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Friday, March 20, 2009
Dick Morris and  Eileen McGann :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Fed's Futile Move
by Dick Morris and Eileen McGann
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Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


In an effort to promote liquidity and boost the economy, the Federal Reserve yesterday announced plans to grow the money supply by another 50 percent to 60 percent. This ignores the profound observation of Gen. George Patton, "You can't push a string."

When the Fed expands the money supply, it doesn't pass out $100 bills on Broadway. It gives lines of credit to banks and other financial intermediaries to generate some money and also buys up Treasury bills in circulation to pump out more cash.

But the money supply has already expanded by 271 percent in the past five months. Why does the Fed expect what hasn't worked to suddenly start working?

Right now, there is about $800 billion-plus currency in circulation sitting in wallets, purses and cash registers around the country. Another $800 billion is sitting in a vault at the Federal Reserve Board, for a total monetary supply of about $1.6 trillion.

In a vault? Yes. When Congress voted the TARP program to bail out banks, the banks actually took only a small part of the money. The rest they used to offset losses on their balance sheets while letting the Fed hold onto the money.

Why didn't the banks want the money? Because they're not about to make loans in this economy. They're more than happy to let the cash sit at the Fed earning them interest. (The Fed decided to start paying interest last November).

So now the Fed will, in essence, be creating another trillion of money supply to sit in the vault alongside the $800 billion already there. The new money will remain idle for the same reason the old money has because banks won't make loans in this environment.

And what of the money that is going out the door to buy Treasury bills? Those selling Treasuries won't run out and spend the money on flat-screen TVs. With higher taxes coming up next year and the economy in the tank, they won't spend it or lend it, they'll probably just turn around and buy more T-bills.

Think of a parking garage filled with cars. The cars' owners leave them in the garage because it's a bad day, with rain and snow and conditions that aren't suitable for driving. Similarly, banks and consumers leave their money in the vault at the Fed or in their bank accounts or under the mattress.

When conditions improve, though, all those metaphorical cars will suddenly be taken out for a drive. All at once. And a traffic jam of monumental proportion will ensue.

When everybody starts spending the money they're now leaving in vaults and mattresses, way too much money will be chasing way too few goods and services. Double-digit inflation will return to America.

Yesterday's Fed action won't help, but it will put more money out there that the Fed will have to mop up once the economy, on its own, revives.

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About The Author
Dick Morris, a former political adviser to Sen. Trent Lott (R-Miss.) and President Bill Clinton, is the author of Condi vs. Hillary: The Next Great Presidential Race. To get all of Dick Morris’s and Eileen McGann’s columns for free by email, go to www.dickmorris.com
 
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Stop The Insanity!

The Fed. Res. and the fed. govt. have tripled the amount of money in circulation in the last 6 months. Then, we have Scamulus, the mortgage bailout, the omnibus bill, and god help us, Mugabe's freakin =$4.6 budget.

On Wednesday, the Fed announced:

1) It would buy $300bn worth of treasury bonds so as to lower mortgage rates, which hasn't been done since the inflationary period of the 1960s.

2) Another $750bn to buy toxic assets, which is on top of the $500bn already spent.

3) Up to another $1T for bank stabilization.

$2T for universal healthcare.

$2T for the stupid and useless cap-n-tax.

We have a national debt over $12bn.

Unfunded obligations for social security that are between $56T and $75T.

This in unsustainable.


"Inflation, Extravagance, Bankruptcy."

John Maynard Keynes campaigned for budgetary flexibility and abandonment of the gold standard for at least a decade before publishing his General Theory in 1936. And he was a genius of rhetoric as well as of economics. He could explain his ideas with equal brilliance in the abstractions of Treasury mandarins or the straightforward language of common people: "Housewives of England, for every shilling you save, you put a man out of work for a day."

But Keynes's arguments were ignored by democratic governments the world over. Gordon Brown describes a document in the Treasury archives in which Keynes's proposals for saving Britain from depression were dismissed by the Permanent Secretary with three scribbled words: "Inflation, Extravagance, Bankruptcy."

Most people in the 1930s agreed with the Treasury that Keynes was irresponsible and deluded. And that is what many believe today -that a debt crisis cannot be cured by borrowing; that saving is virtuous while spending is wasteful; that printing money creates inflation and that the best response to recession is to fire government bureaucrats.

If these beliefs become conventional wisdom among voters, then coping with the economic crisis will become as difficult as it was in the 1930s - at least for democracies. And here we come to the real horror.

In the 1930s only one country put expansionary policies fully into practice. Hitler's Germany.

