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Thursday, October 12, 2006
George Will :: Townhall.com Columnist
Arnold rejects multistate compact
by George Will
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California's governor has demonstrated virtue, understood as the good we do when no one is watching. With his state and the nation paying no attention to an anti-constitutional campaign to alter how presidents are chosen, Arnold Schwarzenegger has vetoed a bill that, had it become law, would have imparted dangerous momentum to a recurring simple-mindedness.

The bill would have committed California to cast its electoral votes -- today, 55 -- for whichever candidate receives the most popular votes nationally. The commitment would have been contingent on a compact with other similarly committed states, all having a combined total of at least 270 electoral votes.

Such legislation has been introduced in six states and passed by Colorado's Senate. Advocates offer two rationales:

First, California and other states that are not closely contested battlegrounds are not "relevant." (A state with more than one-fifth the electoral votes needed to win the presidency is "irrelevant"? Please.) What is meant is that uncontested states are "neglected" by presidential campaigns, so direct popular election of presidents -- the point of the multistate compact --would increase voter interest in the many states (by one count, 37, 34 and 37 in the last three elections) that are not considered to be swing states.

But it is disproportionate to traduce, by simplification, sophisticated constitutional arrangements just to make campaigns more stimulating for some states. Furthermore, the electoral vote system is a wholesome political market: It provides steady incentives for parties to change their attributes that make them uncompetitive in many states. How long will the GOP be content not to contest California?

The system aims not just for majority rule, but rule by certain kinds of majorities. It encourages candidates to form coalitions of states with various political interests and cultures. Such coalitions can be assembled only by a politics of accommodation. So the Electoral College system discourages attempts to build narrow ideological or geographical majorities. Today the system is helping the Democratic Party by nudging it to be less of a coastal party -- less reliant on a risky 20-state strategy in presidential elections.

The second argument for the multistate compact is: The possibility of the winner of the popular vote losing the electoral vote contest violates the value that trumps all others -- majoritarianism. Well.

Never mind that in 42 of the 46 elections since 1824 (all but 1824, 1876, 1888, 2000) for which we have popular vote totals, that did not happen. Which suggests that the assault on the electoral vote system is driven by simplistic majoritarianism, which would shatter the two-party system that is conducive to temperate politics.

That electoral vote system (combined with the winner-take-all allocation of votes in all states but Maine and Nebraska) makes it very difficult for third party presidential candidates to be competitive. In 1992, Ross Perot won 18.9 percent of the popular vote but no state and therefore no electoral votes. Direct popular election of presidents would be an incentive for fragmentation of the electorate by the proliferation of factional candidacies.

Imagine 2008 with independent candidacies by, say, Colorado Rep. Tom Tancredo (deport illegal immigrants), Pennsylvania Rep. John Murtha (out of Iraq immediately), New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg (independence from the two parties is a virtue) and Jesse Jackson (he would think of a reason). None could win but cumulatively they could prevent the major-party winner from reaching even 40 percent.

And the multistate compact cannot include a runoff provision. That would require a constitutional amendment; 34 senators can prevent a constitutional amendment from being sent to the states for ratification, and many more than 17 of the smaller states benefit from the additional weight the electoral vote system gives them.

It is perverse that the 2000 election, which culminated with the lawyers' riot in Florida, is cited to undermine an electoral vote system that prevented 2000 from being a calamity. If in presidential elections all popular votes were poured into one national bucket, a close election such as the one in 1960, which was decided by fewer votes (118,574) than there were precincts (166,064), would unleash a coast-to-coast frenzy of litigation -- about ballot design, voting hours, alleged voting-machine malfunctions, etc. The electoral vote system quarantines electoral disputes to a few closely contested states.

Under the multistate compact, Californians, who in 2004 supported John Kerry by a 1.2 million popular vote margin, would have seen their electoral votes swell President Bush's winning margin. In 1960 and 1976, too, California's electoral votes would have gone to candidates rejected by Californians.

They should understand what their governor has demonstrated: Sometimes the loveliest word in America's political lexicon is "veto."

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About The Author
George F. Will is a 1976 Pulitzer Prize winner whose columns are syndicated in more than 400 magazines and newspapers worldwide.
 
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My blog has an essay on this topic
Shameless plug, but check it out (written before the veto), entitled "Democrats Shoot at Foot, Hit Head".

California's politicians...
...should be the poster children for education reform. As well as the politicians from any other state that felt this was a "good idea". This goes to show that even the basics of what makes this country great, our Constitution and just why it works, is no longer be taught in our government indoctrination centers we used to call public schools. And considering the minimum age requirements to hold public office, they haven't been taught for sometime now. It explains how so many think that the government grants us our freedoms. Pitiful.
Thanks Gov. Arnold.


By all means
keep plugging your blog. Flagwaver too. We love to read you guys, and a few I haven't named, but we need to be reminded since you don't have links on the townhall homepage.

Arnold rejects multistate compact Mountain Rose
Great point about that add.
I saw it run in my area saturating the airwaves for less than a week,and pop'it disapeared.
Much like their message...oh my God they have no message!
Except I did hear the other nameless idiot say loud and clear'I plan to roll back the tax cuts,and raise new taxes.

oops never cut and paste
I screwed that up. title made no sence.

Arnold rejects multistate compact Mountain Ros

The Dims...so predictable
I just had to laugh when I first heard about this notion of replacing the Electoral College with a "popular vote". Naturally it was Hillary who first floated the idea, right after the 2000 election.

But you can bet she would have screamed like a stuck pig had anyone proposed this back in '92, especially with the caveat of a runoff election be held (as most states do) so that a true majority (50.1% or better) of the electorate can decide who the winner will be.

No, the EC was just peachy when it serves the Commiecrat's interests, such as in 1992 and 1996. After all, in neither election did the Clintons get anywhere near a majority of the popular vote (42 and 48 percent respectively), and it was only the vagaries of the electoral college that got them in power.

But as in the 2000 election, when things did not go their way, now they want to change it. And as Will so astutely points out, you can bet your boots that there would be NO runoff election, because most likely they would lose that as well.

So predictable...

George Will, Stand Up Comedian
"which would shatter the two-party system that is conducive to temperate politics."

Temperate politics? Oh, is that what we have? One definition is "d : marked by an absence or avoidance of extravagance, violence, or extreme partisanship".

Jack Abramoff wasn't extravant? George Bush is not an extreme partisan? Please. With his "cut and run" mantra Bush does everything but literally call Democrats traitors.

I miss the days when David Brinkley was on Sunday mornings. Sam Donaldson most assuredly would have laughed at such a silly George Will comment followed by one of his signature, "Oh come on George, you don't really believe that do you? That we have temperate partisanship?"

ho ho ho!


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