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Friday, March 14, 2008
Diana West :: Townhall.com Columnist
Middle East 'Bright Side' Blinding Us To Costly U.S. Reality
by Diana West
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What was the biggest suprise of Election Day?



As a reasonably optimistic person, I try to look on the bright side whenever possible -- unless bright-side facts are completely blotted out by bleak ones.

Example: In a recent e-mail blast, former Republican senator Rick Santorum urged readers to be heartened by Middle East developments that may have been obscured by bad news elsewhere. There was even good news, he wrote, coming out of Iran. To wit:

"A new poll in Iran suggests that Iranians want more democracy and less theocracy, including the power to elect their Supreme Leader," Santorum wrote, referring to recent findings from the polling group Terror Free Tomorrow. "Three-quarters also wished for normal relations and trade with the U.S."

Gee, that sounds swell -- so long as you don't read the rest of the poll results. These include the finding that roughly six in 10 Iranians support Iran's military and financial assistance for Hezbollah, Shiite militias in Iraq and assorted Palestinian terror groups. The good news (I guess) that Iranians want to elect their Supreme Leader directly is overridden by the bad news that they will probably elect someone who supports global jihad. This makes it tough to buy into Santorum's happy-dappy assessment.

Similarly, consider the reaction to Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's recent trip to Iraq. Conservatives seem to agree -- I say "seem" because few pundits have actually ventured an opinion on this momentous visit (in itself more than passing strange) -- that it was a "debacle" for Iran, as the headline of Amir Taheri's New York Post piece called it.

Huh? In last week's column, I called the visit a Mesopotamian slap across the American face -- a symbolic outrage, at least, to the U.S. troops who continue to be killed and maimed by Iran in Iraq.

But no. According to my fellow conservatives, the visit was a Good Thing. Far from catching Iraq two-timing with a barbaric rival of the United States, it rather demonstrated, as Taheri put it in his oft-cited column, "the limits" of Iran's influence in Iraq. Continued...

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About The Author
Diana West is a contributing columnist for Townhall.com and author of the new book, The Death of the Grown-up: How America's Arrested Development Is Bringing Down Western Civilization.
 
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Iraq – Five Years and Reflections
Five years later. An interesting set of reflections on the Iraq War and the aftermath by Bremmer, Perle and others. Well worth the read at http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/16/opinion/16intro.html .

The legacy of this invasion will certainly need to be addressed by Bush et al as history begins to write about the reasons for the invasion and attempts at nation-building. How will America approach future wars with our understanding of the hundreds of billions in cost and thousands of lives lost versus the threat posed by any nation-state or individual?

An interesting economics question arises. Which is less costly (in dollars, lives, international diplomacy and leadership, etc.); invasion and occupation or homeland security and the occasional terrorist attempt on the homeland?

Thoughts
As I read these comments I'm often reminded that the issue isn't so much the ancient hatred and divisions in the Middle East, it is equally the ancient hatreds and divisions between Islam and the West. Even though the various sects and tribes that make up the Middle East may be ancient enemies within the region, the issue becomes who do they hate or distrust more, the West or each other? The Shia's in Iraq may have ancient grudges against the Persians, yet they have elected clerical leadership that is allied in many fundamental ways with the clerics in Iran. Those clerics, and the political parties that they control, mistrust and dislike the West and all it represents more than they dislike or mistrust the Persians. By adopting the Koran as the basis for civil law, the Iraqi's have codified a system that ensures that justice is not even-handed. It is not merely that women, Christians, Jews and other sects are treated as second class citizens, but that the ballot box is used to reinforce the power of the majority over the minority as the voting population votes first for it's Sect, not for democracy.

The West, in turn, has been confronted for a thousand years with the issue of what its response should be. As long as religion is the primary determinate of power, then, the very act of eliminating dicators guarantees only that we are substituting one form of tyranny for another. Under dictators, there are few political rights, but minority sects, christians, woman and the like often have more civil rights than is the case under Sectarian states. Hence, the 1.5 million Chaldean Christians and other minority Sects in Iraq were protected, whereas now they are being decimated as no one will protect them.

The certain reality of invading and eliminating dictators is that we will endanger the minority sects, as well as women. The end result is that you can kill the dictator, but do you then kill the clerics?
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