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Thursday, July 17, 2008
Cliff May :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Disinformation Age: OPEC Lies, the SUV Dies
by Cliff May
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The folks over at OPEC, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, must think we’re pretty stupid. The other day, Chakib Khelil, the current OPEC president, asserted that "the intrusion of bioethanol on the market" is responsible for 40% of recent increases in the price of oil.

Now how exactly would that work? How does growing sugarcane in Brazil or corn in Iowa push up the price of oil sucked from holes in the ground in Saudi Arabia, Iran and Venezuela? If we roasted the corn and put the sugar in coffee -- instead of making it into alcohol fuels -- would oil prices go up less?

And if mixing a little ethanol in with gasoline has caused much of oil’s latest price rise, does it follow that replacing oil entirely with alternative fuels would result in even higher oil prices? By that logic, if everyone switched from Coca Cola to Kool-Aid, the price of a bottle of Coke would go up rather than down. (And if you believe that, “drinking the Kool-Aid” might be an apt description for what you’ve been up to.)

They say we live in an Information Age but where energy is concerned it’s more like a Disinformation Age, thanks in no small measure to the money and clout wielded by OPEC – a cartel whose sole interest is to preserve petroleum’s near-monopoly of the transportation fuel market and keep the price of oil as high as possible.

Please note, too, Khelil’s term for competition: an “intrusion” on the market. Guess OPEC won’t be giving away any Milton Friedman Awards this year.

Perhaps Kheilil believes he can get away with blaming the global energy crisis on farmers because so much of the media embraced the earlier slander that ethanol production is causing hunger. In fact, of course, it’s the other way around: Rising oil prices have contributed to higher food prices because oil is used to cultivate crops, to fertilize crops, to transport crops and to process agricultural products.

But doesn’t devoting farmland to fuel mean there is less land available for food production? Not to any significant extent because we live in a country where there is so much arable land that for years the government has been paying farmers not to farm all of it (lest too much food be produced and prices fall so low that farmers can’t make a decent living).  Nor has agricultural science reached the limits of how much can be produced per acre.

What’s more, in other parts of the world – Latin America and Africa, for example -- there are vast expanses of land that can be sown (excluding rain forests and critical habitat) -- if farmers have the tools.

Brazil provides an example: Over the past 30 years, Brazilian farmers have greatly increased the amount of sugarcane they produce and the amount of alcohol fuel they derive from it. They now have more than enough sugar for the table, and they also are on track to displace half the country's gasoline demand with ethanol -- at $70 per barrel, according to Florida International University scholar George Philippidis. As you well know, oil today is about twice that expensive.

Brazil has gone from 80 percent foreign oil dependence to zero per cent dependence. Over the same period, the U.S. has gone from 30 percent dependence to over 60 percent. In addition, Brazil should soon derive 15% of its electricity by burning sugarcane waste.

A more plausible rap against ethanol: In the U.S., it receives government subsidies. But the research being done thanks to these subsidies is already giving rise to technologies that will allow fuel in the not-too-distant future to be made from crop residues, grasses, weeds, algae and perhaps plants bioengineered specifically for this purpose – and able to be grown on land unsuitable for food crops.

What’s more, do you really think oil is not subsidized?  Former CIA director James Woolsey estimates that U.S. oil companies receive preferential tax treatment worth more than $250 billion a year – and that doesn’t include the military costs necessary to keep oil supplies flowing around the world. We do that because oil is a strategic commodity: Western economies can not function without it. That will be true until the day oil is forced to compete with a variety of alternative fuels.

But that day will be long in coming if OPEC has anything to say about it. And OPEC has a lot to say about it, including Chakib Khelil’s claim that the mere prospect of competition is driving the cost of oil up, rather than providing us with the only weapon that can drive it down. It’s a lie – a big, bold, and obvious lie. But OPEC figures we’re stupid enough to believe it.

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About The Author

Clifford D. May is the President of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.

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Screw the Arabs
I am so sick of sending hundreds of BILLIONS of dollars annually to these medieval, backward, jihadis. The Muslims will smile at us while holding a knife behind their backs ready and willing to stab us with it. They are using the money we send them for oil to purchase real, hard US assets, including the recent purchase of the Chrysler building. It is criminal that the eco-Marxists are enabling this by their twisted opposition to an energy independent America. I can't fill my car with hot air and sunshine. Can you?

