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Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Donald Lambro :: Townhall.com Columnist
Geithner's gambit a tough sell
by Donald Lambro
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WASHINGTON -- This week's $1 trillion question is whether Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner's public-private bank bailout plan will lure enough investors into buying up bad assets to end the nation's lending paralysis.

Wall Street cheered the plan -- as well as a welcome increase in home sales -- by sending the Dow Jones up nearly 500 points on Monday. But economists and cautious leaders in the financial community had their doubts.

The plan calls for using the fast-dwindling remainder of the $350 billion share of the bank-rescue money when economists say a great deal more will be needed to finance the government's share of the buyout deal.

Financial experts told me Monday that private-investment funds were going to be hesitant about buying up assets "when no one knows how much they are really worth."

Former Securities and Exchange Commission chairman Arthur Levitt told The Washington Times on Monday that investors will be "very, very cautious" about participating in Geithner's plan.

New York Times columnist Paul Krugman, the scourge of American capitalism, said Geithner had talked President Obama into "recycling" the Bush administration's "cash for trash" plan that then-Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson tried last year -- only this time with a few more bells and whistles.

But Geithner's scheme is a one-way bet that's doomed to fail, Krugman argued. If the government's incentives to buy the bad assets drive up their value, investors and banks profit; if they don't, taxpayers will be left holding the bag. Krugman, a bleeding-heart socialist, thinks the feds should take control of the insolvent banks, as Sweden did in the 1990s.

University of Maryland economist Peter Morici levels similar complaints. The plan Geithner "is cooking up could unnecessarily stick the taxpayers with big losses on those toxic assets and give the banks big, unearned profits. It could save many bank executives' careers, while running up the federal deficit even further and undermining international confidence in the dollar," Morici said.

Other economists maintain there are not enough funds left in TARP's resources (even with government loans and guarantees) to bankroll a plan aimed at potentially trillions of dollars in bad assets. Treasury will need at least another $400 billion to make a noticeable dent in the toxic assets clogging up the financial industry's books, said Wall Street economist Mark Zandi at Moody's financial-rating company.

"The plan could fail to remove enough toxic assets from the balance sheets of the banks to unlock private credit markets," Morici said. "Ultimately, the resulting federal deficits and domestic economic paralysis could make financing federal budget deficits, through domestic and foreign borrowing, extraordinarily difficult."

The Obama administration's latest attempt to bring some stability to the financial system comes at a time when it is getting poor to failing grades for its handling of the economy thus far.

Economists and private-investment-fund analysts told me that they think Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has been doing the heavy lifting in policy initiatives up to this point.

A survey I conducted last week of several government and economic analysts turned up surprisingly blunt assessments of President Obama's performance -- even from some very liberal quarters. "His success thus far is the stimulus bill, which is a necessary, though not sufficient, condition for keeping the recession from leading to deflation and global depression," said Thomas Mann, senior fellow in governance studies at the Brookings Institution.

"The financial-rescue efforts have been shaky. What little public support for the effort that existed under Bush has diminished further under Obama. He has been behind the curve of populist anger, which leads to the kind of harmful legislation that the house passed Thursday" to slap a draconian 90 percent tax on AIG executive bonuses, Mann told me.

David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor's, gives Obama mixed grades, too. "He's done a decent job of communications, though not as good as he could. A lot of his ideas are good, but there has been a lack of focus.

"He's got to make clear that priority No. 1 is getting the economy back on track. A lot this stuff -- healthcare and energy, for instance -- has got to be put on the back burner," Wyss said.

With half a dozen or more key assistant-secretary posts at Treasury still vacant, Wyss credits the Federal Reserve and Bernanke for doing the most to keep the economy's vital signs operational. Indeed, the Fed and FDIC are the major partners in Geithner's latest financial gambit.

"I think Geithner is relying on his former colleagues at the Fed for policy support instead of the people who are working for him at Treasury. The Fed seems to be the only department that's operating right now," he told me.

That poses implementation problems for Geithner's latest scheme to put Treasury back in charge of reviving bank lending, the key to leading the U.S. economy out of the recession.

Overriding all of this may be the market itself. With 30-year mortgages sharply down to 4.7 percent on average and likely to fall further, and home prices continuing their decline, never underestimate the power of homebuyers to respond to the chance of a lifetime to purchase a piece of the American dream.

Perhaps this, more than any government bailout, will get this economy growing again.

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About The Author

Donald Lambro is chief political correspondent for The Washington Times.

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Here's a plan
Freeze these loans at their low rate for 5 years and make them assumable.
If the present homeowner can make the payments fine, that asset is now technically off the books. If he/she cannot make the payment, investors will buy the homes and re-sell them or others will use the opportunity to move up as Donald suggests and live in them themselves.

It would save the taxpayers billions.

The problem is the bambi admin is more interested in using this crises to take over this country and DESTROY capitalism than they are in actually doing something to save it.

Why would they buy?
The home devaluation continues it's downward trend with no bottom in sight; why buy now? Why lend?

