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Thursday, July 02, 2009
Cliff May :: Townhall.com Columnist
An Obama Doctrine?
by Cliff May
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Punditry is easy. Policy is hard. OK, to be fair, writing articles and speeches that are powerful and persuasive is a demanding job. But crafting sound policy adds layers of complexity.

Example: President Kennedy pledged that Americans will "pay any price, bear any burden, meet any hardship, support any friend, oppose any foe to assure the survival and the success of liberty." Very inspiring. But try translating that into policies toward Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Lebanon, Russia, China, Venezuela and Burma. That's tough.

Policies can solve one problem and exacerbate others. An argument can be made for shutting down oil refineries in the U.S. to improve the environment. But if that makes Americans more dependent on foreign oil, our national security is weakened. If it leads to higher gasoline prices, that places an economic burden on businesses, their employees and their families. Speechwriters and editorialists can ignore such tradeoffs; policy makers do so at the nation's peril.

It is a fact, not a criticism, that President Barack Obama is a neophyte foreign policy maker. During his short but spectacularly successful political career he has given speeches about foreign policy - and powerful and persuasive have those speeches been. Not surprisingly, translating fine phrases into action has proven challenging.

Example: During last year's campaign, Obama told crowds: "I recall what John F. Kennedy once said. We should never negotiate out of fear, but we should never fear to negotiate." Indeed, we should not - but that begs the question: How do we negotiate with hostile and extremist regimes and reach beneficial outcomes? What do we offer? What do we threaten?

Just a few weeks ago, Obama's advisors could argue - plausibly if wrongly -- that Iran was relatively democratic, and that President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei enjoyed widespread popular support within Iran.

However, the blatantly fraudulent election results announced by the regime, the mass demonstrations that followed, and the regime's despotic response - scores killed, mass arrests, beatings, government goons "trashing entire streets and even neighborhoods," and dragging wounded protestors from their hospital beds -- reveals a reality very different from what those advisors had perceived.

What's more, despite Obama's cautious posture, the Islamist regime has expressed increased belligerence, with Ahamdinejad demanding apologies and vowing "to make the West regret its meddlesome stance."

Can anyone still believe it's possible to sweet talk Iran out of developing nuclear weapons and supporting terrorists beyond its borders? Can anyone seriously imagine lifting a glass of pomegranate juice and offering a toast to Ahmadinejad, Khamanei and the so-called Islamic Republic?

This brings us to the hard task of formulating an effective policy toward Iran based on what we understand about those in power there and America's vital interests. At this point, I'd argue that such a policy needs to include five key initiatives:

1) Express strong moral support for Iran's dissidents. Between those in Iran getting their heads cracked and those doing the cracking, there is no equivalence. America - a nation uniquely founded on principles and values -- should never be unclear about that.

2) Provide funds and communications assistance to the rebels, much as the U.S. did in support of Polish anti-communists in the early 1980s. Michael Ledeen, Freedom Scholar at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), has been beating this drum for years.

3) Use diplomacy to persuade our European allies to recall their ambassadors from and suspend trade with Iran. Obama deputy David Axelrod said last weekend that the clerical regime's actions are isolating Iran "in every way from the community of nations." As of this moment, that's just wishful thinking.

4) Sharply increase the economic pressure on the regime by cutting off its gasoline imports. This can be accomplished through legislation now pending in Congress (and based on FDD research). In particular, the Iran Petroleum Sanctions Act would give the president the authority to impose sanctions on any entity that provides or helps Iran obtain refined petroleum, including suppliers, shippers, insurance and reinsurance companies as well as companies giving financial assistance. The bill is strongly backed by more than 60 Senators, ranging across the political spectrum -- Joe Lieberman, Jon Kyl, Evan Bayh, Russ Feingold, Chuck Schumer and Tom Coburn among them. A House version is co-sponsored by Howard Berman, chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, the ranking Republican on that panel, and has over 200 co-sponsors.

They all agree on this: American taxpayers should not be supporting the Islamist regime in Tehran - as we have been in previous administrations and still are. They also agree that no responsible nation or corporation should be fueling vehicles that transport the Islamist regime's thugs to homes and hospitals in the middle of the night.

5) Fully fund and build a comprehensive missile defense system so Iran's rulers understand that the nuclear weapons and missiles they are developing are a waste of resources: The United States will have the means to prevent them from reaching their targets.

Such an approach would force the ruling mullahs to confront tough policy choices of their own. If this failed to change the regime's behavior -- or the regime itself -- harsher measures would be considered. But at that point, no one could say that a peaceful alternative had been ignored.

Iran becoming a nuclear-armed, state sponsor of terrorism, openly vowing "Death to America!" while meddling in Lebanon, Gaza, Latin America, Europe and Asia, and threatening genocide against Israelis: Obama can not want such change to take place on his watch.