Unchartered Territory - I

All that is going on is a distraction to the main and, without being pollyannaish, the most dire situation that we have seen in decades, if not in our history. As I indicated below, the Fed is printing money at an alarming rate. Understand, NEVER in the history of monetary policy has a government been able to effectively time inflationary tools to counteract deflation. NEVER. We are either looking at the most devastating recession that we have ever seen in this country or another depression AND this is only if we quit spending. If the Fed continues to print money and the government continues to spend it, not only will we have inflation and a depression, but the dollar will collapse. Most people do not believe that there can be a depression and inflation at the same time. This is simply not the case. Any cursory review of the Weimar Government or modern day Zimbabwe proves that inflation can occur in a depression.

According to sources from within the Congressional Budget Office, Obama is going to receive devastating news tomorrow on both the economy and his proposed budget. The new projections put his budget AT MORE THAN FOUR TRILLION DOLLARS!

Unchartered Territory - II

China previously expressed concern over their investments and, in a way, were rewarded yesterday by the Fed's actions because they made $700bn in one day. Today, Russia has voiced grave concern about the stability of our dollar because of the similarities it sees with its own disastrous past.

At the rate we are going, the poor will NEVER see parity with the "middle class", who will likewise lose their buying power. The next shoe to drop is going to be the collapse of state pension funds, which will wipe out the retirement savings of millions.

Any collapse of or significant instability in the dollar will make it nearly impossible to borrow overseas. Should this occur, Obama can say goobye to his dreams of universal healthcare, cap-n-tax, and likely card check, which will result in a replay of the effects of the 1936 Wagner Act and other workplace rules that led to the 1937 recession within the Great Depression.

The End Of America? - I

Helicopter Ben Bernanke’s Federal Reserve is dropping trillions of fresh paper dollars on the world economy, the President of the United States is cracking jokes on late-night comedy shows, his energy minister is threatening a trade war over carbon emissions, his treasury secretary is dithering over a banking reform program amid rising concerns over his competence and a monumentally dysfunctional U.S. Congress is launching another public jihad against corporations and bankers.

As an aghast world — from China to Chicago and Chihuahua — watches, the circus-like U.S. political system seems to be declining into near chaos. Through it all, stock and financial markets are paralyzed. The more the policy regime does, the worse the outlook gets. The multi-ringed spectacle raises a disturbing question in many minds: Is this the end of America?

Probably not, if only because there are good reasons for optimism. The U.S. economy has pulled out of self-destructive political spirals in the past, spurred on by its business class and corporate leaders, the profit-making and market-creating people who rose above the political turmoil to once again lift the world out of financial crisis. It’s happened many times before, except for once, when it took 20 years to rise out of the Great Depression.

Past success, however, is no guarantee of future recovery, especially now when there are daily disasters and new indicators of political breakdown. All developments are not disasters in themselves.

The End Of America? - II

But America is at risk in other ways, especially in the technical business of setting and executing policy. The presidency of Barack Obama has set out on a course that has no precedent in U.S. history. Franklin D. Roosevelt, whose New Deal transformed the U.S. economy during the Great Depression, pushed America off on a sharply different political and ideological course. The Obama administration is different in many ways, not least in its supreme self-confidence in its methods and objectives.

Reform of health care, environmental policy, education, energy, banking, regulation — every nook and cranny of the U.S. economy has been put on alert for major change. Expansion of government spending, plunging the U.S. into unprecedented deficits, is without parallel. In economic policy, through regulation and control of energy output, financial services and monetary expansion, the U.S. government has embarked on a fundamental reshaping of America. It is designed, in short, to bring on the end of America.

The spillover effect of all this on the rest of the world promises to be dramatically disruptive. The greatest global risk is in monetary and currency policy. Below is a chart that graphically demonstrates the sharp deviation in monetary policy from past norms. Under the chairmanship of Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve is in the midst of a giant economic experiment, flooding the world with U.S. dollars, hoping that flood will stimulate economic activity.

The End Of America? - III

The total monetary base, already at astronomical levels, is now expected to take another big hit with the new Fed policy of buying up U.S. longer-term treasury bills in a bid to drive down long-term interest rates.

Mr. Bernanke is sometimes known as “Helicopter Ben” because he once in an academic paper referred to the use of “helicopters” full of money to rescue an economy from deflation. In comments Wednesday to explain the Fed’s new policy of buying $300-billion in U.S. treasury bills, Mr. Bernanke noted that the Fed is now more worried about inflation being too low than about it getting too high in the future.

For the rest of the world, however, the worry is that America is at risk of becoming the fountainhead of a new inflationary outburst. The U.S. dollar is now in decline, gold is moving sharply higher, and new global currency turmoil is on the horizon.

