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Thursday, May 03, 2007
Cliff May :: Townhall.com Columnist
What the deep thinkers are thinking
by Cliff May
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For their May/June issue, the editors of Foreign Policy magazine asked 21 “leading thinkers” to propose ideas to “save the world” -- or, failing that, to come up with “one solution that would make the world a better place.”

Almost all the thinkers assigned to this task do their thinking at think tanks, universities and activist organizations. Is there nowhere else that sages can be found? I mean that as a question, not a criticism.

Foreign Policy’s thinkers tackle a diverse list of dilemmas – from poverty to gender inequality to climate change to terrorism. I think their solutions range from the innovative to the far-fetched. See what you think:

Amy Myers Jaffe, a fellow in energy studies at the Baker Institute in Texas, notes that oil is no longer owned primarily by private companies. Instead, government-controlled oil companies “now command close to 80 percent of the world’s remaining reserves.” As long as we are dependent on these oil baron states – e.g. Saudi Arabia, Iran, Venezuela, Russia -- they will have power over us.

Her solution: “shift the automobile fleet to plug-in, hybrid electric vehicles.” The technology already exists, she says. We just need to get the cars on the road sooner, rather than later. I’d add: Abolish taxes on liquid fuels that can serve as alternatives to gasoline.

John Arquilla, a professor at the Naval Postgraduate School, argues that “nearly six years into the first great armed conflict between nations and networks” – global terrorist organizations – “the nations are still fighting the last war.”

Past conflicts featured “mutually massed forces clashing on a darkling plain. Now, if you can’t find, you can’t fight.” His solution: fielding a “nimble, networked force of your own.”

He adds: “Ironically, the U.S. military actually started the war on terror in a networked way when just 11 Special Forces ‘A teams’ – fewer than 200 troops overall – toppled the Taliban and put al Qaeda on the run. Each team was interconnected to the other, and to attack aircraft above them. They proved unstoppable.

“But since late in 2001, senior U.S. generals have reasserted their traditional preference for big, balky units, first in Afghanistan, later in Iraq. And so today we have two quagmires, in large part because of an unwillingness to fight networks with networks.” I would argue that in Iraq, at least, Gen. David Petraeus is shifting from congregating forces in remote bases to networked warfare on the streets of Baghdad. All that he’s saying is give netwar a chance.

Bjorn Lomborg, an environmentalist and professor at the Copenhagen Business School, points out that three million people die a year from malnutrition – and hundreds of millions of children suffer reduced mental and physical abilities because of “unsexy-sounding ‘micronutrient deficiency’ – a lack of iodine, vitamin A and iron.”

Many essential nutrients can be made available “in staple food items such as genetically modified golden rice” (assuming we can get the anti-biotech neo-Luddites to butt out). In addition, iron cooking pots, which slowly emit iron, could be distributed in poor countries. Lomborg says spending 25 cents for each individual suffering from iron deficiency can yield $50 per person in productivity gains -- a healthy return on investment in more than one sense.

Among the “solutions” that strike me as preposterous: Harvard’s Howard Gardner wants the government to confiscate excessive income and excess net worth in the interest of reducing economic inequality. Politicians and professors will, of course, define how much is too much.

Lt. Gen. William Odom (Ret.), a Yale professor, argues that the U.S. should make Iran’s radical theocrats feel less “insecure” by not opposing their acquisition of nuclear weapons.

Bill McKibben of Middlebury College wants to slow global warming with “large-scale technological and social change, with the investments of financial and political capital that such shifts imply. Even if we muster the will, we won’t solve the problem.” In other words: Do as he tells you but don’t expect any good to come of it.

I’m unconvinced also by the assertion of Stanford’s Paul Saffo that Senate ratification of the U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea will, as he claims, stall global warming, feed the poor and prevent terrorism.

Stephen Lewis, a former U.N. envoy, is gung-ho for the creation of a “new international agency for women,” based at the U.N., with “at least a billion dollars annually to begin with” to push for gender equality. Want to bet that a Saudi prince won’t be elected chairman?

Still, we shouldn’t be too hard on these guys. They’re doing some heavy lifting. Thinking is no racket for sissies.

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About The Author

Clifford D. May is the President of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.

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Fighting the Last War
"Fighting the last war" was pretty problematic for the British during World War I, when they sent cavalry charges against machine gun emplacements.

