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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Austin Bay :: Townhall.com Columnist
Ballistic Missile Defense Dependence Day
by Austin Bay
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Call this coming July Fourth Dependence Day -- the day marking prudent and responsible America's realization that we do indeed depend on the diplomatic power and technological capability of anti-missile defensive systems.

North Korean dictator Kim Jong Il is threatening to fire a ballistic missile "test shot" at Hawaii on July Fourth. Kim's hyperbolic bombast and paranoid theatrics likely engage Pyongyang's opaque domestic intrigues. Still, the missile and the moment are dangerous -- and instructive.

The first decade of the 21st century has made it clear that we are engaged in a global battle between the constructive and the destructive -- constructive nations desiring peace and economic development confronted by destructive, extortionist rogue states and transnational terror syndicates. Ballistic missiles carrying nuclear, chemical and biological weapons are marquee weapons, militarily and politically, in the bad guys' arsenal.

Missile defense thus plays a key military, political and psychological role in this global battle. Defending American citizens is the missile defense system's first priority. However, the ability to protect allies and neutrals generates diplomatic power in the grandest sense. The system's very existence serves as a psychological counter to thug intimidation and thus creates political space for other diplomatic endeavors to counter the rogue state threat.

Extending a U.S.-sponsored missile defense beyond North America isn't a new idea. In the 1980s, when President Ronald Reagan offered to share anti-missile technology with the Russians, his leftist critics laughed, mocked and jeered. But the great intuitive politician got it right: America has no interest in an Armageddon anywhere on the planet.

Fortunately -- despite decades of active, dramatic and often hysterical opposition from the American political left -- the United States has deployed an operational missile shield. Over the years, left-liberal Democrats devoted a great deal of ink, oratory and pixels to demonizing missile-defense advocates. In 2003, current Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi said: "The United States does not need a multi-billion-dollar national missile defense against the possibility of a nuclear-armed intercontinental ballistic missile. What we need is a strong nonproliferation policy with other nations to combat the most serious threat to our national security."

This ideologically blinkered Californian failed to make the connection between the system and an effective non-proliferation policy. North Korea's first nuclear detonation in October 2006 began to change this looney tune, which is a change for the better, but if we had followed Pelosi and Pals' snarky nostrums, today Honolulu and tomorrow Los Angeles would be defenseless.

Missile defense is, in my view, one of three "centerpieces" in a new collective international defense initiative, the other two being counter-terror cooperation and anti-proliferation programs for ballistic missiles and weapons of mass destruction. Joining this "defense club" would be a mark of sanity and stability, one dividing the constructive from the destructive.

Credit the national-media-disdained Bush administration with letting the Cold War's 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty expire in 2001. It was a fossil, and though the Russians howled and still gnash their teeth, they know new technology had rendered the treaty a relic. Likewise the "Bush push" accelerated missile defense deployment, putting a basic system in place in 2004.

The defense has "layers." The Patriot PAC-3 is designed for short-range, "point-target" defense. Patriot PAC-3 is a completely different missile from the Gulf War's Patriot and is a genuine anti-missile missile. The Army's THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Air Defense) missile and the Navy's Standard-2 and Standard-3 missiles extend the "anti-missile umbrella."

Ground-Based Interceptors (GBIs) are longer-range, "mid-course" interceptors. The United States has 26 GBI silos in Alaska and four in California. I'd like to double that number and deploy two-dozen GBIs in Poland as part of a "Euro-shield," but Obama's 2010 defense budget cuts funding for these systems.

North Korea's July Fourth "test" is an overt threat to the United States and, in the context of Pyongyang's threat to end the Korean War armistice, is arguably an act of "renewed war." That means we must prepare for offensive action. But defensive capability gives us other options, and in that light is a remarkably useful tool for protecting peace.

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About The Author

Austin Bay Austin Bay is author of three novels. His third novel, The Wrong Side of Brightness, was published by Putnam/Jove in June 2003. He has also co-authored four non-fiction books, to include A Quick and Dirty Guide to War: Third Edition (with James Dunnigan, Morrow, 1996).
 
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©Creators Syndicate
Gosh,
you'd think that the world would be clamoring for our missile defense systems. Instead we have to pay nations like Poland and the Czech Republic to take them.
This leads me to believe that the threat is over hyped or the system isn't reliable enough.

Gregdn
Perhaps you've forgotten the human conditions such as obstinance, stupidity, and denial.