It may not happen. A paper just published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, source of the chart above, says that the Fed will have to be prepared to absorb all the excess money it has poured into the U.S. economy. It will be a technical and political challenge unlike any central bank has ever undertaken. The future of America is at stake.

Perverse Cosmic Myopia - I

You’d think if some tiger were lunging at your neck, your attention would be riveted on the tiger. But that’s apparently not how it works in the age of global A.D.D. As a tiger sinks its teeth into the world’s neck, we focus on the dust bunnies under the bed and the floorboards that need replacing on the deck. We live in the world of Perverse Cosmic Myopia, an inability to focus attention on the most perilous matter at hand.

The tiger, of course, is the collapsing world financial system. Americans actually have a falsely mild view of this crisis because the economy is worse abroad. The U.N.’s International Labor Organization projects between 30 million and 50 million job losses worldwide. Central European countries are teetering; Japan’s economy is horrifying; and the Chinese job creation machine is losing the race against its demographic pressures.
In times like these, you’d expect prudent leaders to prepare for the worst. After all, the pessimists have recently been vindicated by events. But that’s apparently too painful to think about. In normal times, leaders like to focus on the short term at the expense of the long term. But now the short term is really confusing, so leaders take refuge in projects that are years or decades away.

Perverse Cosmic Myopia - II

The president of the United States has decided to address this crisis while simultaneously tackling the four most complicated problems facing the nation: health care, energy, immigration and education. Why he has not also decided to spend his evenings mastering quantum mechanics and discovering the origins of consciousness is beyond me.

The results of this overload are evident on Capitol Hill. The banking plan is incomplete, and there is zero political will to pay for it. The president’s budget is being nibbled to death. The revenue ideas are dying one by one, while the spending ideas expand. By the latest estimate, the health care approach will cost $1.5 trillion over 10 years and the national debt will at least double, while the Chinese publicly complain about picking up the tab.

Many people used to wonder how the world’s leaders could be so myopic at various points in history — like during the Versailles Treaty or the turmoil of the 1930s. We don’t have to wonder any more. We get to watch the cosmic myopia replay itself in our own times.

Dick Morris
I am very much convinced that you really are not
bright enough to talk about this subject
with any depth.

Tammy,
This is actually common knowlegde, and common sense backed up by history. These things have happened before, just not this extreme.

DENISE
You got way too much time on your hands, but you make sense.

moventure

Actually, I don't have a lot of time on my hands, but I do have a lot of things on my mind. I have been writing about these issues for MONTHS and few people have been listening. Lately, even some Liberals are starting to agree with me that the spending by the government is unsustainable. When that happens, something is happening.

I wish that I wasn't making sense. Unfortunately, in addition to the law, I have been a student of economics and monetary policy for over 20 years. Although I was in my teens during the Carter Administration, I remember the malaise. As horrible as those years were, I don't think that they were nearly as bad as what may be on our horizon. I truly hope that I am wrong.

Have a nice evening.

Tammy..............




I am very much convinced that you really are not
bright enough to COMMENT on this subject
with any depth.

thanks denise
You win the award for "Excellent analysis in short format."

I recall studying Keynes as an economics student. I also recall my professors talking about how politicians liked to select the part of his theories they liked, ignoring the others.

If Keynes were a buffet table, it would present a balanced diet.

A politician heads for the desert trays only...

economics for Tammy
Tammy: one of the fantastic things about economics is that experiments are running all the time all around the world.

I sense from your posts that you yearn to understand the sweet science of economics. I sense that you want to express your understandings, as well.

Please cite from readily available references when saying Dick Morris is wrong, or right.

I will try to do so, as well

For example: most of South America has tried the policies of the present administration. All failed to deliver anything close to satisfactory results. Chile tried "the other way' and has had pretty good results. Not perfect results, good results.

Your turn.

thanks Dick
keep the warnings coming... maybe someone will listen...

Tammy
I am very much convinced that you really are not bright enough to talk about this subject with any depth.

ponzi schemes
It often seems to me that BHO has taken a page from Bernie Maidoff's book.

He took lessons from Social Security, Fannie and Freddie, welfare, health care, etc.

I love reading Dick and Eileen, other TH writers. Anyone got a happy face link?

Denise LA
Your perspective is painfully accurate. I also was a teenager in the Carter years and remember the misery. What amazes me is how our generation has forgot what lifted us from that miserable failure of a Presidency and have now redoubled those effects with Obama.

Excellent, Denise
You need to be writing for TH. I'm going to cut and paste all your posts for my wife to read when she gets up.

I thought Dick's analogy of the parking garage was apropos. Where are the trolls this AM? Those who attack him for his personal foibles?

Morris isn't always right, but he and his wife are pretty sharp in their analysis and insight, and always worth consideration if you want some inside poop on politics and policy.

