ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT), the world's largest
steel company, has spent considerable time in the news this
week. From predictions about the circumstances of global
steel in 2010 to the status of two steel plants the company
had planned to build in India, Arcelor has been the David
Letterman of steelmaking.
Arcelor had planned to spend about $20 billion on a pair
of steel plants in India, but those plans may be either
reduced or scuttled since the company is having difficulty
persuading farmers in the desired areas to sell it the land
involved. The plants were to have been built in Jharkand and
Orissa, but may have to be relocated.
In an interview in London's
Financial Times,Lakshmi Mittal, the company's CEO,
observed: "If we cannot make progress in these two sites, we
will have to abandon the idea of starting the projects there
and look for other places in India for our expansion." But
despite the difficulty, he noted that the company remains
committed to a minimum of a single plant in his native
country. He also noted, however, that scuttling plans for the
two plants -- which together were expected to produce about
24 million tons of steel annually -- would retard his
company's expansion plans in his native India.
Apparently, ArcelorMittal is suffering the same fate as
India's
Tata Motors (NYSE: TTM). That company was
forced to move the factory for the manufacture of its tiny
Nano car from the West Bengal state in response to protests
from farmers who were forced to give up land for a
construction site.
And finally, Mittal expressed mixed feelings about the
world of steel in 2010. While he predicted that "we will
still be in for a bumpy ride" next year, he also noted that
he expects that, while Chinese demand should increase by more
than 15% this year, he is less sanguine about 2010, when he
expects demand to shrink to an increase of about 5% for the
year.
Analysts seem to expect relative weakness across the board
for the steel industry for this quarter. ArcelorMittal and
its competitors
U.S. Steel (NYSE: X),
Nucor (NYSE: NUE), and
Steel Dynamics (Nasdaq: STLD) are all pegged
for soft quarters, and to a lesser extent, so is
Commercial Metals (NYSE: CMC).
My recommendation for Fools would be to show caution when
picking up steely shares. For example, U.S. Steel moved from
the mid-teens in March to more than $42 currently -- an
improvement that will be difficult to duplicate even if it is
well below its 2008 highs.
On the other hand, U.S. Steel and ArcelorMittal are
popular among
Motley Fool CAPSplayers,
garnering a four- and five-star rating, respectively. Why not
you add your assessment to the mix?
This article was originally published as
ArcelorMittal May Lose Out to the Farmerson
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