The drop in the stock market has understandably made many investors reluctant to put new money into their accounts -- and some are considering pulling out entirely. In fact, one investor recently confessed to me he was wondering "if I should just take the money and invest in myself, perhaps more school, a business or something I have more control over."
Believe me, I understand investor frustration and the desire to end the pain. And I am a firm believer in investing in yourself if that investment gives you more options, more earning power or more job satisfaction. But I can't condone abandoning the markets completely to finance that investment, especially now, when stocks are at a particularly low point.
I'm not saying stocks have reached the bottom, but values are such that for most investors, selling now means selling at a loss. So to my mind, this is likely not a good time to be thinking of exiting the stock market.
Still, you may believe that an investment in yourself will reap bigger returns than an investment in the market. But test that assumption with a little math.
Estimate Your Potential Returns
When we evaluate financial investment opportunities, we look at potential returns and the risks they entail. You can do the same with more personal investments.
Say you decide to sell your portfolio to pursue an advanced degree or train for a new career. It's easy enough to figure out what that investment will cost in real dollars: Just add up tuition costs and the other expenses you'll incur while you're in school. But you also need to calculate your opportunity costs. First, there are the earnings you would forgo by being in school and not working. Second, there are the potential earnings from your portfolio you would lose by not being in the market. Obviously, this is much harder to predict, but you could make a few reasonable assumptions, like what you would earn putting all your capital into a CD for the years you'd be in school.
Next, figure out what your earnings potential would be after completing your training. What does someone in your new field make? Now you can start to see if the financial trade-off is worthwhile. In effect, are you getting a reasonable rate of return on this new investment in yourself?
Obviously, we don't always make educational or career decisions based solely on the financial return they represent -- and we shouldn't. A job that's psychologically rewarding is precious, especially if your current occupation is less than fulfilling. So if you're interested in going back to school to expand your horizons, you don't necessarily need a financially positive "expected value." But it's very useful to understand the true costs of pursuing your dream.
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