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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Brian D. Pacampara :: Townhall.com Columnist
Monday's Biggest Stock Stars
by Brian D. Pacampara
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Hey there, Fools. I've summoned our Motley Fool CAPScommunity once again to highlight a few of Monday's biggest winners among the stocks with top ratingsof four or five stars:

Company

Yesterday's Gain

Hercules Offshore (Nasdaq: HERO)

14.48%

Suncor Energy (NYSE: SU)

6.86%

Cemex

6.80%

Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY)

4.65%

Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX)

4.58%

There's a reason I selected those notable gainers, as opposed to other winners making noise on Monday, such as low-rated Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S): Stocks go up all the time, but unless you were able to predict the pop, what does it matter?  

Our community of more than 140,000 CAPS Fools considers its high-star stocks the most likely to outperform the market.

Written in the (five) stars?
For example, 97.2% of the 510 All-Star members who've rated Hercules Offshorehave a bullish opinion of the stock. In late May, one of those Fools, JakilaTheHun, explained why the offshore driller seemed like a particularly slick move:

The logical conclusion is that demand for their services will increase as oil prices continue their inevitable march up towards $70 /gallon. At that point, offshore oil becomes more attractive and investors become more interested in companies like [Hercules]. ... Downside risk is $0 due to their moderately heavy debt load. Upside potential might be around $45.

Consistent with that call, shares of Hercules surged yesterday after a Wall Street analyst upgraded the stock on rising demand from the Gulf of Mexico jackup rig and inland barge markets.

The bullish lesson?
The most important job you have as an investor is to quantify a stock's upsideand downside. At the very least, you should always make sure you're being compensated appropriatelyfor all the risks you're taking on. If an investment's potential payoff seems generous compared with the chance of loss -- as JakilaTheHun surmised with Hercules -- it's probably best to take Mr. Market up on his offer.

And now for the losers ...
Of course, winning isn't everything in the stock market.

Here are five of Monday's biggest decliners with one- or two-star ratings:   

Company

Yesterday's Loss

Sunrise Senior Living (NYSE: SRZ)

32.02%

Crocs Continued...

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About The Author

Brian D. Pacampara is an investment expert and analyst for the Motley Fool.

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