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Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Dan Caplinger :: Townhall.com Columnist
Beat the Odds With These 3 Low-Risk
by Dan Caplinger
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Actively managed mutual fundshave always had a tough time matching up with their index-fund rivals. Now, just as things were looking up for active funds, one study questions whether even those that manage to beat their benchmarks are worth the risk they take.

Risk-adjusted returns
At first glance, a recent study conducted by Morningstar appears to have some positive news for active funds. The study found that over the past three years, roughly half of all active funds succeeded in outperforming whichever Morningstar index most closely resembles their investment objective.

However, those figures only take into account absolute returns, without adjusting for the amount of risk that fund managerstook in generating those returns. Once you consider the extra risk that some managers needed in order to boost performance, the study found that as few as 37% of funds had better risk-adjusted returns than their benchmark index.

Going beyond the average
The real question for fund investors, though, is how to find those funds that willmanage to beat their benchmarkseven on a risk-adjusted basis. The study points to outperformance among funds with more assets under management, as well as higher levels of cash.

As an example, the study pointed to one strong-performing fund, Tweedy Browne Value (TWEBX). A quick look shows the fund to appear to be a typical conservative value fund, with blue-chip holdings that include Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT), and Philip Morris International (NYSE: PM). Moreover, it performed relatively badly during the bull market, finishing consistently in the bottom 20% of its category from 2003 to 2006.

Yet the Tweedy Browne fund's ability to preserve investors' capital during the 2008 bear market not only showed the flip side of its low-risk approach but also vaulted it toward the top of its category both in 2008 and over the past three years. Its low risk rating makes its strong performance all the more remarkable.

Searching for better funds
You can find a number of other mutual funds that meet similar criteria. Here are three low-risk funds that have done well:

Fund

5-Year Average Annual Return

Risk Rating

Holdings Include ...

Forester Value (FVALX)

3.9%

Low

Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), 3M

Vanguard Dividend Growth (VDIGX)

4.2%

Low Continued...

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About The Author

Dan Caplinger is a contract writer for The Motley Fool.

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