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Monday, October 02, 2006
Frank Gaffney :: Townhall.com Columnist
States of denial
by Frank Gaffney
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So, Bob Woodward has become the latest journalist to try to influence the upcoming mid-term congressional elections with a new book, State of Denial – a harsh critique of the President and senior members of his administration whom he contends are in such a state with respect to Iraq. Woodward alleges as evidence a refusal by Mr. Bush to: recognize the magnitude of the problem there; adjust course; level with the American people; or fire Donald Rumsfeld for his supposed singlehanded responsibility for most of the difficulties we now face.

A more careful and rigorous examination of who is in denial and about what would establish that there is actually a pandemic of the phenomenon psychologists call “cognitive dissonance,” whereby people don’t see what they don’t want to see. In fact, there are at least four States of Denial afflicting the national security debate and decision-making process at the moment:

1) President Bush’s critics are by-and-large in denial about the true nature of the war we are in. They hector him about Iraq, but fail to address what Mr. Bush has been saying for some time: We are in a global conflict with a totalitarian ideology bent on our destruction.

As the President has correctly noted, the adherents to this ideology – “Islamic fascists” – did not start attacking us when we liberated Iraq. While our efforts to help deliver a powerful Arab nation like Iraq from their grasp has reportedly become a “cause celebre” for the Islamofascists, they are not interested only in defeating us there. Such totalitarians are convinced, as their Iranian front-man Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has put it, that “a world without America is not only desirable, it is achievable.” Most of those who focus, as Woodward has done, on fault-finding about Iraq seem to deny that there are any connections between this War for the Free World’s Iraqi front and the larger strategy of which our efforts to prevail there are a critical part.

2) The President’s critics are usually stunningly silent on the implications of the “strategic redeployment” from Iraq that they recommend on varying timetables – apart, that is, from getting U.S. forces out of harm’s way (at least for the moment). Indeed, they seem to be in a state of denial about the ineluctable reality that, as the recent National Intelligence Estimate they are so fond of selectively quoting observed: “Threats to the U.S. are intrinsically linked to U.S. success or failure in Iraq.” In other words, those who advocate an admission of failure in Iraq may object to calling it “cutting and running,” but they cannot escape the global consequences of doing just that.

3) Those who insisted that the George H.W. Bush administration cash-in the so-called “peace dividend,” and then urged Bill Clinton to cut America’s force structure and modernization programs even further, are in a particularly acute state of denial. They take no responsibility whatever for the contribution their past agitation has made to the U.S. military being sorely stretched by counterinsurgency operations in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Their short-term answer seems to be that, by getting U.S. forces out of the former, there will be more to deploy to the latter for the purpose of “finding Osama bin Laden.” Such a solution fails, however, to appreciate that bin Laden’s al Qaeda is just one manifestation of the Islamofascist movement that has been cultivated worldwide for decades by Saudi Arabia and, to a lesser extent, by Iran (see State of Denial #1 above.) It also ignores the predictable compounding of the danger posed by such totalitarians far-and-wide once we concede defeat in Iraq (see #2).

Continued...

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About The Author

Frank Gaffney Jr. is the founder and president of the Center for Security Policy and author of War Footing: 10 Steps America Must Take to Prevail in the War for the Free World .
 
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JLeo, And by the way
You pointed out that Biden and I don't agree on the number of troops it will take to implement his plan.

You are correct. I have pointed out before that I do not agree 100% with his plan. I agree about 85%.

You have correctly identified the major area where I don't agree. I do not think it will be possible to draw down troop levels to 20,000 or so by 2008. I think we will be nearer our current levels much longer than Biden thinks. It will make it possible to get greater support from other countries. So the number of American troops will go down, but I would not go out on a limb like Biden and predict 20,000 by 2008.

A serious reply to JLeo
JLeo,
Thank you for at least reading Biden's plan. I am glad you agree it is an option. I will agree with you that it is not guaranteed to work. But neither is our current approach and it has a clear and dismal track record.

At least we can discuss it intelligently.

I do not buy your argument that it is a prescription for another Israel vs. Palestine. It is NOT a proposal to separate the country into independent states as with Palestine and Israel.

It is more like Bosnia, as documented in the plan itself. There has been relative peace in Bosnia for the last decade. During that decade, the national government has had time to establish itself. The regions have had time to reduce their dependency on local sectarian militas. All is not perfect there, but the region has become fairly stable and is not a hotbed for the training and export of terrorism

That is the model for Biden's plan. It is conistent with Iraq's constitition - again it is not a partition of the country into several states. It will give the central governmnent a chance to establish a role for itself while sharply reducing the level of violence in the country. That will reduce the dependence of the population on local and sectarian militias for security.

I believe Biden's plan is doable with the level of troops that we have in place. It will take the wind out of the sails of the insurgents who will be seen as obstacles to security and stability by the ethnic populations rather than as protectors and "freedom fighters." They will lose their ability to hide within and be protected by the local populations. In the end if there are cultural, economic and security reasons for the country to exist (and I think there are) the people who live there will decide on the nature and power of the central government.

This sounds like a plan to me. And much better than what is going on. It is consistent with the new military strategy the Marines and Army have developed based on their analysis of the failures of this administration's policies. They have just published this in a draft form. But more on this later. I have to go to work.

On the quote issue - it actually took me all of 5 minutes to find and select the quotes I gave using a simple google search. I could find a lot more if I spent some time on it.

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