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Thursday, July 17, 2008
Cliff May :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Disinformation Age: OPEC Lies, the SUV Dies
by Cliff May
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The folks over at OPEC, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, must think we’re pretty stupid. The other day, Chakib Khelil, the current OPEC president, asserted that "the intrusion of bioethanol on the market" is responsible for 40% of recent increases in the price of oil.

Now how exactly would that work? How does growing sugarcane in Brazil or corn in Iowa push up the price of oil sucked from holes in the ground in Saudi Arabia, Iran and Venezuela? If we roasted the corn and put the sugar in coffee -- instead of making it into alcohol fuels -- would oil prices go up less?

And if mixing a little ethanol in with gasoline has caused much of oil’s latest price rise, does it follow that replacing oil entirely with alternative fuels would result in even higher oil prices? By that logic, if everyone switched from Coca Cola to Kool-Aid, the price of a bottle of Coke would go up rather than down. (And if you believe that, “drinking the Kool-Aid” might be an apt description for what you’ve been up to.)

They say we live in an Information Age but where energy is concerned it’s more like a Disinformation Age, thanks in no small measure to the money and clout wielded by OPEC – a cartel whose sole interest is to preserve petroleum’s near-monopoly of the transportation fuel market and keep the price of oil as high as possible.

Please note, too, Khelil’s term for competition: an “intrusion” on the market. Guess OPEC won’t be giving away any Milton Friedman Awards this year.

Perhaps Kheilil believes he can get away with blaming the global energy crisis on farmers because so much of the media embraced the earlier slander that ethanol production is causing hunger. In fact, of course, it’s the other way around: Rising oil prices have contributed to higher food prices because oil is used to cultivate crops, to fertilize crops, to transport crops and to process agricultural products.

But doesn’t devoting farmland to fuel mean there is less land available for food production? Not to any significant extent because we live in a country where there is so much arable land that for years the government has been paying farmers not to farm all of it (lest too much food be produced and prices fall so low that farmers can’t make a decent living).  Nor has agricultural science reached the limits of how much can be produced per acre.

What’s more, in other parts of the world – Latin America and Africa, for example -- there are vast expanses of land that can be sown (excluding rain forests and critical habitat) -- if farmers have the tools.

Brazil provides an example: Over the past 30 years, Brazilian farmers have greatly increased the amount of sugarcane they produce and the amount of alcohol fuel they derive from it. They now have more than enough sugar for the table, and they also are on track to displace half the country's gasoline demand with ethanol -- at $70 per barrel, according to Florida International University scholar George Philippidis. As you well know, oil today is about twice that expensive. Continued...

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About The Author

Clifford D. May is the President of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.

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petroleum products
What everyone seems to forget, is that oil is used for a lot more than fueling automobiles.

There was a column in the Rocky Mountain News a couple of days ago about the shortage of asphalt and the reasons for it. It boiled down to short-sighted regulations that took affect in 2007, too technical to go into here.

http://www.rockymountainnews.com/news/2008/jul/21/speakout- whats-driving-asphalt-shortage/

Anyway, one of the points he made was that only 21% of a barrel of oil goes to gasoline. The rest is for creating products from asphalt and tires, to the myriad of plastics everyone on the planet uses for almost everything.

So will wind, solar or corn replace that 79% of the barrel of oil? No.


Food Prices
Farmers unlike anyone else cannot set a price for there goods (produce and livestock). They have to take what they get, so the price of fuel has nothing to do with there income, it's the scarcity of their products which has caused food prices to skyrocket, a scarcity brought on by the diversion of crops to biofuels.
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