Government interference has everyone frozen in place waiting for the next big plan. Meanwhile, the economic killers such as energy, healthcare, and taxes, not to mention the suggestion of nationalizing private companies at a whim, have everyone nervous and holding their wallet.

There is no stability coming out of Washington, only uncertainty.

Our president is so uncertain of himself that he takes a teleprompter to a news conference! He may grow into that suit but it's still empty right now.

If he was a leader who
really had America's interests at heart and was true to his oath he would not be doing what he presently wants to do.
he speaks of "investing" in green tech, giving our money for research in cars for example..all the while looking to destroy the entire coal industry which we have more of than anyone. He refuses to build nukes, 100 of them would cost about 700 billion and put thousands to work, going a long way to free us from foreign oil.
He refuses to drill our own oil or gas, yet keeps insisting we must cut dependency on foreign oil...everything that would attain that goal is off limits...
Little electric roller skates that only go 75 miles between 8 hour charges are not going to sell, suppose you drive halfway to work and forgot something, you go home to get it and now can't go to work..besides where are you going to charge them, it's hard enough to find a parking place now, no less one with an extension cord and how will that energy be generated? Solar panels and windmills? Childish nonsense personified.


This is not rocket science, so what is his agenda really about?
He is either dangerously naive and has been watching too many Jetson's re-runs or he is out to destroy this nation. I know where I stand.

The issue is NO TRUST
No one trust this administration because they are prolific liars and have no integrity! The Left's hatred of this country is obvious and what no one will say is once lost, trust is impossible to restore. They will never be trusted, thus when these schemes based on lies fail, what do you think they will do?
Prepare yourselves for the relevation of the true face of the cabal that has stolen it's way into power!

Vaquero
Trust, and i would say, the judgement and confidence that there is money to be made by investing. Uncertainty is what has crashed the market. Who knows what the results of the current govt actions will be, short or long term? Who knows what the next crazy move will be? They are trying to spend us out of debt!!!! Insane. No wonder the investment of money and risk that drives the economy has dried up. There is no sign of its return, and this could go on for a long long time. Dumbo and his dimwit crew are doomed, and they will take the loonies down with them. The days of $100 basketball shoes, and a tv in every room for those on welfare are coming to an end. Its going to be all the wise and skilled can do to stay afloat. The illiterate and slothful are headed for the tubes.

Seawolf, Sgt Relic
We are on the same track. I do have a slightly different take on Dumbo's agenda. He wants to destroy America as it existed, but he actually really thinks he is replacing it with something better. He's a lawyer, for goodness sake, with no education useful anywhere but in waeving a way through our byzantine legal system. He spent his last 20 years in south Chicago politics, the black liberation church, listening to total garbage from America-bashers. He is the very embodyment of the trolls who come by here and say as soon as we can take the ill-gotten gains from the fat cats, the country will be perfect and fair. These people are not so much deliberately evil as divorced from reality. Unfortunately, stupidity in support of good intentions paves the road to grief and misery.

No worries
Treasury will just print up some more money to cover their debts, like they are currently doing to make this scheme work. The question is what private venture in their right minds would get in on this plan? After being painted as the Devil Himself for the sin of trying to turn a profit, why would a profitable company buy any of these "assets" and then ahve to deal with the government sticking their noses in your business? I know I wouldn't!

Join the Stop the Spending Facebook grp.
Congress and Obama are about to bankrupt our country!

Help spread the word to your friends by joining the Stop the Spending group on Facebook!

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SUPREME COURT
NEWS FLASH!
AMENDMENT FOUR to the U.S. CONSTITUTION! THIS WILL BRING BARRY SOETORO AKA BARACK HUSSEIN
OBAMA, Jr. BEFORE THE SUPREME COURT! Please pass this on to the members and ALL of the news media! Complete Story:

http://www.cusc.org/editorial/3563.htm

Semper Fidelis,

Jason Leverette
USMC (RET)

What did they do back then
Was this the same plan Bush I used when they set up the Resolution Trust (S&L Bailout for those to young to remember)?

The media has been rather lazy about reminding people we have been done this road before. Probably because had they reminded people we might ask how did Congress allow this to happen AGAIN!

But let's go ahead and rush another trillion or so because we need to loosen credit. No don't look over there where it says home sales are up and the economy is showing signs of gain without the trillions.

Congress is saying, through Obama, Trust us we created this we know how to get us out.