Deep Thinkers
I suspect that the following thought was tossed off as a little bit of a joke, as stating the obvious in response to folly often strikes us as funny.
"Stephen Lewis, a former U.N. envoy, is gung-ho for the creation of a “new international agency for women,” based at the U.N., with “at least a billion dollars annually to begin with” to push for gender equality. Want to bet that a Saudi prince won’t be elected chairman?"
Actually, considering who the UN has recently named to the its agencies overseeing political repression, it is not unlikely that a Saudi prince would end up at the head of such an agency. This is almost a principle. The people most concerned with an agency formed to combat a perceived problem are the people who are targeted by it. So, more often than not, they find ways to get themselves represented in that agency.


Electric cars Gmo rice
The electricity still has to come form somewere.Much comes from burning petroleum now.

The problem with gmo crops isn'twether they're safe to eat, ( it's not even an issue)it's that putting large numbers( thousands of acres)of genetically modified organisms into the environment causes random mutations to move through the whole environment. A food chain means every thing eats something else,altering the process ,radically at a number of different nodes, will cause unpredictable mutations in a number of species. There has been ZERO testing ,all the testing of gmo crops has been in labs ,and specifically testing for toxins,not for genetic drift and impacts on other species. Already researchers have evidence linking the sudden 30 percent die off of Honey bees,(without which we could lose most of our food crops) to GMOs. There isn't enough funding to do thorough research at this time. And methodology for testing how genetic changes alter an ecosystem are not well developed at all.This is potentially very dangerous.It's not an intelligent way to apply technology.

On-line polling
here's my 2 bob:

What we need is a way to get people more independent- & civic-minded & then toward majority-based policy thinking.

The politicians have the final say but always the views of the people are open & clear. This is the way to give power back to the people & away from eg. the supreme court, vested interests, out-of-touch politicians & loud minorities.

We need all the parties to put all their policies - & the reasons for those policies in succinct/clear/accessible language - on the net so people's views can be polled straight away. We'd get a pretty quick idea how the folks felt on all things, especially controversial ones like abortion, - not the views of those who scream loudest.

We are moving in that direction with eg. American Idol, but so far it's all irrelevant stuff.

The same thing can be done for local/municapal & state issues too. Give people the feeling that they have a say in matters & you are more likely to have more cohesive, vibrant society.

I for one am sick of minorities holding sway over major issues like the immigration debate.

Eg:
1. Are you in favour of:

stricter immigration controls
more relaxes immigration controls
keeping immigration controls as they are.

2. Currently, $x is being spent on the Iraq war & a further $y is budgeted for the next z years. This works out to be $n/person in the US. Currently the rest of the world is paying nothing. How much are you willing to spend on this foreign war? (OK this one needs to be cleared up a little!)

etc. It's all pretty basic.

One of the most shied away from topics is the death penatly (especially in the non-US west). Politicians hide as a rule. They know that the majority are in favour & always have been.

Luddites
BTW the historical Luddites were not opposed to technology. They were skilled Artisans who ran their own machnes,and owned their own incomes. What they opposed was a cheaper technology which could be operated by unskilled workers.This was taking their liviliehoods away. They only smashed the cheaper style "wide frame" looms. (Their counterparts in France ,would throw their wooden shoes,called Sabots into the machne gears,hence the tems Sabotage and Saboteur.)
Many of the weavers, indpendent incomes were lost to the cheaper machines,which could be owned by investors far away,ended up having to move to more urban areas ,with lower grade housing,diseased crowded conditions,and work in factories 12-14 days. for low pay.The first labor laws were in response to how harsh these conditions were.

Thinkers???
These people call themselves thinkers??? That's curious since it appears most of them don't have the common sense God gave a doorknob. Most 'think tanks' today only offer knee-jerk responses to imagined crisis. Tackling the real problems in this word is verboten. If they try, they only make fools of themselves. I don't put much faith in such groups, especially the ones who think (oops there's that word again) they have the authority to dictate to me how to live my life.

Tom
unfortunately your solution would not cure the fact that the overwhelming majority don't give a damn about political solutions -or bother to educate themselves or be educated on the issues.
Even if there were a long term improvement-it wouldn't amount to a hill of beans.
There is one solution to the problem - only those with a vested interest in the welfare of the nation should be allowed the priveledge of voting.
How do you determine who those are? property owners have a long term interest in the welfare of their immediate surroundings and the Nation.
Non-property owners would pay a poll tax -proving they cared enough to educate themselves and act on their choices with even a modest fee.
OMG !!! how regressive can you be? shrieeeeeeeeeeeeek it's a common sense approach that takes us back to the middle ages!!!
Oh you mean when the country was solvent and fools didn't run the assylum?

