As state governments struggle with falling tax revenue,
legalized gambling is looking better and better as a way to
raise money. For investors in
Shuffle Master (Nasdaq: SHFL), which makes
automatic card shufflers, chip counters, and other casino
doohickeys, that could mean a big jackpot in the future.
Yet with gaming behemoths like
Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) and
Wynn Resorts  (Nasdaq:
WYNN) experiencing bottom-line shrinkage in their most recent
quarters, you might not think Shuffle Master would
outperform. Nevertheless, the company surprised analysts with
its fiscal-third-quarter results.
Shuffle Master's top line fell 9% to $45.1 million on
softer product sales and a stronger dollar. But revenue from
leasing, royalties, and servicing grew 4% to $21 million.
Gross margins widened significantly, and the company's bottom
line landed at $5.6 million, 87% higher than last year's
third quarter. Earnings of $0.10 per share beat expectations
of $0.07.
Smart dynamics
So while the likes of
MGM Mirage  (NYSE: MGM)
and
Penn National  (Nasdaq:
PENN) have seen their businesses flounder lately, Shuffle
Master is holding its own.
The news is encouraging for shareholders, who've now seen
the company's share price rise more than 300% from its March
lows. CEO Timothy Parrott, who took the reins during the same
month that the company's stock price hit bottom, has
dedicated himself to finding the best balance between product
sales and leasing revenue while working to contain costs amid
the challenging economy. His efforts seem to be paying
off.
Under certain circumstances, Shuffle Master's rise in
inventories might alarm some investors. But given that its
leasing business is booming, some inventory buildup isn't
necessarily a cause for concern.
Please, no more bets
Some of the market's
biggest opportunitieshave been coming out of stocks tied
to gaming. All of the companies mentioned in this article
have appreciated more than 100% from their 52-week lows, so
those familiar with the industry have had plenty of
opportunities to capitalize on the near-implosion of the
sector earlier this year.
After the run-up, though, investors have priced-in lofty
growth expectations for Shuffle Master. Despite expected
growth rates of around 22% annually, its multiple of 29 times
forward earnings makes its shares anything but dirt
cheap. Continued... |