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Wednesday, August 30, 2006
Cliff May :: Townhall.com Columnist
Iraqi lessons
by Cliff May
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We are where we are in Iraq, and it’s not a comfortable place. We are where we are in Iraq because mistakes were made both in planning and executing the war there. If we could do it all over again, what would we do differently?

We’d want to start with better intelligence – not just about whether Saddam Hussein had warehouses full of anthrax and nerve gas, but also about the state of the Iraqi nation after decades of abuse by a brutal dictator who privileged the Sunni minority, oppressed the Shia, and attempted to wipe the Kurds off the map.

It would have been helpful had the Pentagon, at the end of the Cold War, focused on the future. Instead of continuing to prepare for a war with the Soviet Union, additional special-operations forces might have been trained to battle insurgents and terrorists. Strategists could have foreseen that toppling a despotic regime would not be the hardest phase of future engagements. Preventing carnage and chaos while new institutions of government were pieced together would be where the road gets icy.

When the assault on Saddam was launched, Iraqis – representing an Iraqi government-in-exile – should have been riding the lead tanks into Baghdad. American spokesmen would have noted how pleased they were to be helping these brave patriots liberate their land.

An Iraqi leader would have taken charge immediately. He would have understood that we expected him to make democratic reforms over time. But we’d have comprehended that martial law might be necessary while he was eradicating, with our assistance, the vestiges of Saddam’s regime and preventing foreign terrorists from establishing bases in his country.

What if we couldn’t identify such an individual – the kind of leader Hamid Karzai has been in Afghanistan? Then we should have delayed the invasion until we did. Trusting that such an individual would emerge was too risky.

The Iraqi army would not have been disbanded by an America proconsul. Rather, the new Iraqi leader would have purged the (mostly Sunni) officer corps of Saddam loyalists and Baathists while the (mostly Shia) rank-and-file would have been summoned back to their posts. There they would have received their paychecks from new commanders (both Sunni and Shia).

We would have worked with the Iraqi military to stem the growth of militias and prevent an insurgency from organizing. But if such forces did develop despite our best efforts, President Bush and Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld would have been candid about what military history tells us: Insurgencies are seldom defeated quickly.

Syrian and Iranian intervention in Iraq would have brought not just denunciations but consequences unpleasant enough to make the meddling stop.

Inside Iraq, stabilization would have preceded reconstruction. Tribal leaders would have been told: Money, jobs and development will flow your way – once your corner of Iraq is stable. But if we can’t achieve that here, we’ll go elsewhere. And if terrorists set up shop in your area, everyone will suffer.

I know: It’s easy to see clearly in hindsight, simple to win battles on paper. And no one – no politician, no general, no diplomat – can be expected to make correct decisions 100 percent of the time. Fifty-one percent is generally sufficient to produce a positive trend line.

But it’s also true that the trend lines in Iraq have not been positive. Unflinching “post-action reviews” are required to bring about change and adaptation, the development of new and better strategies in pursuit of realistic goals. One can only hope that exercises such as the one I’ve dabbled in above are taking place in the National Security Council, the Pentagon, the State Department and the CIA.

Encouragingly, a new effort is being made – finally -- to secure and stabilize Baghdad. The Iraqi capital has more than a quarter of Iraq’s population and is the most ethnically and religiously diverse area of the country. If this effort succeeds – and no resource should be spared to ensure that it does – it could begin to turn the situation around. Iraq may never look like Switzerland. But is it too much to expect that it should be neither the playground of a gangster nor a base for terrorists?

Yes, Americans have soured on this war. But most Americans, I suspect, don’t want to “cut and run” – neither do they want to merely “stay the course.” What they want is what they thought they had: a military and intelligence machine capable of defeating America’s enemies, whoever they are, wherever they are. That is not a mission impossible. But it will require learning from mistakes.

Clifford D. May, a former New York Times foreign correspondent, is the president of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a policy institute focusing on terrorism.

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About The Author

Clifford D. May is the President of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.

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More lessons need to be learned
Great start on lessons.
Where is language training? Since 9/11, everybody in the US military, and the Reserves, should be required to take Arabic (or Farsi - Persian, Iran) lessons; with those showing an aptitude to get bonus cash and possible promotion. And a transfer.

Where is the big military program to learn how to do most rapid language learning? Open source English-Arabic on-line dictionaries and translation? Verbal Words to Text programs, and recordings; as well as Optical Character Scanning of Arabic documents.


Why not use Switzerland as a better model? The terrible Proportional Representation democracy, like Israel and most Euro countries has, contributes to democratic fanaticism. Geographic districts would be much better, and less radical. The 18 provinces could become Swiss Cantons.

An Oil-Fund for Iraq citizens should have been declared, and cash distributed to those registering for it -- which would become a voter reg replacement to the food ration cards.

Voters, citizens, plus their houses AND cars should have been registered in computer DBs. And the cars tracked more closely.

The imperfect Iraqi leader we had, Chalabi, needed more unified US support -- to be clearly only a transition figure.

Local elections for a mayor/ city councilors should have been done immediately -- and the non-officer Army men should have been recalled to their parent's homes to form a local Security Force, to replace the police force (usually police are more corrupt than army conscripts); and to be under the control of the city council appointed head Sheriff.

