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Sunday, March 11, 2007
George Will :: Townhall.com Columnist
Traffic Congestion in America
by George Will
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WASHINGTON -- It is peculiar: The secretary of transportation is not a household name. But Mary Peters -- now you know -- is more important than most public officials to improving America's economic dynamism and reducing the aggravation of everyday life.

It is perverse: In today's information-intensive economy, the costs of information often approach zero and the speed at which it moves approaches instantaneousness. But the speed that many users of information travel to where they use it to produce goods and services is slowing, and the costs of this are rising.

Traffic congestion is even worse than you think, according to Peters, a fourth-generation Arizonan and a grandmother whose preferred mode of transportation is her Harley-Davidson. In the last 20 years, congestion in the 85 largest cities has caused the number of hours lost each year by the average driver in rush hours to increase from 16 to 47. In the 13 largest cities, drivers are stuck in traffic the equivalent of nearly eight work days. Congestion's immediate and indirect economic costs -- not including lost serenity, family time and civic engagement -- just begin with fuel and wear and tear on vehicles.

Innovative "just in time" delivery practices have enabled businesses to control inventories, thereby modulating business cycles. Congestion, however, is forcing supply-chain managers to hold larger inventories or build more distribution centers, thereby increasing the transportation and logistics components of GDP.

In 2009, Peters says, the highway trust fund, largely filled by the federal gasoline tax (18.4 cents per gallon), will go into deficit. Because inertia usually governs the government, Congress might simply increase and index the tax, thereby avoiding two inconveniences -- fresh thinking, and departures from the status quo.

There must be new highways and new lanes on some old ones. But there also must be new ways -- made possible by new technologies -- of using lanes.

The usual scolds -- environmentalists, urban "planners," enthusiasts for public transit (less than 5 percent of the work force uses it) -- argue that more highways encourage more driving ("induced demand") and hence are self-defeating. But as Ted Balaker and Sam Staley respond in their new book on congestion, "The Road More Traveled," among the 10 largest metropolitan areas, Los Angeles has the least pavement per person; Dallas has twice as much per person and half as much congestion. Furthermore, when new schools are built because old ones have become congested, and then the new ones fill up with children from families attracted by new schools, who argues that building the new ones was a mistake?

The congestion crisis requires joining an old material -- concrete -- with new technologies. Toll highways or lanes can do what restaurants and movie theaters do -- use differential pricing to draw traffic to off-peak hours. Peters cites I-15 in Southern California. It uses dynamic pricing, posting on electronic signs the continually varying cost of access to special lanes. Changing the price as often as every six minutes prevents congestion. Another California highway that uses prices posted on a printed schedule has increased traffic flow 40 percent.

When taxpayers pay the gas tax, they do not know what they are buying -- except ``bridges to nowhere'' and other pork. When drivers pay a toll they know exactly what they are getting -- life's most precious scarce thing, time.

Peters says there are large sources of private capital available for investments in transportation infrastructure. Indiana has leased its toll road to a private consortium that will have an incentive -- profit -- to use electronic toll collection rather than human collectors who slow traffic and sometimes cost twice as much as the tolls they collect.

Transportation innovations always have been prerequisites for America's growing prosperity. In 1815, the cost of moving goods 30 miles inland from an Atlantic port, over rutted roads that were impassable in wet weather, equaled the cost of moving the goods across the Atlantic. But soon America's first great transportation innovation, the Erie Canal, reduced the cost of shipping a ton of wheat from Buffalo to the port of New York from $100 to $10. Because of railroads and macadamized roads, the difference between the wholesale price of pork in Cincinnati and New York fell 90 percent.

Modernization of surface transportation infrastructure depends on Peters and like-minded visionaries convincing federal and state governments to abandon the inefficient dispensing of money by politically driven formulas and earmarks. New electronic technologies, harnessed to private capital and the profit motive, can nimbly use price incentives to produce new traffic patterns and driving habits, thereby increasing Americans' freedom to pursue happiness, speedily.

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About The Author
George F. Will is a 1976 Pulitzer Prize winner whose columns are syndicated in more than 400 magazines and newspapers worldwide.
 
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Traffic congestion
When I was reading George Will's column my thoughts were very similar to those of Pamela. I find slowpoke, low octane drivers to be the biggest problem that I have to deal with on a regular basis. If they were poor folk driving junkers one might have some compassion, but many of these slowpokes are in expensive late model vehicles that have plenty of horses under the hood. When people are driving I wish that they would keep the attention where it belongs – on the road. It's amazing how many people think that maneuvering a few ounces of cell phone should have a higher priority than maneuvering several hundred pounds of automobile.

On the whole I have fewer problems with speeders than I have with slowpokes. At least the speeders blow past me and are not in my face like the slowpoke drivers are. Of course, this should not be taken to be an endorsement of speeding. To me the slowpoke drivers are like plaque plugging up the traffic arteries. When stuck behind these slowpokes I am reminded of the Plavix commercials. With enough plaque build up you can get a full blown arterial gridlock coronary.

One other thing that I can say about the speeders, again no endorsement of speeding, is that they are acting like time is money. A slowpoke driver who is driving substantially below the posted limits, often when driving and road conditions are excellent, is making very wasteful and inefficient use of the roadway. They are in fact defrauding other drivers out of the full use the the road system. It only stands to reason that if the slowpoke drivers are plugging up the roadway that the other cars have to speed up to maintain traffic flow. It is a real world example of Bernoulli's Principle. When flow of a fluid is restricted, velocity has to increase to maintain the same flow rate. That's why slowpoke drivers usually see other drivers streaking past them.

If roads are a scarce resource then why do so few drivers on the road drive in a manner that shows any awareness of this scarcity of asphalt? I don't see toll roads doing anything to address poor driving skills. I often wonder if there is enough asphalt in all of Christendom to compensate for a lot of the driving that I see on a daily basis.

How about more than one person in a car?
It frustrates me to see so many cars passing me with only one driver. I understand that sometimes it's unavoidable. For many years my brother and his wife worked in totally opposite directions, so could not car pool together, but a few years ago her job location changed and now they drive in the same car. On the other hand, I know people coming from 40 miles outside of town and they each take a car -- sometimes the wife, husband, and one or two teens each take a car, then they travel 40 miles on the same roadway, each in a seperate vehicle because they want their "freedom" once they're in town.

It's ridiculous and it's wasteful and it is a large contributor to our current congestion problems.

Audi, there are actually public transportant systems that work. Seattle's bus system, for instance, is a dream. Whenever we go to visit relatives, we never rent a car because it's just needlessly frustrating and time-consuming compared to taking the bus. Boston's T-lines are a bit scary, but they're efficient and sure beat trying to find parking in Boston. My husband grew up in New York City where he says only people with a weird enjoyment of gridlock drive cars. Yet, one of my experiences in Seattle is that a lot of people who live there have never used the bus system and have a lot of negative impressions NOT based upon experience. You are at least speaking from experience, but one of my cousins tells these horror stories about how horrible the Seattle busses are, but come to find out, she's never ridden on one -- somebody (but she doesn't know who) told her what they were like. Meanwhile, her mother and half the family uses the busses to commute everyday and have no problems.

Yes, folks, I know only 5 percent of commuters use public transportation, but maybe more would use it if they had to pay tolls. Making systems actually efficient would probably go a long way too. And, people really need to wake up and smell the exhaust fumes and realize that they would cut their gasoline consumption in half if they'd just carpool with their own family members when they're going in the same direction. My husband and I do and it's not that bad! It gives us a little time in the evening before we get home to talk and catch up on our day. So why so many cars with only one passenger? Don't we like our spouses?
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