Any Advice?
There is a hopeful link on the drudgereport to a story in the Financial Times describing the possibility of retaliation by the banking industry against our government's tyranny over the AIG bonuses.

The story speculates that banking talent may flee to foreign countries to avoid the new American socialist fasism, and that private equity firms will stay away from their joint ventures with the U.S. government to resolve our credit problems.

Also, U.S. banks that were bailed out are trying to get private money to pay off the government so as to break our government's hold over them. Thereafter, these banks will hold their money and not lend it as freely as they did before. This would be a good thing.

All of this will mean our financial industry will shrink, thus ensuring greater economic problems for the country. I am ecstatic! This will mean more layoffs and unemployment for the marginal workers in America, the Obama voters. This is only righteous and correct.

It is correct for Obama's stupidity to fall on his supporters. I am praying for 30% unemployment, riots, and civil unrest. I am praying that these cockroaches and parasites coome into my neighborhood and give me and my neighbors the excuse we so desperately want.

Am I crazy? Is anyone else out there peeing their pants with delight at the prospect of watching these leeches suffer? I do hope I'm not being to insensitive.

Stepping Into The Abyss
With the Obama administration struggling to roll out its financial rescue plan amid populist outrage against bankers in Washington, the Federal Reserve is again stepping into the breach.

Vincent Reinhart, a former chief monetary economist at the Fed, interpreted the Fed’s aggressive action as saying “if you are less confident the Treasury is going to be putting in place an effective policy quickly, maybe you should start moving with your own balance sheet”.

This fits a pattern of behaviour since early in the crisis. The Fed has taken the opposite approach to the Bank of Japan in the 1990s – doing as much or more when the government does less, rather than holding its fire to bargain with the fiscal authority. Indeed, the central bank appears to be demonstrating by example the need to take extraordinary measures to overcome the crisis.

But while the Fed has great freedom to deploy the tools it has, these tools are narrow in scope. It cannot deploy capital. Fed officials are clear that while their efforts can buy time for government and regulatory action to repair the financial system, they cannot be a substitute for such action, and without it there will be no sustained recovery from the crisis. Moreover, the lopsided national policy mix creates dangers of its own. For any given set of tools, the greater the reliance on the Fed’s ability to create money to buy assets – as opposed to Congress’s ability to tax and spend on bank recapitalisation, or regulators’ power to force bank restructuring – the greater the risk the crisis ends with a serious bout of inflation.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/18ed9c2e-15a8-11de-b9a9-0000779fd 2ac.html

A Sign Of Desperation
In a further display of aggression, the US central bank also said it was more than doubling its purchases of securities issued by housing giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to $1,450bn. It said it now expected to keep interest rates near zero for an “extended period” of time.

Goldman Sachs said the Fed was throwing the “kitchen sink” at the problem. The plan to buy Treasuries caught investors off guard. “It appears that they wanted to give the market a jolt,” said Peter Hooper, an economist at Deutsche Bank.

The last time the central bank attempted to bring down yields on long-term securities through direct intervention came during the ill-fated Operation Twist in the 1960s. Recent comments by Ben Bernanke, Federal Reserve chairman, and William Dudley, New York Fed president, did not suggest that Treasury purchases were imminent.

But the deterioration in the US outlook, problems rolling out the US financial rescue plan and the Bank of England’s success in buying UK government gilts seem to have persuaded the Fed to act.

Alan Ruskin, a strategist at RBS, said it was a “flip-flop” that “could be cast as a sign of desperation” but “confirmed that Bernanke will do whatever it takes to get some hold of the problem”.

A swollen Fed balance sheet runs the risk that the US central bank may find it difficult to manage down the money supply when the economy turns, raising the possibility of inflation.

OBAMA HAS CROSS THE RUBICON

Barack Hussein Obama is trying to lead this country in the direction of Socialism, equal to European Socialism. "A good crisis can not go to waste", per Rahm Emanuel. Many Americans left Europe by the millions to escape the tyranny and high taxation of European governments.

We overcame it once, we will do it again. Obama is naive if he thinks Americans will idlly stand by to allow this to happen. He has a lot of maturing to do. His "On Job Training" has only just begun.




Political Suppression
Have you been brought aware of the following 2007 Board of Trustee report to Congress when President Obama was a senator? Most Americans have not which is political suppression.

REPORT ON SOCIAL SECURITY

“Social Security could be brought into actuarial balance over the next 75 years in various ways, including an immediate increase of 16% in payroll taxes, or an immediate reduction in benefits of 13%, or combination of the two which would ensure the system is solvent on a sustainable basis. To the extent changes are delayed or phased in gradually, larger adjustments in scheduled benefit and revenues would be required that would spread over fewer generations.”

