The most recent quarter was something of a good-news,
bad-news affair for cable kingpin
Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA). While video
subscriber numbers continue to shrink, the company
nevertheless watched its net income increase by 22% year over
year.
But despite its operating successes, the company's CEO
Brian Roberts refused to discuss details of the company's
ongoing
discussions with
General Electric (NYSE: GE) regarding the
possible combination of the largest cable multi-systems
operator and GE's NBC Universal. The combination is expected
to be approved within the next few weeks, but there remain a
number of possibilities that haven't been described
publicly.
As to Comcast's quarter, the company continues to watch
some of its video subscribers peel away, while its high-speed
data and telephone service are growing, albeit at a slower
pace than before. In the most recent quarter, for instance,
video customers dropped by 2.7%, while high-speed Internet
subscribers grew by 6.4%, and voice customers climbed by
20.3%. Total revenue generating units (one customer taking
one service) expanded by 4.5%.
It appears that, at least from Comcast's perspective,
there clearly is strength in the cable industry. For
instance, Comcast's revenue per video customer rose 5.6% to
an average of $116.91 per month, from $110.67 in the third
quarter of 2008. At the same time, the company's free cash
flow increased to $1.1 billion, from $928 million on a
year-over-year basis.
So why have the cable operator likes of Comcast,
Time Warner Cable (NTSE: TWC), and
Cablevision (NYSE: CVC) been treated so
shabbily by the market during the past year? My response, as
someone who once followed the industry as an analyst,
involves the investment community perpetually dredging up
competitive boogeymen for cable.
Earlier in this decade, the DSL offerings of the telephone
companies were thought to be breathing down the necks of the
cable operators' Internet product -- a threat that since has
been put to sleep. And lately, the perceived threat has come
from the triple-play
offerings of
Verizon (NYSE: VZ) and
AT&T (NYSE: T), or video from satellite
operators like
DirecTV (Nasdaq: DTV).
In my opinion, Comcast is driven by an unusually strong
management team. In part for that reason, my advice to Fools
with a media bent is to watch the company closely. It's
mistreatment by Mr. Market has been overdone, and stands an
excellent chance of being reversed well within your
investment time horizon.
Comcast has been accorded a pair of stars by
Motley Fool CAPSplayers.
Why not head for its
CAPS
pageand weigh in with your opinion on the company?
This article was originally published as
Is Comcast About to Turn?on
Fool.com
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