US reconstruction aid should only go thru elected local Iraqis -- with a local Data Base of all expenditures (like what PorkBusters wants for the US!).

But MOST reconstruction cash should be municipal bonds, which the US gov't underwrites, controlled by the Iraqis. So when Iraqi terrorists destroy reconstruction, they're destroying Iraqi reconstruction.

Only Iraqis can win in Iraq -- this should always have been known, supported, and promoted.

Powell is to be treasured inside the GOP
Mr.Cheney's long term and impressive foresight shouldn't be a bipartisan issue.
Mr.Rumsfeld is fought hard,not less than Dr.Rice's healthy situation.
Always menaced being impeached,to resign,the GOP should close the fists

woulda coulda shoulda
cliff may.
or cliff may not.
check with him after the war.
learn everything he woulda done.
unless of course the war is won.
and our troops are home once more.
then cliff may.
or cliff may not.
but i know what i'm guessing.
he'll say his readers miscontrued,
his true iraqi war-time mood.
no chance of his confessing.


Good one ezra.
Thanks.

Monday Morning Quarterback
Mr. May, please don't waste perfectly good bandwidth telling us, "We should've planned better". We know that! Every war ever fought could've been planned better.

Do us a favor, tell us when and where the next war will be fought. We'll drop everything and spare no effort preparing for it. By God, next time we'll get it right!

Yeah, this column's a joke
Based on some failed understandings of how the military works, too.

Train everyone in languages? Large units of SF troops used as conventional infantry? Absurd.

It looks to me like he's just jumping on the "we screwed up" bandwagon.

Scott Ritter?
His credibility was irreparably damaged when he accepted that $100+k paycheck from Sadaam's government.

I'm disappointed, tanabear. You've been making so much more sense lately.

IRAGI LESSONS
I was born a month before Pearl Harbor was hit by the Japanese and have seen many wars since.

ALL WARS have been subject to the arm chair criticism of the "woulda, shoulda, coulda" crowd.
and I join them with what I've learned about wars.

This is my recipe for war:

1. Recognize the enemy or enemies immediately and don't become involved in any war unless you intend to WIN, no holds barred. Geneva Convention rules usually handcuff the U.S. side only and are rarely, if ever, practised by the enemy. If your goal is to see the destruction of the U.S. or any other peaceful country, kill brutally and intentionally, and desire to dominate the world through horrific subjugation -- then you are the enemy. Forget the words of the diplomats and other such idiots ... judge people and countries by WHAT THEY DO, NOT BY WHAT THEY SAY.

2. No lines should be drawn as to where, how and when you go after the enemy. There should be no 38th parallel lines as in the Korean War, or DMZ lines as in the Vietnam War, or STOP lines as in the first Gulf War. "Unfinished wars" continue to burden and kill next generations.

3. DO NOT, I repeat, DO NOT announce to the enemy that you are coming after them. It's a waste of time and costs more lives.

4. When you have considerable military might, USE IT on the enemy.

5. Collateral damage is a reality in war. The enemy never cares about whose kids they're killing so don't go overboard in trying to avoid it unless you have the technology to specifically avoid killing innocents. Otherwise, ask God's forgiveness and get on with winning the war.

5. Beat the enemy to a pulp. Once that is accommplished, you can then play nice-nice and help them rebuild themselves into a society that will prefer living peacefully with its neighbors.

War is ugly hell but often necessary, and victory is the only option to stop it until the next time. We all begin to die from the minute we're born. It does matter HOW we live until we die. I, for one, prefer to live in liberty. I was born with that desire.


Yeah, that Scott Ritter
the alleged pedophile, is the one being discussed.

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/crime_file/story/54727p-51227c.html

Clifford May . . .
doesn't have a real grasp on military matters. "Planning and executing"? Oh, Cliff, now I see: We failed to plan and execute, so everything's all screwed up.

You already know the old saying, "No battle plan survives contact with the enemy." We conquered an entire country the size of California in 3 weeks. That's a failure to execute? Our plan failed? Did we or did we not win?

The victories in the battles for Afghanistan and Iraq were just that: military victories, thanks to planning and executing.

We are still in the War on Islamofascism (formerly, the War on Terror) and will be for some time. We are, though, still planning and executing better than the Islamofascists.

With a heavy heart
I must inform you, my conservative friends, that I have documentary evidence that the President knew in advance of the attack on our nation and that he lied us into war.

It is documented beyond any doubt on my latest blog entry. Please click on my name and see our nation's shame.

Iraq now and then
Without making facile historic comparisons, it really was predictable - a slam dunk - that the occupation of Iraq would pose many more daunting challenges than knocking over Saddam. Now we appear to be in a War of Attrition, using a phrase that hasn't been heard since Vietnam. We are paying for both sides in both oil revenues, the drug war in Afghanistan, and in blood and treasure.

The administration is replaying Nixon with his "secret plan to end the war". And all the tired old rhetoric about dissent, treason, patriotism, blah blah blah.

As a libertarian scorned by conservatives and neocons for years except for lip service, here's what I would like to see: Punish the Stupid Party by throwing them out in November. Then punish the Evil Party by putting them end and making them address terrorism, and Global Warming. The collapse of civilisation shouldn't be suffered without diversion and some amusement.
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