Good Article
This article presented some information that you might not know off the top of your head.

It wasn't some anti-Liberal propaganda like so many other "articles" on this site are.

Although the author may have had a conservative slant, it didn't overwhelm the rest of the information.

Even we liberals can appreciate reporting like this.

Electric cars........
take a look around you during rush hour. If all these people were to go home and plug in their electric cars for the next day journey, where would all that extra electricity come from.

Sam
Researchers in Hawaii, where over 50% of the Honey Bees have died since 2003, have found an Asian mite that infested the colonies. These mites are virtually invisible to the human eye, but one alert beekeeper put one of his dead bees under a scope and could easily see the parasite. He immiediately notifed authorities.

This particular parasite was first noticed in 1987 (the MSM never reported that bit of trivia) in a Floria bee farm. Unfortunately the FDA did nothing to alert beekeepers of this finding; as a consequence, bees from Florida were shipped to other states, and overtime almost the entire North American bee colony population became infected. Hawaii does not allow bees to be imported either from the States or overseas. But that doesn't prevent bees from getting trapped in ship containers by accident.

Since the public through the blogsphere was updated of this finding, the MSM has dropped the issue entirely. They were hoping either to tie Global Warming or Genetically Modified Food to the sudden die off in bee colonies. Unfortunately the problem still remains, but the MSM has lost total interest.


Free Trade
Since many of the Free Trade Protocols were signed beginning in the 19803 and continuing through the 1990s (to his eternal credit, Bill Clinton was one of the few world leaders who pushed trade. Can't say I never said anything nice about a Democrat), prosperity has increased dramtically world-wide. Now, I didn't say poverty was eradicated, but the average incomes of many third world nations has more than tripled since 1984. Nations like India, China, Turkey, Chile, Brazil, and the Philipines have benefited greatly.

Yet, not one expert even mentioned Free Trade; as a matter of fact, the IPCC sees Free Trade and prosperity as a threat to the planet.

phil
"There is one solution to the problem - only those with a vested interest in the welfare of the nation should be allowed the priveledge of voting...How do you determine who those are?..property owners"

Excellent.
But I would argue that anyone who is paying taxes should have a say where that money goes. It could be argued that they have a vested interest too. You have to include people or it wont be an inclusive/united state.

I would also argue that the reason very few people care about politics is because they feel so far removed from the current system.

We clearly both agree on the fools running the asylum - on both sides of the ledger.

How about FREEDOM?
Nowhere in the article do I find the word FREEDOM mentioned. To all you hoity toity "thinkers" cited in the article: how about promoting a world in which INDIVIDUALS are free to pursue their own self interests? It is when the human spirit is unchained that the most progress and increasing standard of living occurs. Why is this concept so difficult for these elitists to grasp?

Big Ideas or Joe Fixit Ideas?
(1) "There is one solution to the problem - only those with a vested interest in the welfare of the nation should be allowed the priveledge of voting...How do you determine who those are?..property owners"

My idea is that nobody who lives on slops from the trough is permitted to vote. (Before you get your thong in a bind, all armed services people who are performing one of the two jobs actually permitted to a government are employees, not sloppers). That is, nobody who receives welfare, including "corporate welfare", including food stamps, AFDC or any money not tied directly to performing gainful labour, gets to vote.

(2) "You Birth 'em, You Support 'em" -- No more 'free' education or health care or any other program paid for by extorting funds from the unwilling. Every family is assessed annually an amount per child, added to his or her taxes, which is applied to Government Schools; should the family sign an "opt out" and provide proof that the children are either being homeschooled or attending a private school, and suitable testimonials to the education level of said kiddies, the School Tax is dropped from their annual billing.

(3) Repeal the withholding of monies and require everyone to write a single cheque to pay his or her city, state and local taxes each year on April 15th.

(4) Mandate by Executive Order that Election Day for every public office shall be April 16th.