By contrast, the successful use of "leveraged engagement," coupled with the administration's muscular policies in Afghanistan and Pakistan, would constitute nothing less than an Obama Doctrine -- neither Bush redux nor a return to "realism," the hoary theory that all nations act rationally and in pursuit of similar visions of self-interest.

Instead, as former National Security Advisor Robert "Bud" McFarlane recently - and perhaps hopefully - wrote, it would be: "a doctrine of effective realism, a doctrine that advances our own interests and those of democratic aspirants throughout the world."

Is that not the kind of policy-making for which Obama would like to be known? More important: Is this not what's best for the nation?

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About The Author

Clifford D. May is the President of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.

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Great speeches?
Sorry - I find his speeches corny, filled with dressed up baloney. I say dressed up - with panties like leg of lamb.

The Queen must die laughing if she bothered to read those he so "thoughtfully " gave her.

Not one of his so-called pretty slogans can match any of Churchill's speeches.

The worst part is that every word Obama says is a lie.

My new blog: March of Mind
http://patfromtexas.blogtownhall.com/

Fantasy Control
As much as I despise the Kenyan, I think he stands head and shoulders above a rapper.

I went through the rap phase when I was 16 yes, but looking back - there is not a single group of artists more proud of being low-life losers in the entirety of history. Their music, like the Democratic ideology, is based entirely on pessimism. I broke up with a girl because I finally found out she liked rap music. It gives moral strength to losers. It encourages you to be a loser. It makes you proud to be a loser. It makes you WANT to be a loser.

There is nothing I can think of that is more hateful or pessimistic then rap music. Yes, even living under Obama's tyranny would be much better then listening to a bunch of rejects try and act like they actually have some positive value in society.

KATZ
Well to be fair if by black you mean first African-American president - we haven't had one yet. I am of course, assuming that to be African-American you must be born in America....

Fully fund an ...
an anti-missile system. Point #5 is the one we should be pursuing and ignoring #1-#4. It's the one thing we can do that doesn't require input or co-operation from anyone else.

It is, of course, the thing that Obama has announced he is going to reduce.

At the risk of comming off a little Pat Buchanon-esque, just once I would like the doctrine to be "let's just mind our own business."

Instead, Obama's doctrine of weakness will delay Israel from doing what they will eventually have to do, let Europe off the hook as they let us do the useless negotiating, and keep the folks in Russia and China laughing at our foolishness. Happy 4th.

Doctrine?
The only 'doctrine' that Obama has is to support every tyrant at all costs and sc*** American allies. This is closely akin to his domestic doctrine which is stick it to Whitey and make it hurt; destroy the United States as quickly as possible. Isn't the first black president a treasure?

Mr. May
I have never heard such nonsense. Have you ever been involved in any type of negotiations? "Sweet talking" does not play a role.

Negotiations with the Iranians are crucial for the following two reasons:

1) We need to lay out for them what we are offering to them for a cessation of their nuclear program and what the consequences will be in they don't stop.

2) If they will not cooperate, our serious diplomatic attempt will lessen resistance from China/Russia and perhaps bring serious support from Europe.

Leverage is the name of the game. We have the power to blockade Iran, or make Tehran look like downtown Mogadishu. Like all serious negotiations, it will be a battle of wills.

I guess we will see what Obama is made of.

Rapper Obummer
Obummer just wings everything. He has the advantage of a giant staff which can dissect and redirect his lies each and every night. Platitudes, deflection, disingenuousness. He should have just been a rapper.

What the ...???
What May outlines as the way to go forward is EXACTLY the policy followed by the Bush administration. We see how brilliantly that turned out. Iran closer than ever to becoming a nuclear state with its' clients in Lebannon, Iraq, and the Gaza Strip controlling large swaths of those population.

Yeah, real bright thinking May.

Doctrine?

Obama does NOT have a doctrine, but for bows, fist-bumps for dictators and a hatred of Israel.

He even gave the "evil eye" to our allies ... Sarkozy and Merkel.


Ouck Obama!

The Barack Doctrine
The same as Chavez,Castro,and all the other dictators.

Watche those haters....
"God bless President Obama and save him and his team from all the haters."

Yep. I think he will fold like a cheap tent when MichelleO, Billy Ayers, the KosSacks, and Rev. Wright turn on him...

nell
Didn't Hollywood make a movie about you? Jodie Foster played you I believe....

The BO doctrine.
1. Praise anyone who hates the United States.

2. Kiss the a** of every brutal thug socialist dictator.

3. Kill the US economy by any means necessary.

4. Kill liberty, here and abroad.

Did I leave anything out?

Haters
"God bless President Obama and save him and his team from all the haters."

And save us from stupid comments such as using the term "haters."

Our President
God bless President Obama and save him and his team from all the haters.

Akagi
That's why I used the word "regime" instead of President "Am-in-need-of-a-jihad"....if the protestors are successful there will be more than one man losing his "job".

