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Monday, July 17, 2006
Donald Lambro :: Townhall.com Columnist
We turn now to the American economy ...
by Donald Lambro
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WASHINGTON -- We interrupt your usually depressing news to bring you some developments that will give Americans cause to be optimistic about our economy.

I know this runs against the grain of the fear-mongering we have been hearing from Wall Street and the whiners and complainers in Washington, but several things happened last week that suggest this country is definitely moving in the right direction.

The government reports that tax revenues are significantly higher than anticipated, cutting the budget deficit much more deeply than was forecast. Unemployment has fallen to a low 4.6 percent after 34 consecutive months of continued job growth. The economy was growing at a blistering 5.6 percent rate in the first quarter, and the U.S. Treasury reports that total worker compensation (including wages and benefits) grew by 7.4 after inflation during the current expansion.

Not surprisingly, the Gallup Poll also reported last week that President Bush's job approval rating, which has been in the low 30s for months, has risen to 40 percent. That's still way below his peak of previous years, but a sign that he is turning his presidency around in his second term.

Let's take some of these developments one at a time because they fully deserve more attention than they have been getting in the national news media.

The budget deficit: It's big, wasteful and mostly unnecessary, but it's a product of many things, including unanticipated events like Katrina, economic downturns and the huge defense costs in the war on terror. Much of it is also due to excessive discretionary spending and runaway entitlements.

One way to shrink the deficit is to boost economic growth by cutting the tax rates on work, investment and savings -- and that's what is happening in the economy right now, despite predictions to the contrary by naysayers who said the tax cuts would worsen the deficit.

The Office of Management and Budget reported last week that the fiscal 2006 deficit will be 30 percent lower than expected. The new estimate -- $296 billion or 2.3 percent of the nation's gross domestic product -- is on track to fall to $188 billion in 2008 or 1.3 percent of GDP.

The reason: "Overall tax revenues are growing at the fastest pace in 40 years," says Brian Riedl, the Heritage Foundation's budget analyst. In fact, since Bush's tax cuts were fully accelerated in 2003, tax receipts have risen by over 34.6 percent.

These increased revenues are the result of several things going on in the economy since Bush enacted his across-the-board tax rate cuts. More Americans are working and paying taxes, more investors have had capital gains from the sale of assets that have produced much higher cap gains tax revenue (even at the lower 15 percent rate), and more businesses have had higher earnings and thus have paid more in taxes.

Stronger economic growth: We keep hearing that the U.S. economy is slowing down, but too little about how the economy speeded up in first three months of this year.

In a revision of first-quarter growth, the government said the economy was expanding much faster than they had reported -- at 5.6 percent pace, instead of the previous 5.3 percent estimate. Continued...

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About The Author

Donald Lambro is chief political correspondent for The Washington Times.

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NONE OF THE PREVIOUS "COMMENTERS" GET IT
In the past 2 years my business, auto A/C and HVAC, has exploded. Because more people have money in the bank, due to lower taxes, they are spending more money on "comfort items" than ever before. Because I am making more money, in part due to lower capital gains and other taxes, I was able to hire 6 more people so I can continue to provide the level of service my customers are used to. These people pay taxes on their wages as well. They also have more money to spend on the things they need to live, due to lower taxes. They pay taxes on those purchases, thus more revenue for our local, state, and yes, the federal government. If any of you were in business for yourself you would understand the math. My payroll has increased 32% in the last 2 years. Using pre-2003 numbers the amount of taxes I was required to withhold would have been the same 32%. But, because of President Bush's tax cuts, withholding has increased only about 28%. This means more money in my employees pocket, both prior and new, and that is their money to spend, save, whatever, instead of giving it to the government. And, I will not hire illegal aliens. I won't even hire anyone that is not proficient in English. It is too important to my business to have un-educated people dealing with my customers.

Life is good. So, instead of whining about gas prices or the war against terrorism (there hasn't been another 9/11 style attack has there?) get off of Dubya's back. He is doing as good a job as he can considering the Congress and House we now have. People should also think about getting off their butts and do something for themselves instead of boo-hooing. The opportunities are there if they would just reach out and grab onto the golden ring.




Wanna bet?

Quick commment:

"The Office of Management and Budget reported last week that the [deficit]... is on track to fall to $188 billion in 2008 or 1.3 percent of GDP."

I'll bet $1,000 that the deficit for FY 2008 is more than $188 billion. My guess is that Mr. Lambro won't take me up on this; he likely knows that he's selling a bill of goods provided by the CBO.
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