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Thursday, October 18, 2007
Cliff May :: Townhall.com Columnist
Al-Qaeda in Iraq on the Run
by Cliff May
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Volunteers do not form sectarian militias. On the contrary, Grigbsy said, “they want to be recognized as legitimate members of the Iraqi security forces.”

American troops also facilitate economic and political development – something, they say, ordinary Iraqis sincerely desire. What about reconciliation? “I see signs of Sunni and Shia getting along,” the colonel answered. And there is, increasingly, “grass-roots governance. People aren’t waiting for the central government to act.”

Despite the fact that many more American troops are now deployed “outside the wire,” the number of soldiers killed in action is down 64 percent from May, the month before the “surge in numbers” reached full strength and the “surge of operations” began against al-Qaeda cells, Iranian-backed militias and other enemies of America and Iraq.

And now bin Laden has to choose: send his most capable lieutenants to try to reheat the insurgency in Iraq; or cede the battlefield to the Americans and the majority of Iraqis who have no interest either in blowing people up or embracing the al-Qaeda way of life.

The first course risks losing combatants who could otherwise be promoting al-Qaeda’s agenda in Hamburg or New Jersey. As for the second course, bin Laden has said that the “world war” raging in Iraq will end in “either victory and glory, or misery and humiliation.”

At this moment, al-Qaeda in Iraq seems likely to suffer the latter. Confronted by America’s adaptable, agile and courageous military forces, its only hope is divine intervention – and maybe the U.S. Congress.

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About The Author

Clifford D. May is the President of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.

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Hal is desperate, knows the jig is up
Hal Donahue writes: Thursday, October, 18, 2007 2:01 PM
Roadkill58
"What could have been accomplished Had the American people gotten behind the troops like they did in WWII this war would have been over in months."

Which war? Are we in a war? I know the military is but no one else is not even the Bush Regime

"The average American may believe the war was a mistake but they adhore seeing the troops stabbed in the back."

And the troops very much were and are being stabbed in the back by Bush and the rightwingers. MoveOn has little to do with it.

"This is one of those points in history where the President did the right thing despite what the popular attitude was."

We will see what happens wnem Bush is in the Hague for crimes against humanity after he leaves office.
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Please, we all know that the above nonsense is based on desperation: They know EXACTLY what is happening and they are terribly afraid that they will be totally discredited, they are particularly afraid that it will happen before November 2008. Hal is the exponent of the lib/lefty who knows the jig is up on Iraq.

Opine
You can make an argument that my comment is not related to this guy’s article.

But I think it is.

I just don’t accept his premise. A number of Conservatives expected instability, civil war, and/or an illiberal authoritarian democracy or dictatorship to form there when we invaded. Any “dramatic change” regarding violence levels in Iraq is due to the fact that Sunnis Groups or Shiite groups have consolidated their positions in a given area.

Violence levels in Iraq have always been determined by the Sunnis and Shiites irregardless of our military. Foreign fighters can't operate in Iraq without Sunni toleration. And we have bribed the Sunnis with weapons so they don't feel the need to tolerate the foreign fighters at the moment.

But hey, if you want to limit the mission to using special forces to focus on Al Qaeda in Iraq, foreign fighters, whatever they are, we could get on the same page.

And if you want to claim that the violence in Iraq has gone down because we've beaten Al Qaeda in Iraq, declare victory, and get out of there, that is fine with me.

It would restore some of my faith in the Republican Party.

But Bush knows full well by now that a Shiite theocracy is going to form and ally itself with Iran. And these Shiites are not interested in Jeffersonian democracy. The Sunnis know this.

There's going to be a lot of things in Iraq that will be settled by the gun -- not by the vote.

It's going to be very bloody. He does not want that to happen on his watch. And he does not want to take responsibility for the fact that he didn't know much about the area before he went in there.

So I don't see Bush claiming victory over Al Qaeda in Iraq as long as he remains in office. If he does, he will need to find another scapegoat for why there is violence there.
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