As I watch the world's integrated oil companies, I become
more and more intrigued by
Motley Fool Income Investor
selection
Total (NYSE: TOT). And while the company has
struggled somewhat to maintain its production this year,
nothing its representatives said at a Mid-Year Outlook
presentation in London on Wednesday altered my mid- and
long-term opinion about its prospects.
Total is
Europe's third-largestoil and gas producer, behind
Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS-A) and
BP (NYSE: BP). It has been hindered by quota
cuts by the OPEC nations -- where it generates about a third
of its output -- as the cartel members seek to maintain
global crude prices. As a result, its production levels in
2009 are expected to be "flattish" with the prior year, but
to increase in 2010, with several new projects onstream.
Indeed, 2009 was hardly a disaster for the company, from
the perspective of project additions. It chalked up five
successful production start-ups for the year, including the
Akpo oilfield offshore Nigeria, which became productive in
March, while the Tahiti venture in the Gulf of Mexico --
which
it shares with
Chevron (NYSE: CVX) and
StatoilHydro (NYSE: STO) -- began producing
in May.
Beyond that, the Qatargas 2 liquefied natural gas (LNG)
project, with
ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) and Qatar Petroleum as
partners, began producing earlier this month. And finally,
the Tombua-Landana field off the Angola coast came on stream
last week. But lest you think Total has exhausted itself in
terms of new output, four other major projects are set to
start up over the next two or three years, in places like
Kazakhstan and offshore from West Africa.
At the same time, Total intends to spend about $18 billion
in capital expenditures this year, and to put a substantial
effort into additional LNG programs. It seems that we've
heard about the potential of gas liquefaction for years, but
the technology's just now beginning to realize its potential.
Total expects LNG to grow by 7% per year through the next
decade, and to be especially important to Asia.
In addition to its operating successes, Total sports a
balance sheet with $20 billion in cash, so its dividend
appears safe. Further, the company expects its 2010 cash flow
to benefit from the 2009 start-ups.
As I indicated above, I find Total intriguing and well
worth attention. With crude prices working their way upward,
I'd urge Fools to spend the appropriate time to get to know
this solid French company.
This article was originally published as
Just Wait: Total Will Be Terrificon
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