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Tuesday, April 11, 2006
Bruce Bartlett :: Townhall.com Columnist
How much tax is too much
by Bruce Bartlett
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Last week, the Tax Foundation released new polling data on Americans' attitudes toward taxation. As always, it is interesting reading.

The most intriguing question to me is this one: "What is the maximum percentage of a person's income that should go to taxes -- that is, all taxes, state, federal and local?"

The question is ambiguous because it is not clear whether people are being asked about the effective rate of taxation (taxes as a share of income) or the marginal rate of taxation (that which applies to the last dollar earned). But either way, taxes are much higher than people think they should be.

According to the poll, 24 percent of people think all taxes should take less than 10 percent of a person's income. Another 43 percent think they should take less than 20 percent. And an additional 22 percent of people think the tax burden should be no more than 30 percent of income.

In other words, two-thirds of Americans think that 19 percent is the most anyone should pay, and 90 percent think that a tax rate of 29 percent should be the maximum.

How does this stack up against actual tax burdens? One way to look at it is to take taxes at all levels of government as a share of the gross domestic product -- the nation's total income. In 2005, taxes came to a little over $3.5 trillion and GDP was close to $12.5 trillion, for an effective tax rate of 28.5 percent.

Another way is to look at the Tax Foundation's "Tax Freedom Day," which calculates the day each year when we stop working for government and start working for ourselves. In effect, this measures taxes as a share of aggregate income. Last year, taxes took 29.1 percent of income by this measure, down from a recent high of 33.6 percent in 2000.

In short, the tax burden is well above the level that at least two-thirds of Americans think should be the maximum and right at the level that 90 percent of them believe should be the absolute limit.

If one thinks in terms of marginal rates, then taxes for many people are much, much higher than the vast majority of Americans think is appropriate. Looking just at the federal income tax, the top rate of taxation is 35 percent, which applies to taxable income over $336,550 (single and married). Those making more than $154,800 ($188,450 for married couples) must pay 33 percent on each additional dollar. The 28 percent bracket begins at $74,200 ($123,700 for couples), and the 25 percent bracket starts at an income of just $30,650 ($61,300 for couples).

Thus we see that marginal rates even for those with relatively modest incomes are well above what most Americans think should be the maximum.

Although the median family, which had an income of $54,061 in 2004, would probably be in the 15 percent federal income tax bracket, all of its earned income would also be subject to the Social Security payroll tax, which is 15.3 percent on all wages up to $94,200. Although, only half this tax is withheld from workers' paychecks, economists believe that they in effect pay the employer's share also, in the form of lower wages.

A single person earning between $74,200 and $94,200 is going to pay the 28 percent federal income tax on that income plus another 15.3 percent for Social Security as well, making his marginal rate more than 43 percent.

But then there are state income taxes in the vast majority of states. According to the Federation of Tax Administrators, in many of them the income at which the top rate kicks in is quite low. In California, the top rate of 9.3 percent starts at an income of just $41,447. So on the next $53,723 of his income, a single person in that state will be paying more than 50 percent in taxes.

Of course, it goes without saying that taxes will affect different people differently, depending on such things as whether they have children, whether they own a house or rent, how much of their income comes from wages or "unearned" sources like interest and dividends, and the extent to which they make use of tax saving opportunities such as putting money away for retirement.
 
The bottom line is that people are paying a lot of taxes even if they have incomes putting them squarely in the middle class. Little wonder, then, that three-fifths of people think their federal income taxes are too high in the Tax Foundation poll.

Unfortunately, taxes are going up regardless of what people think because of the vast government spending in the pipeline due to the aging of society. In the end, I think people will accept higher taxes rather than cut spending enough to prevent that necessity.

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About The Author

Bruce Bartlett is a former senior fellow with the National Center for Policy Analysis of Dallas, Texas. Bartlett is a prolific author, having published over 900 articles in national publications, and prominent magazines and published four books, including Reaganomics: Supply-Side Economics in Action.

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©Creators Syndicate
math major you aren't
I am quoting your statement here -

"According to the poll, 24 percent of people think all taxes should take less than 10 percent of a person's income. Another 43 percent think they should take less than 20 percent. And an additional 22 percent of people think the tax burden should be no more than 30 percent of income.

In other words, two-thirds of Americans think that 19 percent is the most anyone should pay, and 90 percent think that a tax rate of 29 percent should be the maximum."

The "in other words" sentence is the one that just boggles my mind. Obviously you are mis-stating the results because you wish to make some sort of point, but man is it a blatant misuse of the term "in other words". You should have just said "here comes a bald faced lie" and then continue. There is not a true statement anywhere in that sentence.
For you to state your summary in that way makes a person beleive that 90% of the population accepts 29%. That is a misrepresentation of the true result of the poll. If someone were to quote you on that statement alone, while it is a direct quote, it would be malarkey in the first degree.

The real truth would be written as such:
"In other words, The average rate that 90% of americans think is fair is 19.55%."

The next time you need to have someone do the math for you, give me a call. And you call yourself a writer....

Go Bren!
I am amazed at the numerical illiteracy of the population.

When I lived in the Bay Area years ago some study published in the newspaper purported to show that 10,000 SFans died from smoking each year. Shock! Horror!

The pop. of SF is about 700,000. People live for about 70 years, so assuming a static population (in both senses of the word) about 10,000 people die each year.

So I'm supposed to believe that every one of them died from smoking? According to the article, Yes.

The point is not that my math is correct. It's not. The age profile of SF not evenly distributed; people die at all ages (which is why the 'average life expectancy' rises as you get older; the numbers are rounded for ease of explanation.

The point is that people just don't think about numbers. It's not math, it's common sense.

MellorSJ2....Right-O
The scary thing is that there will be a NYT article stating something like this:

"In a poll cited by Bruce Bartlett,noted conservative tax columnist, 90% of the population would support Hillary's 30% tax as long as it would go to ending the Iraq war or saving the whales"

I can see it now, what one person writes poorly or dishonestly, the next can take that and add to it as they wish. There is no accountability in media matters.

Bren

Too true, Bren
I have watched the number of illegal aliens or abortions in this country grow by leaps and bounds as one columnist exaggerates another's figures.

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