Its not a bail out but a Chinese loan


In England the Stuart kings claimed to rule by Divine Right. According to the Stuarts (and Martin Luther) power and authority has been granted by God, and, as such, a sovereign is solely responsible to God alone and not to any human tribunal. The progressive politicians, especially those in the current Administration and Congress, now claim this same privilege by Darwinian right. I believe our professional progressive politicians and bureaucrats deem themselves to be the avatars of Plato's enlightened philosopher kings and Nietzsch'e Ubermenschen ( supermen), so Beyond Good and Evil. When Louis XIV was asked about his autocracy and profligacy at Versailles with a question, "What about the state?" He replied " Etate c'est moi, I am the state!" It appears that our bureaucrats,politicians and Fed officials have this same hubris, arrogance and sense of entitlement

Karl Marx Meets Bernie madoff stimulus
Sale of Trillions of dollars worth of T Bills means you will be a serf to Beijing and the privately owned international banking and securities consortium known as the Federal Reserve Bank. Now an ex Fed chairman wants police state powers granted to a privately owned banking concern. Lets see, CEO's are evil for fiscal mismanagement and lack of fiduciary due diligence, but liberals can put the taxpayers into trillions dollars of debt and they deserve a raise? Now , even Premier Wen has the patriotism and sense not to further fund this nonsense

HERE WE SEE THE TRUTH THE REAL PROBLEM
" Financial experts told me Monday that private-investment funds were going to be hesitant about buying up assets "when no one knows how much they are really worth."

AND THERE YOU HAVE IT FOLKS, THAT EXPLAINS IT ALL IN A NUTSHELL.
That encompasses the whole scandal, and centers on the whole world financial meltdown problem, and the too big to fail issue we hear so much cleche' about.
What we have now in all the fancy smartest in the room ENRONIC derivative and financial instruments is, as you've heard so many times, " noone understands them" - AND therefore "NOONE REALLY KNOWS WHAT THEY'RE WORTH".
That leaves a big fat question mark on the bottom of ALL the ledgers of the companies and stock markets and 401k piles and banks and investment firms and ..... on and on.... even after all the calculated lies are marked and dotted.
The big problem is one thing NOONE KNOWS WHAT THESE THINGS ARE WORTH - AND NOONE CAN FIND OUT- AND IT CANNOT BE CALCULATED, AND THERFORE IT CANNOT "UNWIND"...
And the very sad part is quite a few suspect they most often aren't worth a single dime, and in fact are a liability.
You can only squeeze a drop of blood money out of a bad loan 5 or 10 thousand times before it's just a dry shelled zombie...
Good thing it's so complicated that noone can say for certain...LOL
(yes the computers "took over" - think of the Kyoto computer and all the different numbers it spits out depending on what garbage you plug in then you'll completely understand derivatives)

Cassandra
lol " Now an ex Fed chairman wants police state powers granted to a privately owned banking concern. Lets see, CEO's are evil for fiscal mismanagement and lack of fiduciary due diligence, but liberals can put the taxpayers into trillions dollars of debt and they deserve a raise? "
Yes, and the bigger issue is the AIG bonuses aren't even to the very big shots- they go to the derivative houses portion - the geeks sitting behind the computer algorythym calculators that made a big pile of sucked dry zombie loans acquire a triple A rating after thousands of trades at .000012 fees bled the pile dryer than tinder on the desert floor.
The loans are so far removed from the original loan institutions, and trail so convoluted and ephemeral and the offshoot payouts and takings on their movements so tangled and multiple, that there's "no sorting it out".
I think the real danger is there are massive dozens of others with a zero or less bottom line looming over their years long sucking the last drop of blood out ballooning gambits, that noone really wants it to all to come clean.
Just keep the gigantic complex balloon of dried up zombie blood droplets floating about in the Matrix, and the players can keep creating feasible scenarios that make their trade and swapping and exchange a profitable fee and a potentially "good move" even on a "loss" and everyone will be happy...
Timmy and company are having trouble convincing anyone they have a single red corpuscle left they can squeeze out of the gigantic 300 trillion dried up blood zombie - and no of them wants to see it crumble into zombie dust...
The lesson is, can crime pay ?

Face it - the commie libs have taken WS
Libs have taken Wall Street - same concept as their domestic commie red belief system - you get the value from someone else( the loan from the person who can't pay the interest), from somewhere else( another investment entity that didn't make the loan but bought it and repackaged it with some algorythmic ratings), then you calculate that take( the new money you make it on calculating again what it's worth and taking some amount for that work), ahead of time with future collections not yet achieved (since joe home loan can't pay in the near future), and claim you have all the money in the world right now (it's an ASSET) - then you package it all up in a derivative swap( it's so complicated noone can understand*THAT IT ISN'T WORTH A DAMNED DIME FROM THE WORD GO) that you make some fees and swapola and paycheck bonuses on, and sell it to the private/public whatever, or some other 401k sucker or entity that does what you do ready to do it again.
It's a wonderful system, and Timmy is gonna buy up all the poison. It's funny how ASSETS are toxic , isn't it ? One used to be taught that LIABILITIES are toxic, but now assets are...LOL
roflmao
They are such LIARS from the word go.
( Uhh, if you only knew the all jargon you could understand how brilliant and edumacated they are and why it all works... YES OF COURSE THAT'S HOW THEY INVESTED WITH MADOFF, ALL THE BRILLIANT POINTS OF LIGHT that worshipped him, too)
Amazing.
Toxic ASSETS - not toxic liabilities....

Housing Sales UP
Administration needs to buy toxic assets so that credit frees up.

What are these people buying homes with? Did they get a loan or they all paying cash like the government did with AIG?

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