Market turmoil makes it easy, perhaps too easy, to justify
selling a stock these days. And while making off-the-cuff
decisions
isn't going to help your portfolio, it's still a good
idea to play devil's advocate with investments.
Consider solar module supplier
Canadian Solar (Nasdaq: CSIQ). Though there's
strong momentum behind the global push for alternative
energy, you'll find plenty of the 1,114
Motley Fool CAPSmembers who have weighed in on the
company offering reasons to be bearish.
At The Motley Fool, we like to consider both the good and
bad sides of an investment. Here, I've highlighted three of
the main bearish arguments on two-star Canadian Solar. Be
sure to read
the bullish sideas well, and then weigh in with your own
comments below or rate Canadian Solar
in
CAPS.          Â
Â
1. Supply issues looking ugly
A recent iSuppli report highlighted the
current glut in solar supply, and solar sector analyst
Gordon Johnson with Hapoalim Securities recently said solar
faces a big supply/demand imbalance through next year. He
expects next year's industry supply to be about 10.8
gigawatts, with demand coming in at just 6 gigawatts, a
disparity that could have a major effect on Canadian Solar
and others like
SunPower (Nasdaq: SPWRA). He also said that
investors' hopes that China will be a big driver of demand
are "overblown."
2. Bearish sentiment
Similar to others such as
China Sunergy (Nasdaq: CSUN),
First Solar (Nasdaq: FSLR), and
Trina Solar (NYSE: TSL), Canadian Solar
sports a lowly two-star rating in CAPS, as members anticipate
it will underperform the market. Add in a stock price that
has almost tripled this year and some
recent downgradesthroughout the sector, and Canadian
Solar
may not be a good
bet.       Â
3. Waning support
High levels of financing and government subsidies are
two very important drivers of sales of solar products; both
are increasingly difficult to come by. The recession
tightened up credit and some investors anticipate further
incentive cuts in European countries. And China's delayed
introduction of a feed-in tariff may
throw a very wet blanket on projectsfor companies like
Canadian Solar as well as peers
Yingli Green Energy (NYSE: YGE) and
Suntech Power (NYSE: STP).
To see details of what CAPS members
are saying
nowabout Canadian Solar, just click on over to
Motley Fool CAPSand have a look. Or add your own thoughts
directly to this story in the comments box below.
And don't forget to click over and get
the sunny sideof the argument on Canadian Solar.
This article was originally published as
3 Reasons to Sell Canadian Solar Todayon
Fool.com
Copyright © 2009 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights
reserved.
|