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Wednesday, February 04, 2009
Austin Bay :: Townhall.com Columnist
Obama and Iraq's Emerging Victory
by Austin Bay
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The BBC Website headline, appearing on Jan. 31 as Iraq's provincial elections concluded, read: "Peace and Quiet Mark Iraq Polls."

How praiseworthy, BBC, I muttered -- a restrained headline touting the relative absence of violence.

And a decent job of planning and execution, Iraqi Army, I thought as I scanned the BBC's report. The scan elicited a string of memories. Civilians anywhere are always easy targets -- that's why al-Qaida, Saddam's Baathist holdouts, and the gangs we call the Mahdi Army and "special groups" still target Iraqi civilians. It's why Pakistani terrorists struck Mumbai -- the Indian Army is a hard target, a Mumbai street vendor isn't.

But voters traipsing to the polls offer terrorists particularly easy targets ripe for mass murder, which in turn generates the sensational headlines terrorists seek. Protecting civilians on sidewalks entering and exiting easily accessible locations (i.e., polling places) was one of the biggest problems confronting U.S., coalition and Iraqi forces during 2004 as they prepared for Iraq's historic January 2005 elections.

I know from personal experience -- the plans team I served with in Iraq struggled with this complex problem. The courage of the Iraqi people won that election, as ink-stained fingers became the symbol of democratic will in the face of personal danger.

Electoral peace and quiet in January 2009 told me Iraqi police and military forces conducted an intricate nationwide security operation -- another sign of organizational maturity, improving intelligence and increasing professional confidence.

The election, however, is much more than a significant headline and a solid security operation. The election demonstrates rather dramatically that Iraq's process of political maturation continues. Remember, the first post-Saddam vote took place only four years ago, and Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's government formed in May 2006. In this election, voters punished several sectarian parties, tossing the rascals out because they hadn't performed. In several provinces, Iraqi secular political parties did much better, which is a sharp blow to extremist Shias and their Iranian financiers.

The election is also an implicit rebuke -- delivered by the Iraqi people -- of posturing defeatists like Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who declared Iraq a lost war and a hopeless cause. Perhaps the commentators who claim Arabs can't handle democracy will reconsider their position.

In the next week or so, I hope to read this headline: "Sen. Reid, we didn't lose. And there is hope in Iraq, President Obama, because there has been significant change. Now don't blow it just because you ran on a platform of retreat."

Not a headline? It ought to be.

Obama is a very lucky new president -- he has an emerging victory at hand. Securing it and reinforcing it will enhance his chances of achieving "Lincoln-esque" stature. The Iraqi people have earned their democracy. Historical accusations of "abandonment" and "self-defeat" don't burnish a presidential legacy.

Operation Charge of the Kings, launched in March 2008, showed that the Iraqi Army was able to plan and conduct large-scale combat and counter-insurgency operations. The U.S. and coalition forces, however, provided air, intelligence and logistical support.

In many respects, Charge of the Knights provided an example of what "strategic overwatch" looks like, the where U.S. air, intelligence and logistics assets aid Iraqi planned, led and manned security operations. "Strategic overwatch" is a delicate, multi-year process, "a wind-down" (force withdrawal) phase that could include a sudden "build-up" (reinforcement). "Strategic overwatch" is complicated -- it requires diplomacy, economic and political engagement, and steadying leadership.

Terror campaigns and insurgencies end with diminishing codas of violence. Peace and quiet -- prevalent during this past election -- instantly disappear when a terrorist tosses a grenade. The Iraqi government has improved markedly in its ability to handle internal violence, but troublemaking by neighbors like Syria and Iran remain a huge threat.

In Fargo, N.D., early last July, Obama began a "war flip-flop" by suggesting he might "refine" his Iraq policy. He needs to start refining right now -- and assure the Iraqis they will not be abandoned. The sharpest refinement would be to accept the challenges of "strategic overwatch" and help ensure a region-changing and potentially century-shaping victory.

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About The Author

Austin Bay Austin Bay is author of three novels. His third novel, The Wrong Side of Brightness, was published by Putnam/Jove in June 2003. He has also co-authored four non-fiction books, to include A Quick and Dirty Guide to War: Third Edition (with James Dunnigan, Morrow, 1996).
 
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©Creators Syndicate
Obama-al-Qaeda
Obama's interview on Arabian TV credited for Al-Qaeda's Decimation in Pakistan. read it at, http://stopthepresses2.blogspot.com/search/label/Mainstrea m%20Media

Encourage him to take the credit
To a bona fide credit-grabber and narcisisst like King O, this is all the encouragement he will need: the lure of grabbing credit for something he not only did not do, but actively opposed. And to have more ignoranti praise him for being *Lincolnesque.*

Boy is he lucky nobody reads anymore.

Claim Victory Before Obama Does
The republicans need to claim victory in Iraq, now, load and clear. If not Obama will claim victory later on and that he corrected Bush's mistakes.

Don't hold your breath
when Patraeus spoke w/ the halfrican and suggested backing off his pullout time table to avoid any show of weakness to the Iraqi world, the halfrican chewed him out and showed him the door. So much for taking credit and showing leadership.

unlikely
The election seems to be a success, although with budding democracies the real issue is whether the results are actually accepted. There have been some questions about that coming out of Anbar. Although so far it still seems like a successful election.

But Maliki was able to win by working a deal with Bush guaranteeing that we would not stay in Iraq too long. And the Maliki advisors have made clear that they see the Bush agreement as the longest US troops should be in Iraq, not the earliest they would like us to leave.

It would be a pretty serious mistake on Obama's part to undercut the secular forces by trying to stay longer than he had been indicating.

Right now Obama's position is withdrawal over 16 months. The Iraqis will allow withdrawal over 35 months, but would like less time than that. Hopefully the end result will be closer to the 16 than the 35. If we are still there in 35 months than we will have an Obama failure on top of the Bush failure.

OBAMA'S MOSLEM CULT
Obama wants to plant his cult of personality in the midst of the Moslem world hoping to mesmerize its masses into loving him like his awestruck followers here at home. But Moslems already have such a cult revering the personality, teachings and example of the warrior-prophet Mohammed, the ideal man and ruler of men, second to none in their esteem for wisdom, justice and courage on the battlefield. The enemy is acting on the prophet’s vision of an empire spread by force and fear. How then can Obama compete with Mohammed for the hearts and minds of Moslems, as they are indoctrinated from cradle to grave with his teachings and conquering faith? It’s a naïve and thoughtless enterprise based on emotion and doomed to fail.

Click ApolloSpeaks to read the rest of the piece: Perils of a War Weary Nation in the Tragic Age of Barack Obama

Yes
I know the economy is in the spotlight, but we took time out from it for all the inauguration hoopla, and I know there are a lot of stakeholders, notably the American public, in exposure of Obama's administration foibles, but the Iraq story needs to be played up; it needed to be played up back when Bush touted it as part of the Mideast freedom push. It is still a valid doctrine.

will he deny the troops
Though Reid, Pelosi, and the rest have been proven to be political hack, wind bags will they deny the troops the credit they deserve. Will they stop being partisan politicians and embrace our troops as the liberators of a nation.

One might argue the reasons Bush used to go into Iraq. Is there anyone who would argue that the troops did not liberate Iraq?
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