Ever watch the movie
Pirates of Silicon Valley? There's a scene late in
the movie, which covers the PC industry's early days, in
which the Steve Jobs character, after learning that a new
Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) operating system
called Windows incorporates many of the features claimed by
Apple 's (Nasdaq: AAPL) Mac OS, defiantly
proclaims to the Bill Gates character, "We're better than you
are! We have better stuff."
To which the Gates character triumphantly responds, "You
don't get it, Steve!
Thatdoesn't matter!"
It sure didn't matter in the following years, as Windows
-- bugs, bloated code, and all --
achieved near-monopoly statusin a booming PC industry,
helping deliver incredible returns for Microsoft shareholders
along the way. How ironic it is, then, that as the coming
decade unfolds, the shoe might be on the other foot, with
Apple's competitors in the smartphone operating system space
-- Microsoft included -- finding themselves unable to stop an
iPhone juggernaut that can compensate for hardware and
software shortcomings by offering a
far greater number of applicationsfor its platform.
Market dominance? There's an App (Store) for that.
Although its App Store for the iPhone and iPod
Touch was launched only 15 months ago, Apple now claims to
offer more than 100,000 apps on it. By comparison,
Google 's (Nasdaq: GOOG) Android platform,
which powers
Motorola 's
upcoming Droid phone, claims about 14,000 applications.
And as of July,
Research In Motion 's (Nasdaq: RIMM)
Blackberry App World had a mere 2,000 apps; while not every
Blackberry app is available on App World, this number does
suggest that
RIM is also well behind.
With this explosion in available iPhone apps, Apple has
been able to tap into the creative talents of wireless
software developers on an unprecedented scale. Google the
words "best iPhone apps," and you'll find one great list
after another showing the extent to which the creativity of
Apple's developer base has extended the functionality of the
iPhone in a way that Google, RIM, and
Palm (Nasdaq: PALM) are hard-pressed to
match.
The enormous size of the iPhone's huge app base has also
had the effect of driving down prices for consumers, as
developers face healthy competition from competitors large
and small. Having long been accustomed to seeing quality Palm
OS and Windows Mobile apps go for $15-$20 or more, I can't
help but be impressed at
how much quality softwareis available on the App Store
for $10 or less -- and in many cases, for free.
But maybe the biggest advantage stemming from the iPhone
and App Store's popularity is that major developers are
gravitating toward the platform in a big way. This group
includes everyone from marquee software firms such as gaming
giants
Electronic Arts (Nasdaq: ERTS), to
media/online news leaders such as ESPN and the
New York Times , to
coffee chainssuch as Dunkin Donuts, and retailers such as
Amazon.com . Developers like these are much
more likely to create apps that become "must-have" items for
one smartphone user or another, and they're also able to act
as a promotional engine for Apple.
There's been no better advertising for Windows over the
years than seeing row after row of software in a major
electronics store that works only on Windows. And Apple's
marketing skills notwithstanding, there may be no better
advertising for the iPhone than seeing so many prominent
developers promote their latest iPhone app to their
customers.
Why the fight's not over
Still, Apple will need to address some major challenges
before we can deem the smartphone application wars over. For
starters, the App Store could become a victim of its own
success. With so many available apps, and competition driving
prices down, some smaller developers are now griping about
how hard it is to turn a profit. It's not hard to see some of
them responding by trying out their luck on competing
platforms that have less competition. Continued... |