GOP Trust to expand their ad program. We need to pummel Obama and expose his lies and the media's blatant efforts to elect him.

Make a donation and stop this charlatan and his blind followers from ruining America like LBJ did in the 60s.

Absurdly ignorant rantings....
Finances are leaving our shores in search of "better ROI" thanks to the mismanagement of our current and previous political leaders ignorance of the impact of legislation/deregulation...and reluctance to force meaningful stops, corrections, and regulations when they first saw the problems starting.

Why wouldn't an investor who had the resources exchange his Japanese Yen for US dollars--it's worth more.

It's time the people--took back control of the government. It's current and previous President's haven't used their bully pulpit to accomplish much. Either way--we're in for economic upheaval--after it's over--perhaps a little reality will instill itself into the CEO's office.


Yes, donate to Rep. Trust
They have 1 million to show ad of the Rev. Wright ranting anti-American and anti-white screeds and they need 2 million more for all battleground states.

Also, write letters@latimes.com for LAtimes to release video of Obama embracing and praising a deginated terrorist.

Vote McCain/Palin and avoid the O dictatorship.

Last 8 yrs. gave us
until this spring

4% GNP
0 interest
0 inflation
5% unemployment (now 6%)
deposition of Saddam Hussein (new Hitler)
deposition of Taliban (new gulag)
democracy developing in center of Middle East
15,000 stock market at peak (Carter's market never saw 1000)
buffo exports
free trade
free minds and actions

Stop whining and vote McCain/Palin and avoid the O dictatorship.

renny
Partisanship that ignores the actual picture accomplishes little. A five year consumer lead recovery has now collapsed, so your 4.0 GNP must be averaged over the peak - and the ensuing valley. Interest and inflation, in turn, were not 0% - wherever did you come up with that? The market peaked under Clinton, if you actually think that oversold markets are a good thing - which most don't. And now, needless to say, that peak is long gone as the 14,000 of the peak has moved to 8000 or so. Our balance of payments deficits between imports and exports rose from $100 billion to $800 billion, and the recent surge in exports is due solely to a dollar than in 5 years lost 40% of its value - making our exports cheaper. We deposed Saddam, but his successors are now moving to despose us in the next two years - as they have repeatedly said - and, they take the standard Arab line on Israel, and are closer to Iran and Syria than to us. As far as the Taliban, you obviously aren't paying attention. It is they, not the current government, who control the largest parts of Afghanistan, and we have no strategy to prevent that. And, as with your "GNP" figure, employment must take into account the years following the boom - to create an average.

Frankly, your paint the picture rosy routine seems almost absurd given what has transpired. We built a recovery on debt, federal, state, personal and corporate - not on productivity - and we're now paying the price.

FICA is the opposite
Social Security Tax gets phased out at 100k so you get a 15% tax cut. And don't give me any baloney about ia trust fund, blah, blah blah. It goes into the general fund which pays for todays programs.

Payroll tax = Social Security Tax
I love how Liberals call the social security tax the "Payroll Tax".

So if Barack Obama gives a tax credit to compensate for the high payroll tax, will this jeopardise social security?

Does that mean he is opposed to fully funding Social Security?


Renny
I think your numbers are a bit off but the general trends are there.

We will never know how bad things would have been were it not for the steady hand of George Bush.

We do know our inflation rate is lower than socialist Europe.

We do know our un-employment rate is lower than socialist Europe.

We do know our GNP is much higher than Socialist Europe.


We do know Bush increased spending but far less than the Democrats in Congress wanted to spend.

We do know Bush did not have the economic boost of the Y2K scare that caused the high tech bubble for Bill Clinton.

We do know the eoconomy survived the 2 trillion dollar loss due to the destruction of the world trade Center.

We do know the current economic downturn is the result of high energy costs that could have been avoided if Liberal Democrats would stop blocking an energy bill.

We do know America has had less Terrorist attacks than Bill Clinton.

All and all, taking everything into account, Not a bad job George W. Bush. I just wish you could speak English clearly. Liberals need help understanding american values.

consistency
so basically you are saying that the Obama tax policy will be the same kind of job killer that you said the Clinton tax policy would be. You remain refreshingly undaunted by having been wrong on that occassion. A lesser man would learn from experience.