Obama's dismantling of our National Defense, one piece at a time, reminds me of the actions of Slick Willy's eventual reduction of our capabilities by 90% across the board.

I find it insulting ans astounding that there are still Liberals who believe that 911 was Bush's fault (It happened on HIS WATCH...wah), and then readily accept every effort to return us to a pre-911 environment.

Anti-Missle Defense is the best of both worlds because it protects us and our allies and requires other countries to play catch up if they plan on doing anything offensive themselves, because without a shield of their own they won't be around long to enjoy their new conquest.

Naturally, this simple logic defies the Liberal mind.

The idea that government 'Of the People, By the People, For the People' should provide for the commom defense flies in the face of what the Liberals think it should be....the Nanny State.

Let's get back to the basics.






Thomas
"Obama's dismantling of our National Defense."

Strange, I thought he actually increased the defense budget?

Gregdn
" Instead we have to pay nations like Poland and the Czech Republic to take them."

Why are we still paying for Europe's defense 20 years after the fall of the Berlin Wall?

We can't improve if we don't build
The system has about a 50% success rate in tests. So, if Iran or somebody fired four missiles at four cities in Europe, then there is a good chance two cities and the millions of people there would not die. What dollar amount of worth should we put on those results?

Still, I think America's defense budgets have provided the funding for Europe's 3 month a year paid vacation, 60 days of sick leave, government pension and free healthcare mentality for long enough. Build your own aircraft carriers and stealth bombers for a change.

Citizen C
"then there is a good chance two cities and the millions of people there would not die."

I wonder why the Europeans can't be bothered to build it on their own? We pay for their defense and they get to plow their money into making their corporations more competitive and give their citizens six weeks vacation.

Zap
In case you've never heard the term before, it's called INFLATION.

When the Fed quitely ordered the infusion of 1 Trillion new dollars this past March, freshly printed, to cut into the deflation of the currency as a result of the Sub-Prime Mortgage Crisis, the ensuing effect was to artificially raise the value of the recently deflated value of housing.

This effects the economy as a whole.

Translation: It takes more money to pay for the same (or fewer) things.

I used to pay 10 cents for a comic book in 1967...today it would be more.

Not so strange now, eh?

Thomas
errr.still strange,

Let's take a look at the USA defending Europe. Below, are a few facts and a question.

-------POPULATION-------GDP------
---EU----500 million---$14 trillion
Russia-150 million-----$2 trillion

Why is the USA spending ten's of billions of dollars every year for the defense of Europe? And defend against who?


And now the America-Last Republican party wants us to blow $10-15 billion on missile defense for the Czech Republic and Poland.

Zap
The 3-4 Trillion the Soviet Union invested into Missles and Nukes since WWII created a nice little arsenal, despite their recent cutbacks, and today that country is now called 'Russia'.

Russia is and has always been a threat to both Poland and the Czech Republic and are member nations of NATO, so unless we or they drop out, we'll be helping each other, likewise the others members of the alliance.

Then there's the part described in the article by Austin that explains the three teirs of missle defense that is most effective for protecting American cities, so any 'investment' (to use an Obama favorite) in their defense is an 'investment' in our own.

As to the 10-15 billion, why don't you just write to Obama and explain to him that if he doesn't provide Health Care for the 13 million illegal aliens covered under his wonder plan he can save a whole-lotta-taxpayer money.

That way we can 'create or save' millions of human lives just like he did with jobs due to the Pork-u-lus Package.

Now, do you have any more inane questions that you already know the answer to?






Thomas
"That way we can 'create or save' millions of human lives."

Drama Queens, like yourself, do not realize your views are hollowing out the US economy.

Heres what we do know.

Liberals have been wrong on National defense since anyone has been keeping track.

We know Wilson campaigned he would keep the U.S. out of WWI. He was wrong.

We know FDR campagined he would keep the U.S. out of WWII. He was wrong.

We know Harry Truman thought the French returing to Indo China was a good thing.
He was wrong.

We know LBJ said the Commmunist would take over S.E. Asia. He was wrong.

We know Jimmy Carter said the fall of the Shaw of Iran would bring peace and democracy to Iran.
He was wrong.

In the 1980's Liberals said shooting down a missile once launched would never work. They were wrong.

We know Bill Clinton gave two Nuclear Reactors to N.Korea with an agreement they would be used for peaceful purposes. He was wrong.

Now Barack Obama says we can scale down a missle defense shield.