Never forget
Behind our backs,the Saudi's have always referred to us as "those blue-eyed devils".

That pretty much tells you all you need to know.

Hey Cliff May
You seemed to have left out the "Congress Lies, SUV Dies". Who gives a hoot what the Arabs are saying. The fact is, our Congress should have taken measures to prevent our dependence on Arab oil. Lets address all the current excuses we are being fed by our Congress.
1. It's the Oil Companies
2. It's OPEC
3. It's Speculators
4. Oil is making us sick (Harry Reid)
5. We can't drill our way out of this one!
6. We need to look at alternatives!
It is the Democrats and some Republicans that got us into this mess, not the Arabs. You mentioned BioFuels. What a joke that has turned out to be.
Where are the Environmentalist? The production of Ethanol has has been proven to be worse on the environment than gasoline. Of course there is not enough Ethanol either. Certainly not enough to replace gasoline. Has there been enough information gathered about other alternatives to avoid the catastrophic failures similar to the ethanol boondoggle?
Do we really want to trust Congress to take care of this problem? Not me, I'll take the Free Market over Congress any day. Socialism and Fascism don't work!
Cliff, I suggest you get behind the drill mantra and the Free Market will take care of the alternatives to oil, not Congress or OPEC. We need to be independent from both as our best interest are served my neither.



The SUV has not died
In fact, if the last "Oil Crisis" is any guideline, there are smart people snapping up Lincoln Navigators and Toyota Tundras for pennies on the dollar and storing them away for the day the bubble pops.

Locally the RV sales have actually risen, and rentals of RVs are the same as last year.

People are not ALL as stupid as that. It's just that the stupid ones seem to get all the press.

don't forget
That Dick Cheney and GW Bush are in the oil business or that because Iraq is a member of OPEC, the U.S. is now a member of OPEC.

Do you think the lies and the profit only benefit the Arabs? Think again.

Hey two_plus_two_make_four
What is that, "Liberal Talking Point #6"?
Instead of platitudes why don't say something factual.
I think the way your brain works is "two_plus_two_make_zero"
Silly little twitt.

Wisdom from Al Gore
I know you hate to hear it, but check out this quote from Al's speech today:

"We're borrowing money from China to buy oil from the Persian Gulf to burn it in ways that destroy the planet. Every bit of that's got to change."

I know y'all conservatives can get behind that.

We need a Manhattan Project for energy!

Problems with Cliff's Analysis
1)Ethanol is heavily subsidized. It must be, otherwise it is unprofitbale. After 30 years, ethanol producers still cannot turn a profit on thier own.

2)There isn't enough biosmass in the world to produce enough fuel to run the US autos for one month. Even if the world could grow just corn or sugar or palm oil derived ethanol, there just isn't enough land.

3)Biofuels cost more energy to produce and therefore can never reduce greenhouse gases.

4)One barrel of ethanol consumes 4 barrels of water. Creating so many ethanol plants in the drought prone plains and midwest isn't just unwise it is foolish.

5)There is only so much areable land in the Plains and Midwest for farming. Farmers will mainly grow what is profitable. The tax subsidized corn/ethanol industry drives farmers to the more profitable corn at the expense of oats, wheat, barely, and soy beans. Since the 2005 ethanol mandates hit the US, food prices increased on average 18%/ year. Corn farmers in Nebraska, Iowa, and Illinois are fast becoming multi-millionaires.

No one is slandering farmers. However, in relation to other industries, today's farmers are coddeled, privlege, and extremely well off.

Ethanol is a dead-end
My vote is the sun.

Enough solar energy falls on the surface of the earth every 40 minutes to meet 100 percent of the entire world's energy needs for a full year.

Chew on that!

Who cares what OPEC says?
The fault for high gas prices and dependence on foreign oil lies not with OPEC, but with our leaders and the very rich and powerful manipulating the whole thing.

I DON'T KNOW WHERE TO BEGIN
I thank the good Lord I have my 2-year old putting a smile on my face everyday. But....

