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Tuesday, May 06, 2008
Carrie Schwab Pomerantz :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Time is Now: Start Preparing for Retirement
by Carrie Schwab Pomerantz
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To my mind, retirement planning is the most difficult and important financial challenge most Americans will ever face. And while I was eager to read the results of the 18th annual Retirement Confidence Survey, conducted by the nonprofit Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI), the findings were mostly discouraging:

- Confidence about having enough money for retirement eroded in every age group and income level. Younger workers and those with lower wages demonstrated the biggest declines in confidence.

- Just 18 percent of all workers were "very confident" about being able to afford a comfortable retirement, down from 27 percent in 2007. This represents the largest one-year drop in the history of the survey. Meanwhile, only 43 percent are "somewhat confident" that they'll have enough money for retirement.

- Consistently, pessimism is on the rise: 37 percent of respondents said they are either "not too confident" or "not at all confident" that they could live comfortably through retirement, marking a seven-year high.

Perhaps this shouldn't be surprising. Times are, very obviously, tough. Most stock market indices have fallen from this time a year ago. The housing market has experienced a deep decline, the price of gasoline is hovering at $4 per gallon in some parts of the country, and medical costs are soaring. In this uncertain economic climate, it's not surprising that Americans' confidence about their ability to retire comfortably has declined significantly.

What's particularly concerning about this declining confidence is that it hasn't compelled people to save and invest more. The majority of workers have done some retirement saving: 72 percent said that they and/or their spouse had saved some money for retirement, slightly up from 2007 but down from the high point of 78 percent in 2000. But the wealth amassed by the average American remains quite low: 49 percent of workers said they have less than $25,000 in total savings and investments, excluding home equity or defined benefit pension assets.

And people consistently underestimate their retirement needs: A full 25 percent believe they'll need less than $250,000 for retirement, while another 16 percent believe they'll need between $250,000 and $499,999. To round out the picture, 23 percent think they'll need $500,000 to $999,999, 18 percent believe they'll need $1 million or more and another 12 percent don't know. Obviously, the wealth you'll need for retirement depends a lot on your lifestyle, but a retirement that lasts 25 or 30 years can require a lot more than this.

Some workers can look forward to a pension and most will receive some Social Security benefits. The disconnect is that 31 percent of those surveyed expect Social Security to be a major source of income - this despite the fact that the Social Security Administration suggests that "if you have average earnings, your Social Security retirement benefits will replace only about 40 percent" of your pre-retirement earnings.

Where does this leave us? The reality is that, when it comes to financing retirement, a good chunk of the money will have to come from your own resources - defined contribution plans like 401(k) programs, IRAs and Roth IRAs and personal savings. But as the survey results demonstrate, most people haven't given the realities of a financially comfortable retirement nearly enough thought or effort.

THE "SILVER LINING"

The EBRI survey results make for pretty grim reading, but there is a bright spot in this otherwise gloomy picture. As Dallas Salisbury, president of the EBRI put it, "If there is a silver lining, it's that Americans finally may be waking up to the realities of being able to afford retirement."

Nearly half of the workers responding (47 percent) said that they and/or their spouse have tried to calculate how much money they'll need to retire comfortably, up from a low of 29 percent in 1996. And when people actually estimate their future needs, they typically take some kind of action: 44 percent who calculated a retirement goal changed their retirement planning; 59 percent started saving or investing more. Those are two positive trends, but more people need to learn about the importance of retirement investing and start putting money away.

The bottom line? The lack of confidence about retirement Americans displayed this year may be intensified by the current economic picture; however, the survey demonstrates two critical realities - most Americans aren't doing enough in the way of planning for retirement and many aren't saving enough.

So what can you do? Start by answering some questions and making some estimates. When do you plan to leave the work force? What do you think your living expenses might be? What's your life expectancy? What sources of income (like Social Security and pension) can you can count on? Then you can begin to make some educated guesses about the capital you'll need to create your own retirement paycheck, and you can get started on the challenge of saving and investing to meet your goals.

If you have a retirement plan at work, like a 401(k) plan, start participating in it, or increase the level of your participation. If your company doesn't have such a plan, look into traditional IRAs and Roth IRAs. A financially comfortable retirement may seem like an impossibly steep mountain to climb, but there really is no alternative.

Take that first step - today.