REPORT ON MEDICARE

The Medicare program projections in the report are even more severe. The summary report states:

“The annual general funding contributions to the total Medicare expenditures is projected to exceed 45% within the first seven years of the 75 year period” as is triggered by the reports finding. This warning requires the President to respond by submitting proposed legislation within 15 days of the next budget submission (early February 2008) to address the problem, and for Congress to consider the proposal on an expedited basis.”

Both of these social programs have trillions of unfunded tax liabilites.


Thanks

To those, who wrote kind words, please accept my thanks. I pray that I am wrong, but history is on my side on this one. As I noted in an earlier post, the last time the Fed tried this was in the 1960s and it failed miserably. Unfortunately, when they did it then, the world was not teetering on the brink of financial collapse, as it is now.


Have a great day.

Price control.
As Mr. Morris points out, when all this money floods the system inflation is the outcome. Now I believe this administration already knows this and is probably working on their master price control plan.

The sheople will call for price control once they figure out they are paying 10 bucks for a loaf of bread. They will not realize that price controls cause a shortage of goods but make goods more expensive.

Remember the 1970's price controls? How long can producers turn out a product at a loss?

Denise
I to have had success with convincing liberals through logic and reason rather than anger. I don't know if you are doing this, but amplify your voice by not just posting this on townhall. I am building a list of websites, political, enitities, congressman to make it easier to do this.

Also if anyone has links and contacts could you email me.

jasonrichardson011@gmail.com

Dick
The old saying,"Two Heads are Better than One" is not true with you and Eileen. Nothing that the "Fed" does is "Futile". Just because you don't understand the context of their actions,don't dismiss them. Couldn't you just say NO?

Bailouts? Party ON!
Our idiots in congress want to make ALL bonus earners at AIG as evil-doers. Even after the Dodd amendment guaranteed them. Some of these bonuses may be legit and being paid out for actual performance. I say pay them, and fire the non-producers.
Meanwhile,Fannie and Freddie are getting ready to pay out big-time,AIG-type bonuses, and hardly a peep from anyone.
Does anyone remember Franklin Raines? He left these agencies after giving himself $90 million in bonuses.Somehow he disappeared from Obama's "crack economic team" on his website after people started looking into the root causes of our economy tanking

Fed's Futile Move
More gross government incompetence! The Federal Reserve is NOT a viable rescue mechanism for a tanking economy; it actually can only have a very minimal effect on the mega systemic aberration caused by the crooks of Wall Street (and the enabler: Government). There’s nothing backing the Federal Reserve other than the soundness of the economy. When the economy is on an even keel the Fed can make small corrections. But when the economy is in free fall it has no positive effect, rather it will absolutely make the economy worse. Now the Fed wants to be “the tail wagging the dog”. What morons! Run them all out on a rail!

The Fed is way, WAY over-rated, a bad idea from its inception (the gold standard argument), and looking at their palatial digs you'd think it's the power center of the world...NOT!

Hey Everyone: Listen Up!
Latest reports are that Obama now will propose that executive pay at all banks, Wall Street firms and
“other “ companies be regulated.

Interesting. Everyone ponder this for a minute.

There are many comments one can make about this, as I’m sure will be done here and elsewhere. Here’s a few.

Nixon tried this in 1972 with wage and price controls. It failed, naturally. As the citizens maneuvered around the various loopholes like mud squeezed in a fist, new versions of the controls were passed. But they all failed. There were spot shortages and other mutations, as must always come with government interventions. Eventually they were stopped.

Does anyone else find Obama’s proposal akin to those you might find in Venezuela or any other third world communist state?

Does anyone wonder if he will stop at banks, Wall Street and “other” companies?

Will the financial headquarters of the world move elsewhere to avoid this takeover? It’s one thing to keep hourly wages down for Obama voters, those with limited resources and options to go along with their limited abilities and intellects. But it’s another to phuck with wealthy elites.

And what do those wealthy progressive elites think of their boy in the White House now, the one they supported last November. To those that did: Ha Ha.

Finally, how does everyone feel about our rights now? Feeling any more insecure? No? They you enjoy deluding yourselves.

Like Stock Split ..but not a Wash
In theory, each dollar the feds destroy is replaced by a fresh one off the press. But printing extra money is like a stock split in that it devalues our currency. But unlike a split, it's not a wash because you and I don't get anything to compensate for what was devalued in our wallet. You can't push a string is right.

Krugman Slams Administration
The Geithner plan has now been leaked in detail. It’s exactly the plan that was widely analyzed — and found wanting — a couple of weeks ago. The zombie ideas have won.

