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Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Austin Bay :: Townhall.com Columnist
Al-Qaida's Emerging Defeat
by Austin Bay
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The postwar relationship between Iraq and the United States is now a broader public topic. This week, the White House and the Iraqi government announced that state-to-state discussions are taking place with the goal of reaching detailed agreements that will govern Iraq and America's long-term political, economic and military ties. Iraqis have asked for "an enduring relationship with America."

I use the term "broader public topic" because this matter has been a subject of constant discussion since April 2003, with little of that discussion hush-hush.

When I reported in May 2004 for duty in Iraq, the first document dropped on my desk was a draft of U.N. Security Council Resolution 1546. After reading it with great interest, I discussed it with one of the very smart young majors in the Multi-National Corps-Iraq plans section. The very smart young major was already in the polymathic process of analyzing requirements and aligning "capabilities with tasks" (who will do what) in order to support the resolutions stipulation that Iraq hold "direct democratic elections ... in no case later than 31 January 2005."

Resolution 1546 was officially passed on June 8, 2004. If you're a wire-service editor, eight months is an eon -- but if you're trying to politically reinvent Mesopotamia, it's a millisecond. The January 2005 Iraqi election succeeded, giving terrorists and tyrants a disturbing "purple finger" -- the very public ink stains marking the fingers of Iraqi voters.

That election was an incremental success, but one of many. This week's publicized call for a more "normalized" U.S.-Iraq relationship is another indication that the incremental successes are accumulating. Every increment can become a decrement, but war is a dynamic process -- and from a historical perspective the dynamic direction in Iraq has favored the United States -- in other words, the big trend suggests an emerging success.

I know, that runs counter to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid's April 2007 declaration that the United States "lost" in Iraq, but it was Reid's choice to make himself a sad historical footnote.

This emerging success required lots of money and unfortunately involved lots of blood. I had another document on my Baghdad desk, Musab al-Zarqawi's February 2004 letter to al-Qaida's leaders, in which he lamented al-Qaida's looming defeat.

He also described his counter-strategy: a Shia-Sunni sectarian war. That's war's hideous dynamic, effort met by effort -- with death, pain and suffering in each terrible collision. Zarqawi's murderers did their best to incite a sectarian debacle. Oh, they got headlines, they enlisted a motley array of criminal allies, they set Iraq's democratic timetable back 12 to 24 months -- but they failed. Continued...

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About The Author

Austin Bay Austin Bay is author of three novels. His third novel, The Wrong Side of Brightness, was published by Putnam/Jove in June 2003. He has also co-authored four non-fiction books, to include A Quick and Dirty Guide to War: Third Edition (with James Dunnigan, Morrow, 1996).
 
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You and what army?
OUT OF IRAQ AND INTO IRAN! Free Patraeus from Iraq and send him to Tehran.

The only way we're going to get to Tehran is the same way we got to Tokyo and Richmond. It would require a much bigger army than we have now. That would require a draft and higher taxes. Since it would likely disrupt the world's oil supply, it might also require gasoline rationing. I don't mean the odd-even day business we had in the 70's, but REAL rationing with coupons. Then there is what Lord Nelson called the "butcher's bill." It can be done, but let's understand the cost.

Google Ron Paul, You will like him!
If you want a change in a failed foreign policy that we can no longer afford, check out Dr. ROn Paul for President. You will be pleasantly surprised, as many Americans who now passionately support him and his cause.. Freedom and liberty for all! And, he is a doctor, not a lawyer. See how he voted and you cannot help but like this guy. He gerts more donations from our Military than any other candidate, so what does that tell you??? God Bless America and Ron Paul.
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