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About The Author

Carrie Schwab Pomerantz is a Motley Fool contributor.

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Forget This Stuff, Man
What's all this scary stuff about retirement? No need to worry. Hillary and Obama gonna give me everything I want and I ain't gotta pay for nuttin.

They gonna take from the MAN. Gonna get me all they took from me and I'm gonna be livin fine.

Gonna pay my house off, give me free food, free meds, cheap gas, send my kids to college, and end the war.

Man, things gonna be good come lektion day.

Retirement
I'm trying to save for retirement, but the good folks at Schwab, who manage my retirement portfolio, seem to have a different idea in mind. I recently received an offer of 4.39% on a CD, for terms up to 5 years. Since I am years away from retirement, I requested that my money be put in such a CD. That way, I would be guaranteed growth for the term of the CD. To the best of my knowledge, my request was disregarded in favor of things that keep losing money.

At the end of the year, I fully expect my portfolio, as well as my husband's, to be down, again. And, once again, I'll hear the endless tripe of volatility and my portfolio is "well-balanced."

How good are your lawyers?

Sound advice, probably
Rock wrote

"Since I am years away from retirement, I requested that my money be put in such a CD."

I don't work for Schwab, but if you are years, perhaps 15 or 20, from retirement, dumping all of your money into a CD for five years, or even one, would most likely be a mistake. Financial advisors spend a lot of time trying to convince people to stay put in times like these and take advantage of the down markert; dollar cost averaging, etc. Of course Schwab should do what you ask, but any advisor worth their salt would advise you to stay put if your time horizon is, say, 15 or 20 years. Bearing in mind of course that the only absolute is that there are no absolutes.

Interesting priorities
The economy is tanked, the country is being bankrupted, the recession is looming, and the majority of TH'ers are more upset about Rev. Wright than their economic future.

My compliments to those who are thinking beyond today and actually planning for retirement. For what it is worth, my retirement plan:

1. Buy your home. Although the mortgage industry is in an uproar, REPUTABLE lenders are out there. I have never understood the allure of variable rate mortgages. Fixed rate is the way to go.

If I had to pay rent for my home, my retirement income would have to be 100% higher. Further, no matter how bad the economy sinks, my housing costs are less than 3% of my retirement.

If you are a wage slave like me, and if you can find it, go for defined benefit pension. Yes, I could have made more but chose security instead.

If you can, fund your IRA. They weren't readily available during my work life, but they are great. Problem is, most people need their current income to live.

Planning for Retirement Isn't Easy
Retirement is one of the hardest things to figure out. Ever since IRA's were available to me for contribution (1982) and 401K's were offered by my company (1991) I've contributed the maximum to each. I also bought my home on a 15 year loan, so it is paid off. In spite of the fact that I still have some questions about my readiness to retire, I believe I've done all I can do to prepare for it. I even bought a small piece of land 12 years ago to plant fruit and to be the cornerstone of my activity plan once retirement is exercised as my option.

I disagree with the comment about the CD. CD's are Ok to have in your portfolio. However, they should not dominate your investments. One has to have enough room to achieve one's goals. That will take a mix of sure-growth items (CD's and quality bond funds) and investments in industries with a good future. I think the investing part isn't as hard to do as figuring out how much is surely enough to retire on for as long as one will be retired. The key has to be the adequacy of income from untouched principle to do 2 things: (1) live on it and (2) have enough left to invest to stay ahead of the inflation steam-roller.

As folks get deeper in their 60s and still find themselves in the workforce, stress takes a heavier toll than it ever did before. Some handle it well, but most don't. That's why folks who retire early live longer. For those who say they can't put anything aside for retirement, I say, "if you don't put your money to work for you, you will be doomed for the rest of your life to work for it."

Hi Skip
My plans pretty much parallel yours. I retired in 2000 at 66. I've been playing 20 hours/week tutoring at a local public charter school. My luck in real estate has been good, so i'm ok. Retirement to foreign soil is tempting, at least superficially, considering the total idiocy rampant in DC for the last ten years. I too have a couple 10 acre plots in the Allegheny National forest, and a 15 acre old pig farm here in Florida. Its in horse country near Ocala. I've been offered 100 times what i paid for it in 1968. It looks like its time to me to get out of the dollar, out of American business, into hard assets, foreign currency, and SE Asia companies, where the labor force is eager for the chance to work hard for decent money.
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