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Thursday, November 24, 2005
Alan Reynolds :: Townhall.com Columnist
No intelligence
by Alan Reynolds
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 Pages 11 through 16, and the last page, are devoted to "dual use" conjectures, because essential factories producing chlorine, phenol, castor oil, phosphates, vaccines and pesticides could conceivably be used to produce dangerous products. Castor bean pulp "can be used to extract ricin toxin," said the CIA, and terrorists once killed one man with ricin, by injection.

  Page 15 frets about "aflatoxin (a potent carcinogen that can attack the liver, killing years after ingestion)." Yet fear of liver cancer from "ingestion" of aflatoxin was foolish, because the CIA was speculating about Iraq dropping this peanut mold from airplanes. The last page of the report warns that, "Iraq has been able to repair modern machine tools." Machine tools! How frightening! If dual-use conjectures are taken as adequate proof of WMD, the United States could use that excuse to invade just about any country with any industry at all.

 The next few pages of the 2002 CIA report worried about "the size of certain facilities" for missile testing, which "suggests that Baghdad is preparing to develop systems that are prohibited by the U.N." Suggestions about "preparing to develop" something were a far cry from having it.

 The report ends with fanciful visions of an "unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) program ... which most analysts believe probably are intended for delivering biological warfare agents." If you think that says Iraq had even one UAV, you were fooled once again. It says they once had a program -- "a history of experimenting with" UAVs -- and that analysts have beliefs about probable intentions behind something that never worked.

 "Before the Gulf War," said the CIA, "Baghdad attempted to covert a MiG-21 into an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) to carry spray tanks capable of dispensing chemical or biological agents."

 The report added, "Iraqis already have produced modified drop-tanks that can dispense biological or chemical agents effectively." Many of the drops were of water or water and glycerin. If Iraq had weaponized anthrax -- which the CIA never claimed -- and if some terrorist were allowed to drop anthrax over a U.S. city from an airplane, then the nonexistent anthrax would have been dissipated into the wind where it could not have been inhaled in sufficient doses to have killed anyone. Yet that was the scariest imaginary scenario the CIA managed to dream up, unless you count aflatoxin.

 It was recently leaked that the annual intelligence budget amounts to $44 billion. What a waste.

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