The Obama administration is now completely wedded to the idea that there’s nothing fundamentally wrong with the financial system — that what we’re facing is the equivalent of a run on an essentially sound bank. As Tim Duy put it, there are no bad assets, only misunderstood assets. And if we get investors to understand that toxic waste is really, truly worth much more than anyone is willing to pay for it, all our problems will be solved.

To this end the plan proposes to create funds in which private investors put in a small amount of their own money, and in return get large, non-recourse loans from the taxpayer, with which to buy bad — I mean misunderstood — assets. This is supposed to lead to fair prices because the funds will engage in competitive bidding.

Or to put it another way, Treasury has decided that what we have is nothing but a confidence problem, which it proposes to cure by creating massive moral hazard.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/03/21/despair-over-fi nancial-policy/?scp=1&sq=The%20Geithner%20plan%20has%20now% 20been%20leaked%20in%20detail.&st=cse

Oh, my!

Right Track / Wrong Track Poll

Real Clear Polictics Average:

Right Direction 35.8
Wrong Track 56.8
Spread -21.0

When even Krugman disses nobama
When this happens you know the end is near--impeachmnent for incompetence at the end of year 1.

What's the Real Motive Here?
I am very concerned about the Obama power grab. Yesterday the Federal Reserve printed one trillion dollars. As Dick astutly reported,this action will to inflate the money supply and devalue our dollars. It is irresponsible and will not work to improve the economy. It will send our economy into further chaos and provide an opportunity for the Federal government al la Obama to set up bureaucracies designed to take control of production and undermine the free enterprise system... It may also be the catalyst for a world currency which is the basis for one world government.

There is no time to waste. The word of the day must be STOP! According to Greta Van Susteren in an interview with Oregon’s lone “R” in Congress, it was revealed that there are 16 slots in the Treasury Department that have not been filled. It would appear that Timothy Geitner is winging this alone. Not so...He doesn’t want anyone else on his team because he is taking direction from Obama and the socialists behind him. Citizens don’t get it because they still have the false belief that there is some semblance of order in the federal government. Tsk! Tsk! Alas, the majority party in Congress has been hijacked by people who want our nation to fail economically so that the government can swoop in to “save” us. They are doing this to us on purpose!


The Appleseed Project .... RWVA
April 19, 1775

When Marksmanship met History, and Heritage Began ...

What the RWVA (Revolutionary War Veterans Association) is all about:

The Appleseed Program is designed to take you from being a simple rifle owner to being a true rifleman. All throughout American history, the rifleman has been defined as a marksman capable of hitting a man-sized target from 500 yards away — no ifs, ands or buts about it. This 500-yard range is traditionally known as "the rifleman's quarter-mile;" a rifleman can hit just about any target he can see. This skill was particulary evident in the birth of our country, and was the difference in winning the Revolutionary War.

http://www.appleseedinfo.org/


Intelligence and insanity
Mr. Obama intended to draft the "best and the brightest" talent into his administration, to aid him in bringing his agenda to fruition, right?

It has been said that the definition of insanity is repeating the same procedures over and over, and expecting different results at some point. If that is true, are not Mr. Obama and his "best and brightest" all unified in the agendized insanity of government enforced socialism/communism? Just how long will people go on allowing these insane political procedures to continue to be repeated. and continue to generate misery and failure? I guess it's true that a short sighted and self serving people get the government they deserve.

As for me, I will continue to put my confidence in a government that can not and will not fail.

"Geithner Is A Gigantic Fool" - I


Australia's Keating: Geithner is a Gigantic Fool

A fierce piece on Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has come out of Australia. It places pretty much the entire current world meltdown on the shoulders of Geithner.

It begins with an attack on Geithner's handling a decade ago of the Asian Crisis. Geithner was then at the Treasury and stick handled the Indonesia bailout plan.

According to the Sydney Morning Herald's Peter Hartcher:

...in a speech to a closed gathering at the Lowy Institute in Sydney on Thursday, [former Australian Prime Minister]Paul Keating gave a stark...account of Geithner's record in handling the Asian crisis: "Tim Geithner was the Treasury line officer who wrote the IMF [International Monetary Fund] program for Indonesia in 1997-98, which was to apply current account solutions to a capital account crisis."

In other words, Geithner fundamentally misdiagnosed the problem. And his misdiagnosis led to a dreadfully wrong prescription.
According to this scenario, Geithner so mishandled the Indonesia problem that it spooked other Asian countries to never be caught short and thus dependent on the U.S. or the IMF.

Keating continued:

Soeharto's government delivered 21 years of 7 per cent compound growth. It takes a gigantic fool [Geithenr] to mess that up. But the IMF messed it up. The end result was the biggest fall in GDP in the 20th century. That dubious distinction went to Indonesia. And, of course, Soeharto lost power.