Icedog
"However, I do know the current regime is hell-bent on building nuclear weapons and may very well use them or sell them to any enemy of the US. ....we should take our chances with whatever is lurking behind the curtain."

The president of Iran has no control over Iran's nuclear program and thus no matter who wins, if Iran develops a nuclear weapon or not is not in his hands.

Akagi
Point taken...I'm not arguing that the protestors currently being killed and beat down in Iran represent a true western democracy as we know it. However, I do know the current regime is hell-bent on building nuclear weapons and may very well use them or sell them to any enemy of the US. ....we should take our chances with whatever is lurking behind the curtain.

Icedog
"However, in the real world of life and death, there’s no room for moral ambiguity...we should not fail to act out of fear of rhetoric...especially from an unhinged dictator."

Fair. So I'll ask you. Who are these rebels. The MEK which the US has branded a terrorist organization? Or the protesters who back one hardliner candidate against the current hardliner president and who would be no more friendly to the US (or any less hostile to Israel which is May's chief concern anyway)than the current president. There is no large ground swell in Iran to overthrow the Islamic Republic and many of the protesters were themselves very conservative in their views on Islam (recall their chants were "Allahu Akbar!").

So where are these democratic rebels inside Iran? Sure plenty of Iranian exiles, but who and where are the rebels inside Iran. May is as usual clueless.

SSG R
The Nazis also labeled the french resistance rebels and criminals....one man's "freedom fighter" will always be another man's "terrorist".

However, in the real world of life and death, there’s no room for moral ambiguity...we should not fail to act out of fear of rhetoric...especially from an unhinged dictator. We need to keep the multicultural nonjudgmental philosophy for freshman political science classes.

What May misses
So May doesn't understand the concept of negotiation either, why is that not surprising.
There may be good arguments against not negotiating with Iran, but the fact that they will act out of their own interest rather than being charmed by us is not one of them.

Roger Cohen in today's NY Times makes a strong case that Obama's openness to negotiation played a large role in the protest movement coming into being. I know that people at Townhall do not agree with his politics, but his argument should stand on the evidence given rather than ideological preconditions.

He notes that the Iranians were encouraging journalists to cover the election until just before it happened. That this suggests they were surprised by the support welling up for Mousavi. And that that support began precisely when Mousavi began pushing the idea of engaging with the West, that is with taking Obama up on his offer.

Cohen is also right that Obama will have to avoid looking like he is rewarding the repression that has followed. He can't be Bush assuring the Chinese we don't mind a little slaughter.

But if one favors the Iranian people rising up against the mullahs, it appears that Obama has had more success in 6 months than the neo-cons like May had in their 8 years.

If Iran moves in a good direction it will be because it bows to pressure from average Iranians, not because we brought the mullahs to their knees.

Akagi
I don't think he knows enough about Iran to ask such a nuanced question.

SSG R
And which rebels are these he talks of? The MEK which the US itself labels a terrorist organization or those in the streets most of which have no desire to overthrow the Islamic Republic?


Icedog
"I'm trying to see which of May's five points our resident libs would disagree with, but I don't believe they find any issues here."

Not a lib, but plenty of issues here.

Policy--Part II
"Express strong moral support for Iran's dissidents."

Which would paint them as puppets of the American regime and only strenghten the current government.

"Provide funds and communications assistance to the rebels..."

Which worked well in the American attempts to get rid of Saddam. And some of these "rebels" the US regards as terrorists--the MEK. What rebels do you speak, the ones in the streets last week?

"Use diplomacy to persuade our European allies to recall their ambassadors from and suspend trade with Iran."

The response I would be "Diu Nie Lo Mo on you America." but more diplomatic.

"Sharply increase the economic pressure on the regime by cutting off its gasoline imports."

Yes, China and Russia will sure go along with that.

Policy--Part I
"President Kennedy pledged that Americans will "pay any price, bear any burden, meet any hardship, support any friend, oppose any foe to assure the survival and the success of liberty."

And that pledge died a violent death in Vietnam.

"An argument can be made for shutting down oil refineries in the U.S. to improve the environment. But if that makes Americans more dependent on foreign oil, our national security is weakened."

You confuse refining which can be done in places that have no oil (such as in Singapore) with extraction. And there are plenty of states that have no oil yet they aren't about to wiped off the planet because of it. The top exported of oil to the US is Canada...you see some evil plot by the Canucks to invade the US or cut off US oil?

"How do we negotiate with hostile and extremist regimes and reach beneficial outcomes? What do we offer? What do we threaten?"

I suppose you could have asked the same questions in regards to the USSR, the PRC and North Vietnam.

"What's more, despite Obama's cautious posture..."

A wise move since this was a fight between two hardliners not a fight between a hardliner and would be democrat.


