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Thursday, July 12, 2007
George Will :: Townhall.com Columnist
New Deal or No Deal?
by George Will
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Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


WASHINGTON -- Time was, Riley Webster Lugar, a Hoosier farmer, vociferously disapproved of the New Deal policy of killing baby pigs to control supply in the hope of raising prices. When his son Marvin ran the family farm, if a cashier giving him change included a Franklin Roosevelt dime, he would slap the offending coin on the counter and denounce the New Deal policy of supporting commodity prices by controlling supply -- by limiting the freedom to plant.

Today, Marvin's son Dick is carrying on two family traditions -- running the farm and resenting the remarkable continuity connecting today's farm policies with the New Deal's penchant for economic planning. The grandson, now 75, is again trying to reform what Franklin Roosevelt wrought.

Last year, Lugar was elected with 87 percent of the vote to his sixth Senate term (no other Hoosier has served even four). He is best known for his work on the Foreign Relations Committee, but he chaired the Agriculture Committee in 1996 when Congress passed the Freedom to Farm Act. It was supposed to phase out subsidies by 2001, but when commodity prices fell in 1998, Congress responded with "emergency" spending. In 2002, price supports were re-enacted. Still, against all evidence, Lugar believes that rational reform is possible.

An Eagle Scout and Rhodes scholar, Lugar became mayor of Indianapolis at 35. There he achieved the consolidation of the city and county, which brought into the city hitherto suburban tax resources -- and the 604-acre Lugar farm. On it he raises corn, soybeans and black walnut trees. Because his trees sequester carbon, he participates in the trading of carbon allotments. Farmer Lugar is up to date.

Farm policy is not. America's prodigiously productive farmers are never more so than when a minority of them are cultivating Capitol Hill. Their lobbyists have toiled to preserve the New Deal approach. They stress the romance of the family farm, but their fog of sentimentality obscures pertinent facts:

Fifty-seven percent of farms receive no payments and two-thirds of those that do receive less than $10,000. The largest 8 percent of farms receive 58 percent of the payments. Farms with revenues of $250,000 or more receive payments averaging $70,000. Lugar wants to redirect the flow of federal funds, from subsidizing favored crops to rural development, because fewer than 14 percent of residents in rural areas work on farms.

Under the continuing New Deal approach, five commodities -- corn, soybeans, cotton, rice and wheat -- got about 90 percent of last year's $19 billion in subsidies. This is a perverse incentive for overproduction of the five, which depresses prices, which triggers federal supports.

Lugar, who proposes capping annual farm assistance at $30,000 per recipient, is attempting reform at a time when federal energy policy is making matters worse. By subsidizing corn-based ethanol, the government is making the "crop specific" approach to subsidies increasingly irrational: Ethanol enthusiasm has produced a one-year increase of 12 percent in acres planted in corn, the price of which has risen 20 percent in a year. So farmers are planting fewer acres in soybeans, which therefore also are being made more expensive by federal policy. Furthermore, U.S. agriculture subsidies, which have the World Trade Organization properly frowning, are becoming major impediments to further liberalization of global trade, and hence to the huge potential growth of U.S. farmers' incomes from exports.

Lugar understands farming's timeless hazards -- weather and foreign trade. He does not want to remove, he wants to reweave the safety net for agriculture. He would abandon the "crop specific" approach for one that responds to "whole farm income" by providing an income insurance program for all farms.

On the conservative principle that the way to reduce the supply of government is to reduce the demand for it, Lugar would help to make farmers financially secure, but not with market-distorting entitlements keyed to particular commodities. Rather, he would make all farmers eligible for Risk Management Accounts. Farmers would put up to $8,000 a year into RMAs, to which government also would contribute some of the money saved by sunsetting subsidies.

Agriculture policy -- another manifestation of the welfare state, another contributor to another faction's entitlement mentality -- involves a perennial conundrum of welfare, corporate as well as individual: How do you break an addiction to government without breaking the addicted? If Lugar and like-minded legislators can accomplish their aims, their achievement will be comparable to the welfare reform of 1996 -- the fecund year of the short-lived Freedom to Farm Act. As Lugar again puts his hand to the plow, attempting to plow under a New Deal remnant, wish him well.

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About The Author
George F. Will is a 1976 Pulitzer Prize winner whose columns are syndicated in more than 400 magazines and newspapers worldwide.
 
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Sig: Thank you very much
for demonstrating (unintentionally, I'm sure) the basic flaw in the conceit that an economy- or even a relatively small portion of one- can be "managed".

You've looked at one small aspect of the affect of price manipulation by the government and concluded (probably incorrectly, I might add) that the price of food would rise, which would be good for you but bad for the farmers.

First, the price of the contents of a box of cereal is one very small part. What about feed for livestock? Both meat and dairy products are likely to rise. Did you know that the most prevalent sweetener in the food processing industry is high-fructose corn syrup? Have you noticed the price of soft-drinks going up about 75 cents a gallon since the ethanol subsidies went into effect? High-fructose corn syrup is used because it's a cheaper sweetening agent than sugar. There are some indications that it is less healthy than sugar (one claim is that sugar- even processed- triggers an "appetite sensor" that doesn't notice the corn syrup based sweetener as readily, leading you to eat or drink more of whatever it's made with). Would high-fructose corn syrup be cheaper enough to replace sugar if sugar weren't 2-3 times more expensive in the U.S. due to tariffs?

Plus these effects of just the ethanol mandate: Ethanol has less "energy density" than gasoline (I forget the actual term); a vehicle burning straight gasoline demonstrably travels further on a tank than the same vehicle burning E85. Then there's the debate that producing ethanol as a fuel will use slightly more energy to produce and distribute it than will be saved in the process- certainly, it will take more trucks to deliver it than gasoline, since ethanol can't be delivered by pipeline.

Then there are the more esoteric functions of pricing mechanisms. Prices serve to communicate the proper levels of production by communicating how much of a market there is for something. If the information conveyed by the pricing mechanism is distorted, it will inevitably lead to situations such as the one Mr. Will referred to, where we subsidize production, which leads to over-production, which depresses prices, which leads to price supports, which subsidizes production...

What's amazing about the American economy is how well it manages to carry the deadweight of all the useless regulation and bureaucracy. Think what we could accomplish if we could manage to hold it down to just the minimum safety net needed in the direst situations.

talent scout
I have to differ with you on this although I usually agree with your posts.

Instituting the Federal Reserve system was one of the brightest things Congress ever did. It removed monetary policy from their influence mostly. They rightly control fiscal policy (how much to tax and how much to spend). They are so horrible at the latter, it would only make matters worse if they controlled the former.

Modern finance is a bit too complex to go into much detail here. The government prints money but it cannot create it. Sounds weird, I know. If they simply printed more and put it into circulation to pay for stuff, hyper inflation would instantly wipe out the value of it. The federal reserve system acts as a safety valve and regulator of the banking system and moderates panics that could and, in the past have, threatened to collapse the system

It is a wholly separate and necessary function from the problem of Congress' profligage taxing and spending. Franklin's marxist policies did not depend in any way on the 16th amendment. The influence of the federal reserve has been a brake on such nonsense but, it cannot stop its eventual domination due to the modern liberal mindset. It is the chairmen of the federal reserve that continue to remind our congress critters of the impending doom from entitlement promises
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