(5) And my solution to the energy "crisis" comes from a Rally Driver who, when asked how North America could get a round of the World Rally Championship, said firmly, "Put all the environmentalists in jail." Build the jail in a part of Wisconsin that has been abandoned by small farmers (Daddy grew up there) and give them an allowance of building materials and seeds, but absolutely nothing produced by technology, and allow them to survive or die. Put cameras on them and call it "Survivor: Greenpeace." Put it on Pay Per View and use the money raised to buy and apply DDT in countries that need it.

22nd Thinker:
1. Close the southern border now(comments are needless, I hope.)
2. Prosecute Sutton for cuddling criminals, not Ramos & Compean for doing their job.
3. Tell all Americans about upcoming dissolution of USA into Mex-Can Union.
4. Make a voice of reason blaring over liberals' lies.
5. Stop that arrogant nonsense: "we are warming/cooling our planet".
6. Let's all think on our own and not repeat someone's opinions.
7. More manners (to all of us)!:)

TBD -- the world's fix
The solution to many of the world's woes -- Taxpayer Directed Budget (or TDB). http://drfredc.com/alwaysright/tdb/tdb.htm

The various societies around the world are all driven by social marketplaces of one sort or another. Regardless of country, most of these social marketplaces are significantly distorted to one degree or another by politicians. Regardless of the form of government, if allowed to exist to one degree or another, a TDB process would return a large degree of control of the various social marketplaces in a nation's society to the individual, while still allowing the politicians a place to hang out and pontificate their proud little hearts away.

In the US, a TDB process might work by dividing Federal spending into 10 or so major spending categories (or social marketplaces). The President would propose how much would be spent on each category, Congress would provide a spending range for each category that must include the President's proposal. When the Taxpayer paid their IRS taxes, they'd have the option to choose how their taxes dollars are spent, within the ranges provided in the TDB. In lue of sending money's directly to the government, a taxpayer could send their tax dollars to any number of 'accredited' organizations providing services for that social marketplace. These organizations could be local government programs, charity programs, or even church programs, so long as they each met some sort of reasonably flexible accreditation guidelines.

BTW, a TDB would also likely result is a paradigm shift (or correction if you wish) in campaign financing as special interests desiring funding for their favored interest would have to take their case to the people, not politicians.

As far as whirled peas goes, one feature of a TDB is that with individuals, not politicians, directing the vitality of their nations social marketplaces, it wouldn't take long before individuals would start to choose, in a reasonable interactive fashion with neighboring nations, to deflate military spending in favor of funding other social marketplaces.

After a couple generations, military spending might even become largely obsolete.

For more info, including an interactive TDB form visit the TDB website noted above.

Tiny Feet Holding Up Thinking Thinkers'
I wonder, what percentage of Thinkers' income comes from the U.S. Treasury? And then one might be informed as to what percentage of their income is dedicated to say, their Church, or perhaps the amounts they give freely to The United Way, The Red Cross, or even $10 to the local Boys and Girls Club?
Chances are they have big feet, not over burdened by the weight of their great thoughts.
From, Mindless Harold

buzzkat
I agree wholeheartedly!

People should think about what Sam wrote
Everyone may want to do a bit of research on genetically-modified foods. They are not the panacea that many are making them out to be; in fact, there is quite a bit of evidence to the contrary.

Not deep enough, apparently
Deep thinkers who think you stabilize civilian neighborhoods and root out terrorists from them using the same methods you used to depose the ruling Taliban need to work more on their scuba qual.

The generals aren't stupid. The problem they are asked to solve in Iraq today is different from the problem of regime-changing Afghanistan -- just as regime-changing Afghanistan was a different problem from regime-changing Iraq.

More thought needs to be applied to the idea of (militarily) countering a network with a network, period. It's one of those things that sound brilliant, but only if you look at the problem in a limited way.

Networks countering networks would be designed to intercept terrorist activity, not defeat terrorism at its source. Aside from the fact that terror networks would evolve and adapt, regularly presenting a new and different challenge to the military network(s) targeting them, this approach would be a recipe for ENDLESS conflict. It would leave the origins and bases of Islamic terrorism unaddressed.

No military thinker seriously wants to fight that way. Politicians always hope they can, but none has ever been right about that.

Unless we want to promote the evolution of a perpetual netwar future, the massive conventional force America does so well really is the better option.

The key point is that we have to have the political will to apply it where it is effective. That's our problem in Iraq right now: not that we aren't networked enough, but that we are constraining ourselves to fight ONLY the network.

