"In any great adventure that you don't want to lose,
victory depends upon the people that you choose."
-- Brave Sir Robin in Monty Python's
Spamalot
Warren Buffett once warned, "Beware of geeks bearing
formulas." However, I'm confident that the formula I'm about
to share with you is one even he would cherish.
After all, this formula is based on the way the Oracle of
Omaha himself operates when running
Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A), as well as
on characteristics he demands in companies he's looking to
purchase.
In a word, it's management. But the specific formula I'm
about to outline for you -- created by the team of analysts
at the real-money
Motley Fool Million Dollar Portfolio(more on that in
a moment) -- will give you all the qualities you must
thoroughly vet before adding another stock to your
portfolio.
1. Ownership
It's no surprise that insider ownership is critical in
a discussion of management. After all, you want the CEO to
experience success only when you are successful, making money
when the stock is doing well.
High insider ownership usually coincides with conservative
management tactics. When a manager has most of his net worth
tied up in the stock of his company, you can be sure he will
not take careless risks. Which means that you can sleep at
night.
There's no set number to go by here, but it's a good idea
to look at companies with CEOs who own 10% or more of their
company -- like
Google (Nasdaq: GOOG),
Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL), and even foreign
giants like
ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT).
But ownership alone is not enough. Even CEOs with their
net worth on the line can -- and do -- get greedy and
careless. Which is why you also need the remaining three
parts of the formula.
2. Allocation
As Robert Hagstrom Jr. writes in
The Warren Buffett Way, "The most important
management act is the allocation of the company's capital ...
[A]llocation of capital, over time, determines shareholder
value."
The metric that clearly shows just how much economic value
a manager is generating is return on invested capital (ROIC).
You could also check out return on equity (ROE), but the ROIC
calculation takes a company's debt load into consideration,
meaning a company is not rewarded for a highly levered
balance sheet.
3. Tenure
The
Million Dollar Portfolioteam admits this one seems
simple, but they say it's also the one management quality
that is overlooked the most: You want a management team with
experience.
Forbessays mastery takes at least 10 years to
develop, so that's the minimum you should look for.
A decade's worth of running a business should give the CEO
knowledge of its long-term cycles, as well as experience with
how to manage the company through both up markets and
down.
A management team that passes the test here includes the
CEO and COO at
Leucadia National (NYSE: LUK), who took over
management of the company in the 1970s. A company that would
not pass this screen is
Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), whose CEO has
been running the show only since 2005. Â
4. Stewardship
This last quality to look for in managers takes more
digging, but it is essential. It involves searching to see
whether the CEO is more concerned about making himself wildly
rich, or protecting -- and growing -- your invested
capital. Continued... |