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Sunday, January 21, 2007
George Will :: Townhall.com Columnist
Chairman Barney Frank's "Boat" and What It's Full Of
by George Will
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WASHINGTON -- Barney Frank, the 14-term Massachusetts congressman who chairs the Financial Services Committee, says it might be useful to "make it a misdemeanor to use metaphors in the discussion of public policy," such as "a rising tide lifts all boats." Against what he considers that too-complacent view of economic growth (the metaphor was John Kennedy's), Frank says: A rising tide is wonderful "if you have a boat."

Frank questions whether market-driven wealth creation is producing more inequality "than is either socially healthy or economically necessary." He favors much more government intervention in the economy to diminish inequality. Sometimes he means equal dependence on government. For example, he wants everyone enrolled in Medicare -- with larger co-payments for higher-income people -- in order to take health care "out of the wage system."

Frank mildly says that Congress should "pay a little more attention" to the seven governors of the Federal Reserve System, all of whom are confirmed by Congress. The Fed, says Frank less mildly, should not be considered "above democracy": "We can debate whether Terri Schiavo's life should be recognized as over" and other fundamental questions of existence, "but God forbid anybody in elected office should talk about whether or not we need a 25-basis point increase" in interest rates. "Somehow that's sacrosanct. No, it isn't. It's public policy."

The late Sen. William Proxmire, a populist Democrat who represented Wisconsin for 32 years, said that all members of Congress should have written on their bathroom mirrors, so it is the first thing they read each day, this: "The Fed is a creature of Congress." Frank says Congress should not intervene in monetary policy ... "unless." By monitoring whether the Fed's governors act as they said they would when they were being confirmed, Congress would be "setting the predicate for intervention if they act otherwise."

He wants the Fed to emphasize full employment as well as protect the currency as a store of value -- restraining inflation. But the Fed's stunning conquest of inflation since the early 1980s is almost a sufficient explanation of subsequent prosperity.

Three years ago, when unemployment was 5.8 percent, Frank outlined his doctrine of "capitalism plus" -- plus a lot of government -- in a House speech, warning that America was at "a major inflection point" where the economy's ability to create wealth is exceeding its ability to create jobs. Today unemployment is 4.5 percent. How low can it go? He answers briskly: It fell to 3.8 percent during the Clinton administration. Could that become normal? And Frank says that when The New York Times wrote that the economy had exceeded its "normal rate of growth" for eleven years, he wrote to the Times wondering whether facts are redefining normality.

Frank may be the most liberal member of Congress. His thinking is what today's liberalism looks like when organized by a first-class mind. He thinks he discerns cultural contradictions of conservatism: Some conservative policies -- free trade, and tax and other policies that (he thinks) widen income inequalities -- undermine support for other conservative policies. When capitalism's "creative destruction," intensified by globalization, churns the labor market and deepens the insecurities of millions of families, conservatives should not be surprised by the collapse of public support for free trade and an immigration policy adequate to the economy's needs.

Frank's solution, "fair trade," is to use the threat of denying access to the American market to force less-developed countries to adopt "minimal standards of civility," meaning more expansive -- more American -- labor rights and environmental protections. This is an economic version of George W. Bush's foreign policy. Bush's Wilsonian goal is "ending tyranny in our world." Frank's trade policy is "Wilsonianism without weapons." Or perhaps it is Johnsonian (Lyndon Johnson): Trade policy should impose semi-Great Society rules on less-developed trading partners, thereby helping the poor in those countries -- and reducing those countries' competitive advantages.

Frank's committee has, he says, "a larger jurisdiction to talk than to legislate." Pay attention to the talk: In it liberalism's interest in diminishing inequality (using government power to regulate the economy's distribution effects) duels with conservatism's emphasis on freedom (incentives by which market forces rationally allocate wealth and opportunity).

Frank says he is fortunate to be "in a profession where a weakness of mine -- a short attention span -- is a strength." In a government with its fingers in far too many pies, legislators must flit from one subject to another. What distinguishes Frank, however, is the coherence -- which is not a synonym for persuasiveness -- of his argument for more government-engineered equality.

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About The Author
George F. Will is a 1976 Pulitzer Prize winner whose columns are syndicated in more than 400 magazines and newspapers worldwide.
 
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Handy
Join us on Tree of Liberty Forum. We do deeper discussions of economic issues there.

http://www.phpbbplanet.com/libertytree/

We have the "forum" format that allows a more organized format and you don't have to scroll down the page so far since each page only has about 10 comments on it.

The people using the forum are, admittedly, very conservative, but also very good at researching their opinions.

Gold amount sources
http://www.fms.treas.gov/gold/current.html

That is the treasury dept. report on how much and where they claim we have gold.

Also, on the dollar, it is different because of the billions of dollars needed for oil purchases. This probably describes it best.

quote:
Because dollars can buy oil, exporters in countries that need to import oil -- i.e. most developed countries -- will accept dollars for their exports. Hence everyone who needs to buy from those exporters will accept dollars as payment for other things, and so on. To pay their bills, importers must have reserves of dollars. To prop up their currencies against speculative attacks, the central banks of all countries must have reserves of dollars. To get capital, poor countries must borrow dollars, and to service these debts they must export goods to obtain more dollars. About 2/3 of all currency reserves, more than 4/5 of all currency transactions, more than half of the world's exports, and all loans from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are denominated in dollars. As these things create demand for the dollar and shore up its value, oil exporters are the more willing to accept payment in dollars. So the process is self-reinforcing; it's called "dollar hegemony".
=====================
http://www.trinicenter.com/oops/iraqeuro.html

Warren Buffet and others are betting that these actions will reduce the value of the dollar. Buffet is betting $16 billion on it.

This article too, on oil and the dollar that came out today will help show how big an influence it is on bonds and bond yields. In this article they are counting on them buying bonds again if oil prices go up but other are saying they will buy gold and Euros and other assets than U.S. dollar assets.

quote:
OPEC Dumps $10.1 Billion of Treasuries as Oil Tumbles (Update2)

By Bo Nielsen and Daniel Kruger

Jan. 22 (Bloomberg) -- OPEC nations are unloading Treasuries at the fastest pace in more than three years as crude oil prices tumble, sending bond yields higher.
snip--------------------
``There will be a significant sell-off,'' Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel laureate and economics professor at Columbia University in New York, said in an interview. ``Medium-term and long-term yields will go up.''

Oil producers, including non-OPEC countries, have disclosed almost $200 billion of U.S. government, corporate and agency bonds,
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/
news?pid=20601103&sid=a5_a16pzE3rs
==============================
copy and paste as one line for link

If they do buy bonds again, fine. But, if they don't and the other nations that are all announcing they are going to dump dollar assets, keep their promises, then our dollar continues to lose value and demand and our prices rise on anything a weaker dollar causes to go up. That would be about 90% of what Walmart, Kmart, Target, COSTCO, etc. sell to U.S. consumers.

When you read how important oil is to the dollars value, you find it isn't as much a direct value as simply a way of making nations all around the world need dollars and borrow in dollars and buy our debt. And if our debt should become "untrusted" where do we borrow to pay for entitlements and defense?
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