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Thursday, September 25, 2008
Andrew Leckey :: Townhall.com Columnist
Heinz Plans New Products As Its Stock Rolls
by Andrew Leckey
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Q. Does it look like my good fortune with my H.J. Heinz Co. shares will continue? -- F.C., via the Internet

A. Frozen potatoes and soy sauce have never looked so good.

The global producer and marketer of packaged foods, led by strong gains of those two popular products, turned in a 12 percent increase in net income in its fiscal first quarter, ended July 30.

Sales rose at least 20 percent in every foreign region, producing double-digit earnings that compensated for a slump in sales to U.S. restaurants. The company generates about 60 percent of its sales outside the U.S.

Heinz intends to offer more than 400 new products within two years and increase its marketing budget by up to $100 million to support those items. Despite increases in the price of corn, wheat, dairy products and oils, consumers have not revolted against the resulting price increases in the firm's products.

Shares of Heinz (HNZ) are up 13 percent this year following a gain of 4 percent last year and 33 percent in 2006. Activist billionaire investor Nelson Peltz, whose Trian Fund Management LP owns about 4.9 percent of outstanding shares and led a proxy fight two years ago, is commending the company for doing a "phenomenal job."

This firm best-known for ketchup is anticipating major acquisitions.

"Campbell would represent a nice fit with the company," Heinz Chief Executive William Johnson said of Campbell Soup Co. in response to a shareholder question at the annual meeting. "We are always looking for opportunities to expand and grow."

Heinz recently completed its acquisition of Paris-based saucemaker Benedicta to increase its sauce business in France. It is hiring 350 workers at a new plant in South Carolina to make its Weight Watchers Smart Ones and Boston Market frozen meals.

The consensus analyst rating on Heinz stock is "buy," according to Thomson Financial, consisting of four "strong buys," four "buys" and three "holds."

After five years of restructuring and cutting costs, Heinz must compete with greatly improved private-label products of supermarket chains. There also might be a tipping point at which customers rebel against rising prices. Furthermore, the bulk of Heinz sales come from its top 15 brands, with many of its other items considerably less productive.

Heinz earnings are expected to increase 10 percent in each of the next two fiscal years. The five-year annualized return forecast is 8 percent versus 9 percent predicted for the major diversified food industry.

Q. My shares of Meridian Growth Fund seem to be doing OK but not great. What does the future look like? -- M.R.

A. Tamer than "go-go" growth funds, it has reasonable fees, an experienced portfolio manager and a good track record for its category.

These days, those are real pluses. Some of its long-term holdings that helped returns lately are discount retailer Ross Stores Inc. and heart-valve manufacturer Edwards Lifesciences Corp.

The $1.6 billion Meridian Growth Fund (MERDX) is down 8 percent over the past 12 months and has a three-year annualized return of 5 percent. Both of those results rank in the top one-third of all mid-cap growth funds. Continued...

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About The Author

Andrew Leckey writes “Successful Investing”, a nationally syndicated column packed with straightforward investment strategies and informative commentary

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