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Sunday, January 20, 2008
Austin Hill :: Townhall.com Columnist
What Would Reagan Do Now - - Now That It's Falling Apart?
by Austin Hill
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And for a good five years or so, President Bush held the coalition together - - barely.

But now, as we move forward through yet another presidential election cycle, the coalition is fractured. And it would seems that there isn’t one viable Republican presidential candidate who can keep all three issues groups happy.

What about Mike Huckabee? He’s got the goods for the social conservatives (at least in Iowa), but he’s questionable, at best, when it comes to fiscal policy. Equally as troubling, he has demonstrated a lack of discretion as to when and where to play his “faith card” (can I guy who wants to “take back America for Christ” really get elected???). Worse still, he’s been quite willing to play upon the ungrounded fears many evangelicals have of Mormons, exacerbating an already contentious alliance.

John McCain? It’s tough for any “Reagan conservative” to not love a leader who valiantly wore the uniform, suffered torture at the hands of communists, and then went on to become a “pro-defense” Senator. It’s also tough for a Reagan conservative to embrace a Senator who voted against tax cuts, no matter what his party affiliation is.

How about Mitt Romney? A former Governor who has “real world” private sector business experience, plus MBA and J.D. credentials from Harvard, would seem like a Republican presidential dream come true. But he may be too recent of a convert to his conservative views of marriage and abortion, to satisfy the social conservative movement. And as shameful and narrow minded as it is, many religious social conservatives (including the movement‘s “leaders” ) simply refuse to embrace a candidate whose theology isn’t “correct,” even if his policy positions are.

Maybe Fred Thompson can unite us. He would seem to have the correct policy positions on all three fronts (not withstanding Dr. James Dobson’s assertions that Thompson is “not a Christian”). Unfortunately, Thompson for whatever reason has made a point of repeatedly reminding us how much he dislikes campaigning, and even insinuated to a news reporter last fall that he doesn’t believe that he can get elected anyway. And regardless of how Thompson feels about himself, primary election voters have thus far felt very little for him. But frustration with the candidates is a small part of the problem. The real dilemma facing the Republican Party today is the fact that the “leaders” of the three big issues categories don’t get along very well. While in reality the three groups form a relationship of core necessity, they nonetheless act as though their relationship is merely one of short-term political convenience.

The “short term” may soon be over. And the future of the party, as well as the presidency, is anything but clear.

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About The Author
Austin Hill is a Talk Show Host At Boise, Idaho's 580 KIDO Radio, and a frequent Guest Host on the Fox Newstalk Radio Network. He is the Author of "White House Confidential: The Little Book Of Weird Presidential History," And Co-Author of the forthcoming title "The Virtues Of Capitalism: A Moral Case For Free Markets" (Northfield/Moody Press, 2010).
 
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Romney does NOT have the 3 legs
Someone earlier stated that Romney had all 3 of the legs of the conservative "stool" or coalition.

Actually, he is credible only on perhaps the economic leg. Social conservatives largely do NOT trust his recent "conversions" on abortion and marriage. They were timed far too conveniently to be genuine; moreover, he's been seen to have more than one "conversion" according to the political situation.

Even his record on economic issues in Massachusetts was not that stellar. Northeastern University economist Andrew Sum, who has researched Romney's record, said the state lagged the U.S. average during that period in job creation, economic growth and wage increases.

"As a strict labor market economist looking at the record, Massachusetts did very poorly during the Romney years," Sum said. "On every measure you've got, the state was a substantial under-performer."

I haven't heard his foreign policy positions. I suppose they are suitably and blandly-enough in line with Bush's so as not to raise any noise, otherwise I would have heard about them.

BG
I don't see Huckabee's stated immigration policies as any type of reversal or flip-flop even though you and Rush seem to.

Advocating eligibility for a scholarship for the CHILDREN of illegal aliens and then stating a position of closing the border and deporting illegal aliens is not in conflict.

Gov Huckabee knows that nobody can deport 12 million people at once.

There are lots of things to not like Huckabee about - immigration is not one of them.

Fiscal conservatism is not one of them either - he inherited a 220 million dollar deficit, raised taxes 500 million and left an 850 million dollar surplus. That's a 100% return over his 10 years as governor.

Romney inherited a deficit, managed balanced budgets, raised fees by about 500 million dollars, but left with a deficit - that' not very responsible governing.

Romney's job growth record isn't all that hot either - 0.5% compared to the 5.5% nationally (source - Boston Globe). Everybody says what a great business man he is - that may be true, but in his actual governing experience he wasn't able to generate jobs very well or erase an inherited deficit.
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