OBAMA=COLOSSAL TAXES, SPEND, SOCIALISM!
Under Senator Obama's tax plan, Americans of every background would see their taxes rise--seniors, parents, small business owners, and just about everyone who has even a modest investment in the market. Obama sends “Bonus Welfare Checks” to non-workers paid for by every American worker!
John McCain, NSBS. Washington D.C.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=po7J0f5TMrQ

Obama will increase the corporate tax to 39.6 %, capital gains and dividend taxes to 28% on small business’ earning more than $250 thousand, inheritance tax 45% (When a guy wants to tax inheritances 45% so that "families can't amass fortunes to leave to their kids", that is socialism.), payroll surcharge tax to 4% and income taxes on a family earning $42,000 annually. Be afraid. Be very afraid!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qMClW...watch_response

Marxist Obama will transfer these burdens to you and your family if he is elected: soaring interest rates; a bankrupt Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and Education systems; surging taxes on everything you purchase; $trillions in federal debt, GIVE your money to non-workers; No drill energy policy; $700 billion annually to enemy countries for OIL; increase in gas and heating fuel prices; an impoverished retirement accounts.
http://pundits.thehill.com/2008/09/1...a-and-taxes-2/

Brad O'Leary, author of "The Audacity of Deceit: Barack Obama's War on American Values." "You can't give a tax cut to 95 percent of Americans if only 70 percent of them pay federal income taxes in the first place.” “Bonus Welfare Checks” for non-workers!
http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE...w&pageId=76971

At a Philadelphia primary, Barack Obama said, "...just because you have an individual right does not mean that the state or local government can't constrain the exercise of that right..." Be afraid. Be very afraid!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJ3ibE6LtEE

Treats Or Threats?
Evidently a typo....I hope.

Taxes
Make less than 250k - get a tax cut

Small business owner makes less than 250k in net profit - get a tax cut.

Don't vote against your own self interest. You can vote for Obama.

My Contribution
Hey, conservatives and GOP. You're wasting your time. No one's listening. No one understands. No one cares. Shut up.

Take a plane ride at 20,000 ft and look over the nation. This isn't our parents' America any more. The people are morons. They grew up without parents and they failed in school. They breathe through their mouths and drool on themselves.

They're hyphenated "Americans", victims, cripples, serfs and slaves. Most get government money and benefits of some type. Many are from the Third World and have despotism, dictatorships and warlords in their DNA. The concept of freedom, democracy, self reliance are totally foreign to them.

Barack's promised us everything we want free. We won't have to lift a finger. We'll just sit on the sofas on our front porches and wait for the mailman to bring us our checks.

You GOP guys with all your talk about markets, capitalism, hard work, independence, the constitution, and all the other outmoded Euro-centric garbage are chumps.

Now get back to work so the rest of us can enjoy the good life when Barack takes your money.

Fools.

BHO FAILS HISTORY CLASSES
History proves those similar to BHO's economic and tax policies have NEVER succeeded. I look for the market to plunge IF he is elected and IF his domestic policies are implemented, jobs from every industry will exodus this nation. It will mean cats and dogs living together - mass hysteria. Then of course, if he loses, I expect mass arrests for public anarchy - but not in my town.

A Vet Looks at Barack Obama
Conservative columnists are giving the warning about Barack Obama. The question is - How many will listen and hear? I'm afraid for the most part we conservatives are still 'preaching to the choir'. Partly because that's where our communication channels lie. And partly because we still underestimate the threat that Barack Obama and his radical left and Islamist allies pose to this country. They may be implementing a bloodless coup. That doesn't make it any less effective a coup.

To understand Barack Obama and the risk he poses read 'Understanding Obama: The Making of a Fuehrer' by Ali Sina at http://www.faithfreedom.org/obama.html

Read 'William Ayers and Barack Obama: Finally exposed' by Andy Martin at http://www.pr-inside.com/william-ayers-and-barack-obama-fi nally-r797225.htm

William Ayers - an openly unrepentant domestic terrorist, as head of the Weather Underground, was planning to kill 25 million Americans who couldn't be 'reeducated'. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NJn5b8_weUY

Barack Obama is a Marxist, perhaps an Islamist, allied with a domestic terrorist, Islamists, and other radical leftists for at least 21 years on project after project with the purpose of subverting the United States. With a massive influx of money from Islamist and radical left sources, voter fraud, and a supportive press; they're on the verge of succeeding.

I'm a Vietnam veteran who after watching the DVD 'Obsession' about Islamic terrorism and reading Brigitte Gabriel's book 'Because They Hate' decided to find out what I could about Barack Obama. It has me truly concerned for this nation that I love.

The links I have on my blog http://billlong.blogtownhall.com build an overwhelming case against Obama. I've been emailing it to friends and anti-Obama blogs and web sites. The truth needs to get out to everyone. If you agree with what you see on the blog, then let your friends know about it.

Where are the facts?
Let’s argue with facts. Based on data from Bloomberg, from end of WWII to present (1945-2008):

The US economy has grown on average 2.8% under Republican administrations, versus 4.4% under Democrats per year. Advantage: Democrats by 1.7%.