Bush started out right, with regime-changing the big state sponsors. This actually had a useful effect on those old warhorses Libya and Syria, in its initial stages. But Iran and international Sunni wahhabists, in combination, have managed to prevent Iraq from settling down, united and stable; and America's politicians and people have predictably gotten confused, thinking that the only way to win Iraq is to fight the terror network, at the point where it attacks.

Fighting that way, even "network vs. network," is a prescription for unending netwar (think law enforcement vs. drug cartels). Good fodder for Mad magazine ("Spy vs. Spy," anyone?). But deep thinking like this we can do without.

Wage limits
I've been saying for years that if the government can set a minimum wage they can set a maximum wage as well...we're headed in that direction folks, and most of the democratic (actually socialist) party presidential candidates have already stated that they would take "excess" profits from the oil companies for governments use. If these people get all three branches watch for maximum wages next term.

JPK
The Mite problem in honeybees is a seperate issue ,it has been decimating wild ( actually feral) hives for several years and is indeed serious.It is easily curable in domestic hives ,and so it was thought that pollination of crops could be maintained. What's now being called Colony Collpase Disorder is a different problem and it is severe . The cause isn't known ,there is data collected in Germany showing that the bees can digest GMO pollens,but the next generations immune systems stop functioning. The research is not conclusive,but unintended consequences of GMO released in the natural world can have exponential effects.
The comination of these threats to wild and domestic bee stocks has huge implications for agriculture,as the majority of crops are pollinated by bees.

Thinking too much...........


A Cautionary Tale



It started out innocently enough. I began to think at parties now and then -- just to loosen up. Inevitably, though, one thought led to another, and soon I was more than just a social thinker.



I began to think alone -- "to relax," I told myself -- but I knew it wasn't true. Thinking became more and more important to me, and finally I was thinking all the time.



That was when things began to sour at home. One evening I turned off the TV and asked my wife about the meaning of life. She spent that night at her mother's.



I began to think on the job. I knew that thinking and employment don't mix, but I couldn't help myself. I began to avoid friends at lunchtime so I could read Thoreau, Muir, Confucius and Kafka. I would return to the office dizzied and confused, asking, "What is it exactly we are doing here?"



One day the boss called me in. He said, "Listen, I like you, and it hurts me to say this, but your thinking has become a real problem. If you don't stop thinking on the job, you'll have to find another job." This gave me a lot to think about.



I came home early after my conversation with the boss. "Honey," I confess, "I've been thinking...."



"I know you've been thinking," she said, "and I want a divorce!"



"But Honey, surely it's not that serious."



"It is serious," she said, lower lip a quiver. "You think as much as college professors and college professors don't make any money, so if you keep on thinking, we won't have any money!"



"That's a faulty syllogism," I said impatiently.



She exploded in tears of rage and frustration, but I was in no mood to deal with the emotional drama.



"I'm going to the library," I snarled as I stomped out the door. I headed for the library, in the mood for some Nietzsche. I roared into the parking lot with NPR on the radio and ran up to the big glass doors. They didn't open. The library was closed.



To this day, I believe that a Higher Power was looking out for me that night. Leaning on the unfeeling glass, whimpering for Zarathustra, a poster caught my eye, "Friend, is heavy thinking ruining your life?" it asked.



You probably recognize that line. It comes from the standard Thinkers Anonymous poster.



This is why I am what I am today: a recovering thinker. I never miss a TA meeting. At each meeting we watch a non-educational video; last week it was "Porky's." Then we share experiences about how we avoided thinking since the last meeting.



I still have my job, and things are a lot better at home. Life just seemed....easier, somehow, as soon as I stopped thinking. I think the road to recovery is nearly complete for me.



Today I took the final step............. I joined the Democratic Party.


Hilarious
Except for the fact that idiocy is an equal opportunity employer ,which has no regard for creed class or political affiliation.Esp when it comes to office holders.The name of the game in DC is ,you gotta go along to get along,and they all do. The two most common gestures are back patting and back stabbing. If you believe your reps are working for you ,you must be a lobbyist.I grew up there and saw the game from up close-dinner parties and golf courses are where the action is.

Need I go that far?

I assumed just getting Tenure would do!

Think twice, thinkers: -- enemy within
according to the recent Gallup poils, the 2 percents of Democrats consider the United States as an Enemy:

http://conservativevalley.townhall.com/g/d11bdb12-e5a2-429a-aec2-c4d353c5a3c8
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