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Thursday, January 03, 2008

Annnnnnd, They're Off!

Posted by: Mary Katharine Ham at 7:03 PM

Caucuses start in just a few minutes. Matt's already posted our predictions.

I think Mitt's organization edges out Huck's insurgent campaign, as do Jonathan and Matt.

I've got Huckabee at second place, but I think there's a chance he could disappoint tonight. He's pulled a couple odd tricks lately and peaked about a week out of the caucus night, but I'm sticking with second place.

I picked Fred for third place over McCain just because McCain's been historically weak in Iowa. I don't think the surge there for him is gonna pan out in the end.

As for the Dems, your guess is likely as good as mine. I think Obama will take it, with Hillary second and Edwards third. I thought Edwards had a chance to surprise in Iowa, but with all the lower-tier candidates either overtly or sorta tacitly throwing support to Obama, his chances are getting dimmer.

Let's git 'er done.

I'll likely be on Hugh Hewitt's show later tonight. I'll keep you posted.

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Con4fred writes:	Thursday, January, 03, 2008 8:58 PM
Hucks really bad moves!
Earlier today I was watching one of the cable news channels (I'm 90% sure it was Fox) and they had a short segment where they visited a few campaign offices that were located in the same building in Iowa. They would show people manning the phones in each of the headquarters. When they got to Huckabees headquarters and showed people working the phones, I recognized 2 of the young women on the phone bank. I recognized these two from a documentary I watched recently about Fred Phelps and his weird church. You know, that's the church that would go to Military funerals and protest calling our soldiers evil. Anyway, the 2 women are his daughters! This is not good if Huckabee realy considers himself a Christian, because Fred Phelps and his crew are definately NOT Christian!
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TrueHawk writes:	Thursday, January, 03, 2008 8:52 PM
Marathon Man Huck Proves He Can Win
Huck has run steady and strong, spent little money, took it on the chin daily, and was accused of having no organization and has Rush and others against him and he still finishes with a win...I hope.
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steveegg writes:	Thursday, January, 03, 2008 8:10 PM
Do give us at least 30 minutes warning
And a live-listen link, please. I can't wait for Hugh to start eating crow. Not that I particularily like my prediction, because I hate Huckabee, but my short cracked hard-boiled shell prediction is... Huckabee 26% Romney 24% Thompson 19% Paul 10% The rest and expansion are over in my little corner of the TH wall (and my main blog as well)
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