Wisdom,
"I hate your pen and ink men, a fleet of British warships is the best negotiator in Europe."
- Admiral Horatio Nelson

Obama
"we, uh, want, uh, uh , to, uh, ... We would, uh, ... I-i-i-i-i-i think, uh, uh, that, uh, we, uh, wait, wait, no, uh, ... We think, uh, uh, that, uh, negotiations, uh, might still, uh, be, uh, uh, uh, possible."

Obama's Powers of Persuasion
1. Did Obama's supposed charisma and oratory ability persuade anyone at the G20 to join us in increasing military forces in Afghanistan? No.

2. Has his supposed eloquence and grace persuaded the North Koreans to back-off of their pursuits? No.

3. Is Iran pulling back on their nuclear pursuits -- now that the great speech-maker spoke in Cairo? No.

4. Has his supposed likeability and wonderful charm encouraged others to join us in 'Cap and Trade'. No. In fact, India just announced that they won't even discuss it -- it's completely off the table.

5. What are the supposed achievements made at the OAS meeting? Anyone heard anything? Didn't think so.

6. Has he persuaded investors to get their money back into the Stock Market? No.

7. Has the business community been persuaded by Obama to expand businesses and thus creating jobs? No.

Where exactly lies the proof of Obama's wonderful powers of persuasion through his supposedly wonderful speech-making ability?

Should the US support terrorism in Iran?
No, but we should support the urge toward freedom in Iran, and not fear how it will be depicted by the Big Brother regime there now. We are accused of terrorism there now by Achmed'sDoDad.

One cannot live according to their fears, but according to their values.

Respectfully, had to fix this...
"Punditry is easy. Policy is hard."

As applied to THE ONE, it should be, "Pedantry is easy. Policy is hard."

Icedog
I'm not a liberal but point #2 is pretty stupid:

2) Provide funds and communications assistance to the rebels, much as the U.S. did in support of Polish anti-communists in the early 1980s.

As soon as these "rebels" commit a violent act, which they inevitably would, they stop being "rebels" and become "terrorists." Then Iran would be able to accuse the US of providing support to terrorism in their country. Should the US support terrorism in Iran?

Gunny
You're probably right...in six months you won't be able to find one person who voted for Obama.

'Semper Fi' my brother and enjoy your 4th...your #1 AF fan!

Obama Doctrine
Spread the pain.

eddie too
I'm still waiting for ABC to release the video of Obummer dancing with Rashid Khalidi!

Icedog
They're out ripping off their Obummer/Gaffes Biden stickers before they start getting beat downs!

Where are the libs?
I'm trying to see which of May's five points our resident libs would disagree with, but I don't believe they find any issues here.

Most libs will quickly leave this column - can't disparage the Messiah – those who do post (if any) will simply stick to deflection and rhetoric.

Good stuff
I'm tired of Obama encouraging Muslim nations to express their beliefs and values while apologizing for our own.

Perpetual Flip-Flopping
That's one heck of a Foreign Policy but what else did you expect from an indeceisive control freak, an ego-maniac with an inferiority complex...the Grand Equivicator.

As his popularity numbers continue into the negative we're sure to see a 'new and clarifed statement' about the current affairs of Honduras which will amount to the same opinion that the rest of the Non-UN, Non-Lefist dominated world has already reached...good riddance, Zelaya...don't come back.

Then Major Garrett is going to have another opportunity to ask Obama, 'What took you so long?"

That's the Obama Doctrine....throw some chicken feathers up into the air and see which way they blow.

To stand in silence when they should be protesting makes cowards out of men - Abraham Lincoln

terry

also John McCain convinced people to vote for obama.

Still if the truth about obama had been known at the time of the election, even john mccain would have beaten him.

SL, his doctrine is appease the enemies
of the USA and insult our allies. If you aren't paying attention, he has decided to "meddle" in Honduras and side with Castro, Chavez and Ortega while stating that we can't meddle in Iran against more tyrants and despots. He consistantly sides with tyrants and against freedom. Forget what he says, he doesn't mean any of it, unless caught off-guard and off teleprompter.

What Powerful Speeches?
What powerful and persuasive speeches has Barrack Obama made?

When Obama speaks -- he says nothing. How can saying "nothing" be powerful and persuasive?

Who and what has Obama persuaded? And before you say he persuaded people to vote for him -- wrong, the Media did that. Obama hasn't persuaded anyone to do anything -- the Media just keeps telling everyone how great his speeches are!

Yes, he has a doctrine.
Many people criticized Mr. Bush for his "doctrine" of preemptive attack. I'm sure those same folks will be quite pleased with the Obama Doctrine: Preemptive Surrender.

Are You Kidding Me?
Doctrine? What Doctrine?

How in the blazes does:

"uh, er, uh, uh, er, uh, uh."

qualify as any semblance of "doctrine"?

Are you mad?
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