This Keating argues is behind China's massive accumulation of Treasury securities. This accumulation, Keating says, lead to China to finance and fuel much of the the artificial boom in the U.S. that is now collapsing.

"Geithner Is A Gigantic Fool" - II

Hartcher writes:

China, in particular, drew hard conclusions from the IMF's mishandling of the Asian crisis. It decided that it would never allow itself to be dependent on the IMF, or the US, or the West generally, for its international solvency. Instead, it would build the biggest war chest the world had ever seen.

With Keating adding:

This has all been noted inside the State Council of China and by the Politburo. And it's one of the reasons, perhaps the principal reason, why convertibility of the renminbi remains off the agenda for China, and it's why through a series of exchange-rate interventions each day that they've built these massive reserves.

Reserves are so large at $US2 trillion as to equal $US2000 for every Chinese person, and when your consider that the average income of Chinese people is $US4000 to $US5000, it's 50 per cent of their annual income. It's a huge thing for a developing country to not spend its wealth on its own development.

The bottom line fundamental cause of the current crisis (and Keating notes this) was the money printing of Alan Greenspan during his tenure at the Fed. That said, it has always been a curious fact as to why China would amass such a huge Treasury portfolio. Without China's huge Treasury accumulation which supported the dollar and prevented it from collapse, it is likely Greenspan's money printing gig would have ended much sooner, with much less structural damage.

The general belief has been that China has propped up the dollar to support its exports, and this most certainly is a very important consideration of the Chinese government. Yet, the Keating thesis has a ring of plausibility to it, and may be a second key reason why the Chinese have been willing to accumulate such a huge Treasury securities position.

http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2009/03/australias-kea ting-geithner-is-gigantic.html

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2009/03/former-australian-pr ime-minister.html

Wag the Dog
Beware.

The string the are not pulling
I am amazed that the 'best and brightest' can not figure out what is needed to resolve this crisis. They should all put up signs saying "It's the housing market stupid".

The vast majority of these complex financial instruments, Mortgage backed securities, collateralized debt obligations, and the Credit Default swaps that hedge against them eventually flow back in large part to the cash flow of the so called subprime mortage contracts. Since those have gone belly up these financial instruments no longer have but a trickle of income so there value has fallen to near zero.

The problem here is that the foreclosed homes that are the underlying asset, are not incorporated up stream to the financial instruments (MBS, CDOs, etc.) because they do not produce income. They never will until the housing market fully unwinds, stabilizes, and the frclosed homes are sold.

What is needed is a program to buy up a substantial percentage of the foreclosed homes and hold them off the market for a period of time (as much as a few years). This would have the effect of stabilizing the housing market, make the toxic assets backed by the mortgages close out at about 50%. In owning the homes, they can be rented to recover operating costs, and maintain the value of the asset. Over a few years a gradual sale of the homes as the economy recovers will repay the initial investment.

A program aimed at the toxic assets themselves misses the mark, because it does not resolve the underlying asset value (the foreclosed home) trapped in the economic morass.

Don M


The Obama Gong Show
Even before it is officially launched, experts have warned that Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner's expected plan falls far short of what is needed to ease the financial crisis, with one Nobel prize-winning economist calling it an "awful mess".
The plan builds on the outline Mr Geithner provided last month, which was roundly slammed for lacking vital detail.

Leading US economist Paul Krugman said the scheme would potentially socialise losses and privatise any gains in the financial system, leaving taxpayers worse off. "This plan will produce big gains for banks that didn't actually need any help; it will, however, do little to reassure the public about banks that are seriously undercapitalised," he said.

"And I fear that when the plan fails, as it almost surely will, the administration will have shot its bolt: it won't be able to come back to Congress for a plan that might actually work. What an awful mess."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialc risis/5029122/Tim-Geithners-new-trillion-dollar-US-plan-is- not-enough-experts-warn.html

Will somebody rid us of the turbulent TOXIC PRIEST at Treasury? The WHOLE WORLD is laughing at us and the economy is no laughing matter.

If Obama can't get it together enough to focus on jobs 1, 2, and 3, i.e., THE ECONOMY, he needs to resign ASAP.

Geithner's Grab Bag Of Slogans

The New York Times got the obligatory leak from the nearly-empty halls of Treasury for today’s scoop on the plan from Tim Geithner and Barack Obama on how to fix the economy. To no one’s great surprise, it involves more regulation and intervention by the government, but the only thing clear about it is that Geithner and Obama still don’t have specifics.

