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Monday, December 10, 2007
Donald Lambro :: Townhall.com Columnist
Bank on an Improved Economy
by Donald Lambro
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WASHINGTON -- It will probably come as a shock to most people, even to those who follow the economy, that mortgage applications rose last month as a result of declining interest rates.

In the midst of the hysterical media-fed notion that a tidal wave of subprime-loan foreclosures was going to plunge the country into a recession, the fact is that the economy is still growing and Americans are still buying homes.

The torrid pace of recent years has slackened, but homes are being sold, banks are lending money and most Americans -- even those saddled with subprime mortgages -- are paying their mortgages on time.

Not everybody realizes this, however. The Washington Post, in a story about the administration's mortgage-relief plan, reported last week that, "Lending, which had boomed for years, ground to a halt." That has been the myth reported ad nauseam on the nightly network news shows, and apparently it has been accepted as a God-given fact.

A few news organizations were trying to counter this fear-fed foofaraw last week. Here's what the Bloomberg financial news service said last Wednesday: "Mortgage applications in the U.S. jumped last week by the most in more than three years," according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, "led by a surge in refinancing as long-term interest rates dropped to two-year lows."

That doesn't sound like the mortgage business has ground to a halt or even slowed to a crawl. The American dream of owning a home still lives, banks are willing to finance that dream and the housing market has not shut down.

Indeed, to put all of this in sharper perspective, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported late last month that 95 percent of all mortgages are being paid on time, and 85 percent of all subprime mortgages are being paid punctually as well.

"America's financial system is secure. Let's focus on helping families in trouble, not on remaking the system in a way that would close doors we've spent decades trying to open," the MBA said in a series of ads it ran to insert some overlooked facts into the debate about the housing markets.

The administration took that sensible advice last week as it put together a voluntary plan to expand what many mortgage lenders are already doing: allowing homeowners with adjustable-rate, subprime mortgages to continue paying an introductory rate for a few more years before the higher-percentage rate kicks in.

This makes sense on the theory that it is better for the lending industry to extend the terms for its paying customers than for the banks to have a mountain of foreclosures on their hands in an unsettled housing market. This is perfectly consistent with the free market where businesses can and do change the terms of their contracts for their own self-preservation and for the benefit of their customers, in response to shifting economic conditions.

President Bush's plan is merely an extension of the housing industry's preliminary, voluntary response in an effort to halt the growing fears wreaking havoc with our financial markets and, potentially, with the economy at large. Continued...

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About The Author

Donald Lambro is chief political correspondent for The Washington Times.

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Lambro's Cheerleading again

"The Washington Post, in a story about the administration's mortgage-relief plan, reported last week that, 'Lending, which had boomed for years, ground to a halt.' That has been the myth reported ad nauseam...

"Bloomberg financial news service said last Wednesday: 'Mortgage applications in the U.S. jumped last week by the most in more than three years,' according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, 'led by a surge in refinancing as long-term interest rates dropped to two-year lows.'

"That doesn't sound like the mortgage business has ground to a halt or even slowed to a crawl."

Is Lambro so dense that he doesn't understand that these two statements do not contradict each other? The Post quote was quite clearly providing background (look up the article). And since the current credit market squeeze dates to July, it's certainly possible (and, in fact, true) that mortgage lending effectively stopped for a time.

In mid-August, when mortgage companies were failing and stocks plummeting, many lenders were simply unable to raise the funds they needed to finance mortgages. Jumbo loans, those larger than $417,000 that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are statutorily prohibited from purchasing, were practically unavailable. Even now, many lenders are not offering jumbo loans.

"President Bush's plan is merely an extension of the housing industry's preliminary, voluntary response in an effort to halt the growing fears wreaking havoc with our financial markets and, potentially, with the economy at large."

If it was a Democrat's plan, you can bank on the idea that Lambro would be lambasting it as an unnecessary interference by the government in the market.

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2-Did illegals contribute to the bubble?
Contractors basically had the gas pedal to the floor, earning as much money as they could in a cut-throat competition, to earn as much as they could while it lasted until the car crashed, which has caused permanently lower wages, and short term impossibility of getting a job in those trades that we will have to live with for God even doesn’t know how long in the future, until they start building again. Had this pedal to the metal mentality been restrained by more realistic labor market forces of fewer legal US citizens demanding a higher wage, would having a limited supply of US workers with high wages extend the waiting time for new houses would this have slowed the crash, and the higher wages for US workers caused higher price for the houses would have attracted less foreign money and money from US investors using this as an alternative to wall street after Enron and others destroyed confidence in investing there, and how many people are owning houses for reasons other than it being their home driving the investment in real estate less would these conditions have been less of a factor in driving the market? Now we have a bunch of houses so expensive the laborers who built the houses can’t afford to live in them at the slave labor wages they earned to build them, and the illegals just follow the carrot to wherever someone will offer them a slave labor wage. But all I have is my perspective.
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