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Friday, April 20, 2007
Dick Morris and  Eileen McGann :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Three-Dimensional Presidential Primaries
by Dick Morris and Eileen McGann
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Poll
Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


Given these data, two factors would indicate that the crossover voting laws may spell trouble for Hillary:

If she only leads Obama by 5 to 10 points among Democrats when she has an 83-13 favorability rating, she will likely do much worse among independents.

The passion and the depth of animus against Hillary, particularly among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, may be so intense as to motivate them to participate in the Democratic primary in great numbers.

Most current polling fails to capture the likelihood of crossover voting. News media surveys generally ask Democrats what they think about the Democratic field and Republicans what they think about the GOP contenders. Since half the states do not permit independents, much less members of the opposite party, to enter the primaries, few national samples ask independents what they are likely to do.

Those that do tend not to divide their samples along the lines of each state’s law; fewer still ask Republicans if they will vote in the Democratic primary. So crossover voting is a blind spot in most current polling.

All strategists and pollsters need to amend their thinking to view the primaries as the three-dimensional processes they really are.

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About The Author
Dick Morris, a former political adviser to Sen. Trent Lott (R-Miss.) and President Bill Clinton, is the author of Condi vs. Hillary: The Next Great Presidential Race. To get all of Dick Morris’s and Eileen McGann’s columns for free by email, go to www.dickmorris.com
 
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first things first
Liberty and "nutcase" are RIGHT! Before we elect a new Prez, we need to stop the pending Scamnesty bills! Duncan Hunter and Tom Tancredo have their minds right... Mitt might, but I have not checked his position this week.

You can learn more or get involved to save America at the sites below. First, an easy way to reach the official contact info for your Senators and Representatives:

http://www.congressmerge.com/onlinedb/index.htm

Bookmark it and contact them often! It's easy! Just a few clicks!

Other sites [the first one is GREAT --> has prepared e-mails you can send to your representatives]:

http://www.numbersusa.com/index

http://www.fairus.org/site/PageServer?pagename=opposeamnesty&s_src=K0613&s_subsrc=olk0604&printer_friendly=1
http://www.stopthenorthamericanunion.com/
http://www.immigrationcontrol.com/
http://www.amren.com/Reports/Hispanics/HispanicsReport.htm
http://www.cis.org/articles/2006/back906.html
http://www.theamericanresistance.com/articles/art2004jan04.html
http://www.libertygunrights.com/NAUFactSheet.pdf
http://www.heritage.org/research/immigration/
http://www.cis.org/articles/2004/back704.html
http://pewhispanic.org/reports/middecade/
http://www.immigrationwatchdog.com/
http://www.cnsnews.com/ViewNation.asp?Page=/Nation/archive/200701/NAT20070110a.html

Folks, the very survival of the American heritage, culture, common language, socio-economic stability and well-being, indeed the American Way itself are in DIRE JEOPARDY!

The Conspiracy Of Evil (miscreant employers leaning on taxpayers, anti-America PC liberals seeing future big govt. voters, scandal-plagued catholic church leaders seeking replacement contributors, national pols seeking latino votes, and ILLEGAL alien advocate groups seeking American jobs and welfare) is monied, organized, devious, and determined.

That "cheap" labor is nothing of the sort! Per Heritage, each household headed by an undereducated ILLEGAL alien will cost taxpayers $22k a year in deficit taxes versus services used alone! And that is just the tip of the iceberg of their total costs! GET INVOLVED TO STOP THE INVASION NOW FOLKS-- BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE! AMERICA WOULD BE A TERRIBLE THING TO WASTE!

Results of the poll
"Among GOPers the favorable rating [for Hillarly]is only 20%..."
Who in the world are those people????
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