The one clear message that comes from this report is that the Obama administration still has no plan. It has a few concepts, some of them contradictory, but no clear commitment to any details at all. Which again begs the question: just what has Tim Geithner been doing with his time at Treasury?

http://hotair.com/archives/2009/03/22/the-geithner-plan-sti ll-a-contradictory-bag-of-slogans/

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/22/us/politics/22regulate.ht ml

So....
The democrats have banked a trillion ro two with paying interest for their wall street corporate masters...
LOL
Guess what, Rush lost, Obama and the dems won - and there has NEVER been as much an outright behind kissing of the masters of money - and the democrats are obviously the dark princes and princesses of such behavior.
Sorry repubs, you're small potatoes, and the demonrats OWN IT ALL, at the very highest level.
A couple trillion for the money masters... courtesy of fat braindead Ted, kook-eye nancy, land deal Harry, and the rest of the Chicago combine machine...
RUSH LOST, OBAMA WON - it's already OVER.
Face reality time repubs. Time to face reality.
You lost your fight, your fantasy should be over.

Add Another Liberal To The Chorus - I
From Thomas Friedman:

I ran into an Indian businessman friend last week and he said something to me that really struck a chord: “This is the first time I’ve ever visited the United States when I feel like you’re acting like an immature democracy.”

You know what he meant: We’re in a once-a-century financial crisis, and yet we’ve actually descended into politics worse than usual. There don’t seem to be any adults at the top — nobody acting larger than the moment, nobody being impelled by anything deeper than the last news cycle. Instead, Congress is slapping together punitive tax laws overnight like some Banana Republic and our president is getting in trouble cracking jokes on Jay Leno comparing his bowling skills to a Special Olympian.

If you want to guarantee that America becomes a mediocre nation, then just keep vilifying every public figure struggling to find a way out of this crisis who stumbles once — like Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner or A.I.G.’s $1-a-year fill-in C.E.O., Ed Liddy — and you’ll ensure that no capable person enlists in government. You will ensure that every bank that has taken public money will try to get rid of it as fast it can, so as not to come under scrutiny, even though that would weaken their balance sheets and make them less able to lend money. And you will ensure that we’ll never get out of this banking crisis, because the solution depends on getting private money funds to team up with the government to buy up toxic assets — and fund managers are growing terrified of any collaboration with government.

President Obama missed a huge teaching opportunity with A.I.G. Those bonuses were an outrage. The public’s anger was justified. But rather than fanning those flames and letting Congress run riot, the president should have said: “I’ll handle this."

Add Another Liberal To The Chorus - II

He should have gone on national TV and had the fireside chat with the country that is long overdue. That’s a talk where he lays out exactly how deep the crisis we are in is, exactly how much sacrifice we’re all going to have to make to get out of it, and then calls on those A.I.G. brokers — and everyone else who, in our rush to heal our banking system, may have gotten bonuses they did not deserve — and tells them that their president is asking them to return their bonuses “for the sake of the country.”

Had Mr. Obama given A.I.G.’s American brokers a reputation to live up to, a great national mission to join, I’d bet anything we’d have gotten most of our money back voluntarily. Inspiring conduct has so much more of an impact than coercing it. And it would have elevated the president to where he belongs — above the angry gaggle in Congress.

Right now we have an absence of inspirational leadership. From business we hear about institutions too big to fail — no matter how reckless. From bankers we hear about contracts too sacred to break — no matter how inappropriate. And from our immature elected officials we hear about how it was all “the other guy’s fault.” I’ve never talked to more people in one week who told me, “You know, I listen to the news, and I get really depressed.”

DagHole

Rush didn't run for ANYTHING.

Since you are too stupid to understand fiscal and monetary policy, let me give you a head's up! What Bernanke did on Wednesday was because he is trying to avert us from sliding into a depression. He is attempting to jump start inflation. KNOW THIS: In the history of civilization and monetary policy, this action has NEVER worked. NEVER.. EVER.. EVER..


Given that your boy is such an economic genius, I am sure that you will not mind either a deflationary depression or hyperinflation or, perhaps, both like the Wiemar Government or modern-day Zimbabwe.

I didn't lose on Election Day because I took MY money out of the markets and financial institutions last Summer. It appears that YOU lost and you didn't even know it. :-)

MORONS ELECTED AN IDIOT!!
What do you expect, when you elect a SOCIALISTIC IDIOT!!!??? Too bad that those of us who were not MORONS and did NOT vote for barry the IDIOT are going to go down the tubes with the IDIOTS!!
THANKS IDIOTS!!!!!!

You're outed as a mathematical ignoramus
The BBC has an entire article on
a: your stupidity
or
b: your falsehoods

Read it here
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/magazine/7978822.stm
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