For the most part, the larger oil companies are relatively
similar. Of course, someone has to bring up the rear, but
ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) has been doing so
in relatively dramatic fashion. The company, which last
quarter
finished at the endof the earnings growth parade, just
announced several plans to improve its returns.
Compared to its big oil peers, Conoco just hasn't been
able to keep up. As all Fools know,
ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) leads the parade
size-wise, and can hold its own with any of the others from a
quality standpoint.
Chevron (NYSE: CVX) and
BP (NYSE: BP) are both solid companies, with
BP especially having improved its lot in the past couple of
years. It's difficult these days to pick up a newspaper and
not spy an article about yet another BP discovery.
Conoco's plans include the sale of about $10 billion in
assets during the next couple of years, a 12% cut in its
capital spending next year to about $11 billion (which works
out to about a 23% pullback from 2008), and bumping its
quarterly dividend up to $0.50.
For several years, Conoco has the been a major shopper
among the five super-majors, buying a fifth of Russia's
Lukoil five years ago, and then spending $35
billion for U.S. independent Burlington Resources. So while
ExxonMobil and Chevron have billions in cash -- Exxon
made news the other daywith a rare $4 billion acquisition
off the shore of Ghana -- Conoco would have to work to count
up $1 billion from its own cash drawer. Its debt, however, is
near $30 billion. All this brings up some questions:
I wonder, for instance, why the company didn't attend to
its lopsided balance sheet sooner. And I'm confused about why
a company with so little cash is
increasingits dividend. And finally, I still can't
rationalize why champion balance sheet reader Warren Buffett
chose to buy Conoco shares last year,
ultimately makinghis
Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A)(NYSE: BRK-B)
its biggest shareholder. Sure, he got some tax losses out of
it, but that's going a bit far.
I suppose my only certainties at this point are to avoid
Conoco and, as crude inches up, keep your eyes fixed on the
others. Even more specifically, I'm a fan of Exxon, the
biggest of the big and maybe the best of the best.
For related Foolishness:
A Biofuel Shell-terÂ
Peak Gasoline Is Here
A Strong Chevron Should Remain That Way
This article was originally published as
Avoid This Big Oil Cabooseon
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