Whirlpool (NYSE: WHR) is no stranger to the
downturn.
First of all, it should come as no surprise that people
aren't lining up to buy brand new washing machines and
dryers. Secondly, even though as a corporate resident of
Benton Harbor, Mich., Whirlpool's headquarters are all the
way across the state from those of
General Motors and
Ford (NYSE: F), that hasn't sheltered the
company from the recession.
Hard times
Despite the difficulties of its struggling neighbors,
Whirlpool certainly isn't planning to stop fighting the good
fight. For the third quarter of 2009, the company's earnings
fell 47% from last year's third quarter to $87 million on
revenues of $4.5 billion, an 8.2% decline.
The U.S. market is in the tank right now, but the company
has experienced some exciting growth in Asia and Latin
America, which could continue to be sources of stronger
demand for quite some time. Whirlpool will need to compete
with
Sears Holdings (Nasdaq: SHLD) and its Kenmore
brand, along with the many industrial powerhouses that
produce nearly identical appliances, including
General Electric (NYSE: GE) and LG.
Although the competition is fierce and the headwinds are
strong, Whirlpool has weathered its share of business cycles.
It's even a survivor of the Great Depression.
Silver lining
It is exactly that experience that has instilled
confidence among Whirlpool's shareholders. Despite the
earnings slip, the numbers came in way above what analysts
had expected, and Whirlpool's stock price jumped almost 5% on
a day when the broader markets closed solidly in the red. The
company announced that it will make sweeping cost cuts to
further improve margins, and it expects a robust fourth
quarter to help full-year earnings come in ahead of previous
guidance at around $4.25 per share.
With shares at $77, though, Whirlpool now trades at about
18 times expected earnings per share, per management's
outlook. There's a place for discretionary stocks in every
portfolio, but a risk-averse investor should seriously
consider whether now's really the best time to buy them.
I like the idea of Asian and Latin American growth, but
those two markets contribute only about a quarter of
Whirlpool's total revenue. The U.S. is still its biggest
market by a wide margin. And with home retailers like
Home Depot (NYSE: HD) and
Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) still facing falling
earnings, I don't expect to see order volumes increase
significantly in the near term. Continued... |