Come on now... Basic I.Q. Test. True or False?

Missle Defense Puzzle
The missle defense system we've got would seem to only be of use against an enemy that doesn't care that we know they launched missles.

What would make Iran or North Korea think that if they launched a missle with a nuclear warhead against us or an ally that we wouldn't retalliate by vaporizing them? This isn't a Republican or Democratic issue, this has been a debate since the system was first being developed during the Reagan administration. The talk that Iran would launch a missle against the Czech Republic or Poland (or Israel), or that North Korea might launch a nuke against Hawaii, is silly. We'd know who launched it and we'd wipe them off the face of the earth. The problem is either 1) an enemy who doesn't care that we know it was them (such as China or the old USSR) because they've got plenty more and it's all-out war, or 2) a bomb getting in via non-traceable means--ship, truck, secret assembly in the US, etc. It won't come via some big, noisy missle, meaning these systems are pretty pointless and it's no wonder these countries don't want them.

Useless Idiot
I suppose you support the 100 year social engineering project in the middle east?

Wasn't it Republicans who got us involved there? Wasn't George Bush(R) the president?

Wasn't Denny Hastert(R) the Speaker of the House?

Wasn't Bill Frist(R) the Senate MAJORITY leader?

Quick, who said "when the Iraqis stand up, we can stand down?"


Citizen C
If the system is 50% accurate in tests it's probably less effective in actual combat. Even if it did perform to the test level, what government is going to accept a 50/50 chance of it's major cities being obliterated? That gives Iran an effective deterrent, which is the only practical use of nuclear weapons. Europe has little need of stealth bombers or aircraft carriers. Who are they going to fight with them? The only possible conventional threat to Europe is Russia. It's defense budget is dwarfed by the combined totals of the major European nations.
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/spending.htm

Now the Japanese, who face real threats, are building their own aircraft carriers.

UsefulIdiots: Actually FDR wanted war with Germany, but he couldn't campaign on that. He did go as close to it as neutral can. The fact that you can shoot down a missile under test conditions is interesting. However, the system can only work if it is almost 100% effective against an actual multi-missile attack. That is almost impossible to prove under test conditions. Therefore, the system does not overcome the deterrent effect of another nation's missiles. If say North Korea announces that it is going to "liberate" the south and will launch a half-dozen nuclear missiles at the US if we interfere. Faced with a 50% chance that even one would get through, would have a serious deterrent effect. The president could take the gamble, but if he's wrong we would suffer hundreds of thousands even millions of casualties.

Zap
zapdoodat
Location: MA
Reply # 10
Date: Jun 24, 2009 - 12:30 PM EST Thomas
"That way we can 'create or save' millions of human lives."

Drama Queens, like yourself, do not realize your views are hollowing out the US economy.
---------------

My awareness of reality is total...I was mocking your wallet-sucking, lying, fearfull leader.

The drama is all yours.

BTW- It was Saddam, Al-Qaeda & the Taliban who got the United States involved in the Middle East...not the other way around.

The Status of Forces Agreement have the Iraqis in total control of their country by 2012.

This takeover of another country (Iraq) and subsequent return of power is unprecedented in human history, yet your Liberal attitude of 'Not good enough' is no different than the 18 Benchmarks for Success set by the Democrats 5 years ago....don't hear a lot about them now that they've been met, do you?

Face it, YOU'RE the Drama-Queen naysayer, the POTUS you support is a fool and a coward, and his Foreign Policy has been a disaster.

Thomas
"This takeover of another country (Iraq) and subsequent return of power is unprecedented in human history."

Still a social engineer to the end, eh? I'm sure you're willing to do it again, and again, only so long as you get a tax cut to pay for it all and dump the entire bill onto the nation's credit card. You stand for so much.

Deterrent?
"Even if it did perform to the test level, what government is going to accept a 50/50 chance of it's major cities being obliterated?"

Considering the alternative would be NO interceptors trying to defend those cities, I'd bet they take their chances with 50/50. Which city would you rather live in? Your argument hinges on Iran or Syria or North Korea relying on their nukes solely as a deterrent, not as an offensive, first strike weapon launched by a religious fanatic.

Neither Reagan or any other American President was a religious fanatic or merciless warmonger, but that did not stop the anti-nuke crowd from hysterical predictions, accusations, and fear-mongering.