Seeing layoff announcements every week has me riled up. We watch manufacturing heading to Mexico and China, then wonder why oil demand keeps going up. We buy all that Chinese crap, the Chinese have more money and want to drive. China keeps improving their military capability, keeps loaning money to the USA with money we buy their crap with and make interest on it. We are kidding ourselves if we believe we can influence the Chinese in anything, especially human rights problems.

Job losses mount and our government decides to send $80B to Africa. Don't get me wrong, those people need help with AIDS, but we also created a food shortage by promoting corn ethanol. By losing American jobs which generate tax revenues and simultaneously creating more need for federal assistence, what will we do? Borrow more from China? Why won't China just send the $80B to Africa? This is just getting to be a great big vicious cycle, one that gets closer to the drain. How about putting the world's problems on the backburner and get our own house in order first. If we continue to diminish, who will take up the slack for the world's philanthropy? Time to remind congress who pays their checks, and why the hell don't we make them wait until age 65 to draw federal retirement money?

Why wouldn't they think we're stupid
We are sitting on our oil reserves begging THEM for more oil.

America's fault led by Christian stupidy
you stupid Americans, you made your bed now sleep in it. It's your Iraq war of futility that is costing trillions and inflating your debt so you have to borrow money from China.

Isn't the first step in financial responsibility to get rid of your credit cards?

BTW, my Iranian roommates just moved in a couple weeks ago, straight from Tehran. Super nice people, but you'd better watch out, they're gonna cross the border and GETCHA. If you want to protect your country you better start bombing Canada too.

Hah, you are all so pathetic

paranoidmystic is right
and Chevron has a patent on the nickel-metal-hydride electric car battery and won't let anyone use it!!

Who are the real criminals??

http://patft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect
1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PALL&p=1&u=%2Fnetahtml%2
FPTO%2Fsrchnum.htm&r=1&f=G&l=50&s1=6969567.PN.
&OS=PN/6969567&RS=PN/6969567

Thankfully, lithium-ion batteries are not so patented, and after 10 years of work the safety issues have been overcome. Tesla is now in production of its sports car, faster than a Ferrari and half the price. In 2 years they plan to introduce a BMW-equivalent car, then a family sedan.

Haha, DIE Chevron! The electric car is here and short of an aggressive takeover there is nothing you can do!!!!!!!

http://www.teslamotors.com

Cliff's Misunderstanding
What an embarrassing bit of analysis, Cliff! I'd boot you out of the FDD if I were on the Board. Very crude to take Khelil's words and simply work from them -- without bothering to dig a little and explore the link between biofuels and oil, as offered by OPEC. It primarily has to do with the investment uncertainty that the world-wide shift towards biofuels and alternative energies represents for the oil industry world-wide, OPEC and non-OPEC alike. The economics of oil exploration and production, which require billions of start-up / sunken costs, need to be understood.

Do your homework, Cliff. Otherwise, you are simply not worth reading, just another sloppy columnist.

By the Way
In case anyone decides to report me to the CIA for harbouring terrorists, I was kidding. My roommates have no intention of going to the US, they are very considerate and law-abiding, and simply want a better life here.

Basic Logical Error
What Khelil was talking about was the pump price of gas not the price of a barrel of oil.

And, while has has, ummm, errr, exagerated the effect of ethanol, it does have a significant cost at the gas pump.


Honestly, it's bad enough when we can't get an actual true fact out of the media, but when it starts happening here too....

Food Prices
Farmers unlike anyone else cannot set a price for there goods (produce and livestock). They have to take what they get, so the price of fuel has nothing to do with there income, it's the scarcity of their products which has caused food prices to skyrocket, a scarcity brought on by the diversion of crops to biofuels.

petroleum products
What everyone seems to forget, is that oil is used for a lot more than fueling automobiles.

There was a column in the Rocky Mountain News a couple of days ago about the shortage of asphalt and the reasons for it. It boiled down to short-sighted regulations that took affect in 2007, too technical to go into here.

http://www.rockymountainnews.com/news/2008/jul/21/speakout- whats-driving-asphalt-shortage/

Anyway, one of the points he made was that only 21% of a barrel of oil goes to gasoline. The rest is for creating products from asphalt and tires, to the myriad of plastics everyone on the planet uses for almost everything.

So will wind, solar or corn replace that 79% of the barrel of oil? No.

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