The stock market has grown on average 6.6% per year under Republican, versus 11% per year under Democrats. Advantage: Democrats by 4.4%. For similar results using a slightly longer data going back to just after the Great Depression, see http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/09/05/are-republican-pr esidents-better-for-the-stock-market/ (if you google it, you'll find a regular plus for Americans in the stock market under democrats), where the data show that "Democratic presidents generate average stock market returns in excess of the risk-free rate of 10.69% -- roughly six times the 1.69% earned under Republican administrations”.

The economy has added 89K jobs per month under Republican administrations, versus 182K jobs per month under Democrats. Advantage: Democrats by 93K.

The average unemployment rate has been 5.9% under Republican administrations, versus 5.1% under Democrats per year. Advantage: Democrats by 0.8%.

Folks, ignore focus-group words such as liberal, conservative, socialism, free market that mean completely different things to different people, and vote based on facts. The facts are that, if you want better economy, more jobs, better investment returns, vote Democrats. If you want slower economy, less jobs created, and lower investment returns, vote Republicans.


Bas
I am familiar with this cut and paste why don't you get your own ideas if that is possible. You don't have to wait long to see this singular argument that includes more than the time WE ARE TALKING ABOUT HERE.

Let's talk some real pertinent facts.

The 2 biggest disasters were Clinton from 1992-1994 UNDER ALL DEMOCRAT CONTROL UNTIL REPUBLICANS TOOK THE HOUSE. Then Clinton RESTRAINED by Republicans and reading the writing on the wall he was next in 1996 he played ball and acted like a republican. The country enjoyed a prosperous economy.

Congress controls the purse strings read the constitution. REPUBLICANS with the Contract with America saved the economy. Not Clinton.

The 2nd biggest was 1976-1980 Under Carter another ALL DEMOCRAT GOVERNMENT.

Landslide for Reagan and the current 25 year boom!

We are looking at an ALL DEMOCRAT GOVERNMENT.

MOST OF US WEREN'T IMPRESSED WITH THE LATEST CRAP FROM ALL DEMS!!! As a matter of fact we are damn sure it will be the same disaster!

THE GIST OF THE ARTICLE!

Tax and Spend
For those of you that don't know, or just are to dumb to realize, this is nothing more than the same old Republican Scare Tatics they have been using for 50 years. Oh those country killing Democrats all they want to do is tax and spend.
My Question is, what is John McCain's detailed plan? Everyone of you right wing whack jobs seems to know exactly how Obama's plan will work, but you can't tell me how McCain's plan is going to work.
Please keep you stupid fear mongering comments to yourself.

Neil
If you don't like our stupid fear mongering comments, go some place else. No one is forcing you to read this.

If you are here very often, you know that most of the people on this site are not fans of John McCain. We will vote for him only because Obama would be SO MUCH worse.

You're not going to change any minds here, so go to ...some place you will be more comfortable.

Right on, Mr. Kemp
I am a moderate income earner. I am also an American who believes in our constitution. After 9/11 I wrote to President Bush and asked him to address constitutional law. Our bed wetting liberal "elected" officals have destroyed what our country was founded upon. There are men, such as my dad, who are self made through their own efforts, education and sacrifice and are taxed well above 50%. Then we have those who claim we are all equal, yet fail to rise to the occasion. It is time to take a very close look at our constitution and to adhere to it's intent. Mr. Kemp, not only are you a very hot man, your message today has been noted. I hope every American who has any money in the bank removes it ASAP if barry is elected. When the non contributors have a say in how my tax dollars are extorted, and then used, then I am prepared to move towards a revolution that would rid our country of the fleas it has collected.

Hussein's taxes
EXISTING DEMOCRAT TAX BILLS AWAITING ACTION
INFO FROM OUR LOCAL LIBERAL NEWSPAPER
45 TRILLION DOLLARS = Carbon credit Tax
1 TRILLION DOLLARS = Charlie Rangel’s Tax
845 BILLION DOLLARS = Obama’s To-The-UN-To-Give-To-Our-Enemies-Tax
76 BILLION DOLLARS = Obama’s gasoline tax
10 CENTS PER GALLON = Gasoline pump tax increase
47 TRILLION DOLLARS = TOTAL NEW TAXES
THIS DOESN’T INCLUDE TAX CUTS THEY WILL ELIMINATE!

OBAMA WANTS ONE TRILLION DOLLARS IN NEW SPENDING.

WHO GETS THE OTHER 46 TRILLION DOLLARS OF NEW TAXES?

WE THE PEOPLE PAY ALL TAXES!!!
HOW WILL QUADRUPILING OUR TAX BURDEN HELP US?

Pay attention
All of you. We win You Lose. Now get out of the way and give me your money.

fasten your seatbelts...
It will take many years to undo the destruction to our society and economy that the democrats and Obama are about to do.
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