Why is it America with nukes was treated as the biggest threat to world peace (more of a threat than even the Soviets), but suddenly places like Iran are seen as only wanting nukes for sensible deterrents? Why was Reagan painted as just a hair away from pushing the button, but Iran gets treated like it is governed by King Solomon?

Bruce
You said.."What would make Iran or North Korea think that if they launched a missile with a nuclear warhead against us or an ally that we wouldn't retaliate by vaporizing them?"

Answer, Obama.

zapdoodat

Oh I don't know about the Republicans.

I do know Liberals have been wrong on National Security for over 100 years.

Useless Idiot
"I do know Liberals have been wrong on National Security"

You mean, like, when FDR sent lend-lease to Great Britain and the USSR?

Zapdodat
Because FDR eventually realized that without Great Britain there will be no place on European continent to start the future invasion.
The partial credit should go to FDR but mostly to Winston Churchill who stood alone against Nazi Germany and Nazi friendly Soviet Union. FDR had no choice and to his credit he realized that.

Now enters Barak Obama.

N. Korea and China
By the way, all commentators repeat the thesis: get China on our side to stop this nuts Kim. Even they do not understand that N. Korea is doing China's dirty work.

Russua joined the game on China's side considering that anything that's bad for America is good for Russia.

So now, with this incompetent anti-American President of ours, China and Russia are laughing their lungs out watching impotent U.S. being afraid of boarding N. Korean ship.

I can almost physically see how they bet a gold Panda against a gold Ruble while sipping coffee and brandy and laughing, laughing histerically while our brilliant, one-and-only, bigger than God so-called President makes speeches to apologize for the past sins...

As a famous Soviet dissident poet once said: they do not listen to the radio propaganda; they are busy eating shis-kebab.

winston829
"Because FDR eventually realized that without Great Britain there will be no place on European continent to start the future invasion."

Wrong....North Africa, Sicily, the toe of Italy, southern France, the Dalmatian coast, Greece, on ward and northward!

Normandy and southward was another option.

winston829
"FDR had no choice and to his credit he realized that."

FDR was prescient, the Republicans were ostriches with their heads in the ground.

winston829
"So now, with this incompetent anti-American President of ours,"

Bush was the incompetent. Remember, half a year ago when Russia invaded the Republic of Georgia? The Republicans blustered, blathered and bloviated about how Russia would surely pay for their crime against the Georgian people.

George Bush even sent a frigate to a Georgian port. The Russian soldiers gave it a one-finger salute. Evidently, a single ship did not intimidate those Ruskies.

After it all, Bush gave the Republic of Georgia one billion of the American taxpayer's dollars.

Blather, bloviate and then give away some money to make yourself feel better. A job well done!

winston829
"So now, with this incompetent anti-American President of ours,"

Bush and the Republican philosophy are the buffoons. China wants us to spend a lot of money defending Europe, Japan and South Korea.

The more money we spend on their defense, when they can now easily pay for it themselves, the more our economy will be hollowed out?

Just look at the Bush record. DJIA lost 20% over eight years, and we went from surpluses to deficits over the Bush 'Reign of Error.'

Zapdo

Yes like when FDR did the secret under the table lend lease deal. There was no public discussion. The American people were not informed or were mislead.

What the Historical Record shows is that while FDR was sending rifles and weapons overseas, our own troops were not getting the equipment and training they needed. There is a late 30 video showing our troops training with Toy Wooden Rifles because their was no money for real rifles.

The Japanese Military honestly believed that if they destroyed the Pacific Fleet, that the U.S. would sue to for peace rather than go to war.

Thanks to FDR, the Axle Powers believed the U.S. was weak and thus the result was a World War.

Even FDR had to call Eseinhower, Mac Arther, and George Marshall, (3 conservatives), to fight the war because he was clueless.

If Liberal FDR would have been better prepared and more forceful, World War 2 could have been prevented.

But you know Liberals, They are always willing to weaken national defence in favor of Social Programs.

that the state of our Military was so weak

Useless Idiot
"If Liberal FDR would have been better prepared and more forceful, World War 2 could have been prevented."

You mean by a preemptive strike on Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan?

Zapur crackman dat
You truly are one of the useful idiots!!!!!!
While you are bending over getting ready for an Obama rear-assault, the Conservatives will begin to rebuild what is left of this once great country. Your useless ilk should sit down and shut the fluck up. what a tool. a dull tool at that!!!!!

ZUCK FAPDOODAT
OUCK FBAMA
OUCK FBAMA
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